Rich-Thunderbolt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$225

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

Trades

524

lifetime

Volume

$17.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 05-10 02:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 66% $-175

Politics

6% — —

Other

3% — —

Sports

2% 0% $-50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 227 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	4	$575	714	0	+714	open	—	04-20 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	7	$550	657	0	+657	open	—	05-02 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	7	$475	507	0	+507	open	—	05-02 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	6	$450	712	0	+712	open	—	05-02 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	5	$425	456	0	+456	open	—	05-02 06:39
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$400	414	0	+414	open	—	04-30 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	6	$363	374	0	+374	open	—	05-02 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	6	$356	591	0	+591	open	—	05-02 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	8	$330	366	0	+366	open	—	05-02 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$325	416	0	+416	open	—	05-02 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	3	$300	400	0	+400	open	—	05-02 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	6	$300	317	0	+317	open	—	05-02 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	6	$285	293	0	+293	open	—	05-02 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	6	$280	370	0	+370	open	—	05-02 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	8	$275	295	0	+295	open	—	05-02 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	7	$265	293	0	+293	open	—	05-03 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	8	$260	284	0	+284	open	—	05-03 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	5	$255	968	0	+968	open	—	05-02 05:59
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	1	$250	293	0	+293	open	—	05-02 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	4	$250	263	0	+263	open	—	05-02 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	4	$250	281	0	+281	open	—	05-02 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	6	$249	266	230	+36	open	—	05-03 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	10	$240	279	0	+279	open	—	05-03 02:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	6	$234	150	100	+51	open	—	05-03 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	3	$225	293	0	+293	open	—	05-02 06:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	3	$225	294	0	+294	open	—	05-02 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	7	$220	230	0	+230	open	—	05-02 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	3	$205	305	0	+305	open	—	05-02 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$200	250	0	+250	open	—	05-02 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	6	$190	214	0	+214	open	—	05-03 03:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 02:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x1e0111…
05-10 02:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	167	9¢	$15	0x9fc735…
05-10 01:27:31	Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Lakers	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xf73ee7…
05-10 01:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x896f40…
05-10 01:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x483352…
05-10 00:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0xf1deb1…
05-10 00:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	44	79¢	$35	0x5d1393…
05-10 00:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	65	54¢	$35	0xef7c54…
05-10 00:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xb8e450…
05-10 00:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	91¢	$35	0x9c1dd0…
05-10 00:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0xcb73cd…
05-10 00:18:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0x949d29…
05-09 23:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x7f7b3e…
05-05 20:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xe972cb…
05-05 17:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xc36dbb…
05-05 16:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xd11e57…
05-05 16:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbd21a1…
05-05 16:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x18ae68…
05-05 15:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x513865…
05-05 02:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc75898…
05-05 02:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xf729aa…
05-05 02:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xe9ba93…
05-05 02:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x016030…
05-05 02:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0xceb2f5…
05-05 02:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0xcca988…
05-05 02:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0xd47595…
05-05 02:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	42	84¢	$35	0x23f91f…
05-05 02:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xa86e0e…
05-05 02:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xbc5e40…
05-05 00:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xde0fde…
05-05 00:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x14dfd7…
05-05 00:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x44ec2e…
05-04 23:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xfd11a9…
05-04 22:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xd940e0…
05-04 22:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa04266…
05-04 22:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7e6ea2…
05-04 22:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x12691c…
05-04 21:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x81fea7…
05-04 21:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x27b5a3…
05-04 21:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x3983bb…
05-04 21:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xbe3d2e…
05-04 21:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x10672c…
05-04 21:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x76bd97…
05-04 21:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xd772ac…
05-04 21:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x265049…
05-04 21:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xd4715b…
05-04 19:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x4ebc37…
05-04 19:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xb78362…
05-04 19:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe0e402…
05-04 19:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x5ccc54…
05-04 19:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xc706e9…
05-04 19:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x423931…
05-04 19:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xd9d737…
05-04 19:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x34746c…
05-04 19:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x9d9ec5…
05-04 19:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x20c9c4…
05-04 19:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x23350a…
05-04 19:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x1fee60…
05-04 19:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4d6426…
05-04 18:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x649f35…
05-04 18:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x0bcc3c…
05-04 18:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x0afd52…
05-04 18:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x91a25a…
05-04 18:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x607d72…
05-04 18:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc67059…
05-04 17:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x76b6df…
05-04 17:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x8f2eba…
05-04 17:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x75dbb0…
05-04 17:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x92ee91…
05-04 17:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x6a4f7e…
05-04 17:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x1e7f72…
05-04 17:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xf42e8c…
05-04 17:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x380590…
05-04 17:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x773a9e…
05-04 17:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x878bf8…
05-04 17:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x0a3363…
05-04 17:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xda5a9c…
05-04 17:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xab1df8…
05-04 17:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x96b497…
05-04 17:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9ef813…
05-04 16:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x28ad52…
05-04 16:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x7addb4…
05-04 16:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xa2a001…
05-04 16:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xcd4e8b…
05-04 16:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2c95f9…
05-04 16:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x7ef76a…
05-04 16:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xc6c34b…
05-04 16:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x1538c9…
05-04 16:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc853ad…
05-04 16:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x9e2a4a…
05-04 16:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x65a45e…
05-04 16:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x966f94…
05-04 16:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x75dd17…
05-04 16:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa435e2…
05-04 15:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xaf20c0…
05-04 15:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x0959d5…
05-04 15:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x86b0e0…
05-04 15:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x301ee3…
05-04 15:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x86f643…
05-04 15:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x0402d2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	196	$195.5K	6,401	06-01 04:51
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	192	$38.9K	7,807	05-10 02:37
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	192	$33.2K	6,986	05-10 02:37
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	191	$162.7K	11,467	05-10 02:39
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	191	$30.4K	15,085	05-10 02:38
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	191	$26.3K	2,767	05-10 02:35
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	191	$26.1K	2,716	05-10 02:35
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	190	$376.9K	12,565	05-10 02:39