Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$583

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved

1,646

Trades

2,242

lifetime

Volume

$13.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-21

last 10-27 04:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 88% -$79

Other

37% 70% -$400

Tech

9% 46% -$60

Politics

3% 45% -$37

Sports

1% 75% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 206 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?	77	$736	841	841	+0	No	-$21	06-23 02:57
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	56	$708	782	782	+0	No	-$29	06-24 21:33
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	23	$398	381	381	+0	No	+$9	06-22 08:56
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	25	$388	456	456	+0	Yes	-$22	06-22 19:38
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	34	$345	400	400	+0	Yes	+$4	06-22 08:35
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	14	$285	287	287	+0	Yes	-$29	06-24 10:52
will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	57	$263	276	276	+0	No	-$38	06-23 14:07
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	16	$225	265	265	+0	No	-$13	06-23 05:14
will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	11	$213	237	237	+0	No	-$10	06-23 19:05
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	6	$196	209	209	+0	Yes	-$8	06-24 01:51
will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	14	$153	134	134	+0	No	-$2	06-27 16:38
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	5	$139	153	153	+0	No	-$43	06-26 05:18
will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	9	$138	160	160	+0	No	-$7	06-23 13:00
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	27	$136	152	152	+0	Yes	-$3	06-23 01:34
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	11	$135	150	150	+0	Yes	-$3	06-24 00:50
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	9	$122	108	108	+0	No	$0	06-22 22:20
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?	5	$119	150	150	+0	Yes	-$4	06-24 11:20
will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	6	$112	122	122	+0	Yes	-$9	06-24 01:25
will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	19	$97	100	100	+0	No	-$12	06-23 18:27
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	2	$92	223	0	+223	Spain	-$92	07-19 19:02
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?	7	$77	104	104	+0	No	-$14	07-11 06:59
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	4	$69	58	58	+0	No	-$1	06-22 19:52
Will Chase Reid be drafted with the 3rd pick in the 2026 NHL Draft?	12	$67	60	60	+0	No	+$1	06-26 21:58
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	5	$66	69	69	+0	open	—	06-22 02:09
Will QoR Win North America ACE Stage 3	8	$62	89	20	+69	No	-$33	06-25 23:38
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	7	$57	53	53	+0	Yes	-$15	07-11 06:59
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	2	$56	50	50	+0	Yes	+$1	06-23 01:19
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	5	$54	60	60	+0	No	-$7	07-11 06:59
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	2	$53	38	38	+0	No	-$1	06-24 11:54
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	8	$51	66	63	+3	Up	-$3	06-24 23:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 05:44:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcd7b90…
10-27 05:44:26	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x539c45…
10-27 05:44:23	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7a402d…
10-27 05:34:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4ceca5…
10-27 04:54:30	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcb5da0…
10-27 04:54:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x54f98c…
10-27 04:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf55049…
10-27 04:54:14	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xa518bd…
10-27 04:34:24	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5fe1b4…
10-27 04:34:20	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x92ac2f…
10-27 04:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x06cd8c…
10-27 04:34:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x459172…
10-27 04:29:20	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xfd7a45…
10-27 04:29:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x878321…
10-27 04:24:12	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xeca088…
10-27 04:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9dd591…
10-27 04:24:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2d74d0…
10-27 04:19:20	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc92b53…
10-27 04:14:12	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x3f8631…
10-27 04:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4af395…
10-27 04:04:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf650c6…
10-27 04:04:14	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0ab73b…
10-27 04:04:12	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfe5430…
10-27 03:59:39	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8386a3…
10-27 03:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0ee41f…
10-27 03:59:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xa4a050…
10-27 03:54:29	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xd35570…
10-27 03:54:17	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x42c167…
10-27 03:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd1e894…
10-27 03:44:12	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xcfa1b2…
10-27 03:29:12	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6bba1b…
10-27 03:19:12	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe25cb6…
10-27 03:14:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7c35df…
10-27 03:14:18	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x168328…
10-27 03:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc3cb9b…
10-27 03:09:12	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x823259…
10-27 03:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x62eb73…
10-27 02:34:35	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6da4ee…
10-27 02:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x893b3a…
10-27 02:14:12	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc6a925…
10-27 02:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9ed63a…
10-27 02:09:12	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x032217…
10-27 02:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xccc879…
10-27 01:59:50	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x17d632…
10-27 01:59:14	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x108126…
10-27 01:59:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3dade1…
10-27 00:49:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xfe2991…
10-27 00:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfa5e6b…
10-26 23:49:09	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x532670…
10-26 23:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9b8f24…
10-26 23:44:09	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xb4a1af…
10-26 23:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x21aa24…
10-26 23:44:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xc9eb3b…
10-26 23:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6efb7e…
10-26 22:49:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x516f46…
10-26 22:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xbb9fba…
10-26 22:24:35	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0x886c25…
10-26 22:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc60bbf…
10-26 21:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x516b13…
10-26 20:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4a3f36…
10-26 20:49:44	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xd47886…
10-26 20:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xab7961…
10-26 19:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xfeefd7…
10-26 18:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xec2042…
10-26 18:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6aaf3c…
10-26 18:04:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x7933c1…
10-26 18:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x481b24…
10-26 15:49:35	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x05a889…
10-26 14:04:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x88078d…
10-26 14:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x94b495…
10-26 13:59:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x7551ba…
10-26 13:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x9d2512…
10-26 07:19:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x68ea9f…
10-26 06:54:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xaef4eb…
10-26 06:54:41	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x1b6499…
10-26 04:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x38db87…
10-26 04:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x35a016…
10-26 02:59:36	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x519862…
10-26 00:19:42	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc0490d…
10-25 23:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x461a74…
10-25 23:09:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xd6d81e…
10-25 17:54:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xf24b27…
10-25 17:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x30626d…
10-25 17:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb597ca…
10-25 14:24:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb0a4ae…
10-25 08:34:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x51c5bd…
10-25 07:19:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe26c4e…
10-25 06:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x580e96…
10-25 06:49:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x4d7c96…
10-25 03:59:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x0da352…
10-24 20:14:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x594054…
10-24 20:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xc9361e…
10-24 16:29:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xb47e20…
10-24 14:54:44	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x653c2f…
10-24 13:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xd55336…
10-24 11:34:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x93a15f…
10-24 10:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x0c1aae…
10-24 09:29:51	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x32f78c…
10-24 09:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xfa78f3…
10-24 08:04:42	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xcbe17c…