Tidy-Minute — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$744

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

76.1%

Resolved

826

Trades

935

lifetime

Volume

$65.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

$104

1 position

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-31 15:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 186 days

Categories

Sports

68% 70% +$1,436

Other

30% 82% -$400

Politics

1% 100% +$15

Crypto

1% 60% -$306

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No		+106	$100	98¢	$104	+$4	05-01 13:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	5	$829	487	487	+0	Joao Fonseca	+$29	05-29 15:11
Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw?	5	$521	684	574	+110	Yes	+$31	06-04 20:53
Will Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	5	$428	343	343	+0	Yes	+$28	05-14 19:55
nba phi was 2026 04 01	3	$402	228	227	+1	76ers	+$3	04-02 00:23
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?	2	$316	227	227	+0	Yes	+$116	06-28 01:27
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	3	$315	331	217	+114	Yes	+$29	06-15 20:55
France vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime?	3	$312	258	152	+106	Yes	+$19	06-16 19:51
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?	3	$311	260	152	+109	No	-$89	05-19 20:22
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 13 19	1	$300	836	0	+836	No	-$300	01-18 22:16
ufc eth1 raf4 2026 04 04	2	$272	174	173	+1	Ethyn Ewing	+$74	04-05 10:53
Real Sociedad de Fútbol leading at halftime?	2	$224	125	125	+0	Yes	+$24	05-14 18:50
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	3	$222	188	172	+16	Yes	+$18	07-06 02:47
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	3	$219	246	233	+14	Yes	+$13	07-07 21:45
England vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?	3	$218	216	204	+11	Yes	+$10	07-15 19:42
ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 bay1	2	$218	141	141	+0	Yes	+$18	03-18 20:22
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	2	$217	238	238	+0	No	+$17	06-15 20:18
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?	3	$215	124	124	+0	Yes	+$15	05-16 15:27
Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	2	$215	149	149	+0	Yes	+$15	10-21 20:47
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?	2	$214	238	238	+0	No	+$14	06-17 05:36
Netherlands vs. Japan: Draw at halftime?	3	$214	130	130	+0	Yes	+$14	06-14 20:45
Will Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?	3	$214	123	123	+0	Yes	+$14	05-14 18:59
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?	2	$213	130	130	+0	Yes	+$13	05-17 18:49
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?	3	$213	120	120	+0	Yes	+$13	05-17 18:59
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	2	$213	137	136	+1	Yes	+$14	04-07 20:46
ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 liv1	2	$213	127	127	+0	Yes	+$13	03-18 20:25
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	3	$211	138	138	+0	No	+$11	05-06 20:52
nba min det 2026 04 02	2	$211	152	150	+2	Pistons	+$13	04-02 23:16
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?	2	$211	156	156	+0	No	+$11	06-28 20:44
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-17?	3	$211	115	115	+0	Yes	+$11	05-17 19:01
Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: Draw at halftime?	2	$211	175	175	+0	No	+$11	09-17 17:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 15:52:15	UFC Fight Night: Joe Kropschot vs. Nick Klein (Middleweight, Prelims)	Joe Kropschot	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x140871…
10-31 15:52:09	UFC Fight Night: Mickey Gall vs. Zach Reese (Middleweight, Prelims)	Zach Reese	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x3ed358…
10-31 15:52:01	UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Rodrigo Sezinando (Welterweight, Prelims)	Rodrigo Sezinando	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x560b91…
10-31 15:51:54	UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Main Card)	Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x053426…
10-31 15:51:49	UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee (Featherweight, Prelims)	JeongYeong Lee	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x8c54ee…
10-31 15:51:45	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x8946e6…
10-31 15:51:37	UFC Fight Night: Piera Rodriguez vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Piera Rodriguez	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xfeff6b…
10-31 15:51:33	UFC Fight Night: Tainara Lisboa vs. Lucia Szabová (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Lucia Szabová	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x6bc028…
10-31 15:51:27	UFC Fight Night: Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)	Jacobe Smith	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x7ca6ff…
10-31 15:51:19	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Francis Marshall	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xeeb7dc…
10-31 12:04:19	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Rey vs Team Vamos (BO7) - MPL Malaysia Playoffs	Team Rey	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x51f7ea…
10-30 22:48:39	Queretaro: Nadia Podoroska vs Carole Monnet	Nadia Podoroska	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xa2388d…
10-30 22:48:21	Counter-Strike: Hacha Esports vs BTH (BO3) - FiReSPORTS Last Chance Group D	Hacha Esports	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xbc8b8f…
10-30 14:52:36	Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xa40e93…
10-29 17:42:38	Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor	Alexander Zverev	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x08bce0…
10-29 17:41:52	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs MIBR (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	fnatic	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x09e415…
10-29 11:42:46	Ningbo: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui	Jie Cui	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xf4c4cc…
10-28 19:45:47	Dota 2: Rottweilas Latam vs Level Up Academy (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group B	Level Up Academy	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xab3019…
10-27 18:51:30	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x5af9fd…
10-27 15:30:20	Courmayeur: Mia Ristic vs Martyna Kubka	Martyna Kubka	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xe38e08…
10-27 15:29:59	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x8f4ab8…
10-25 08:21:45	ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier C: Mozambique vs Zambia	Zambia	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xe7154c…
10-24 08:40:18	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x84287e…
10-24 08:39:06	UFC 333: Noah Gugnon vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Early Prelims)	Kody Steele	BUY	155	58¢	$90	0xfc4e0a…
10-24 08:39:00	UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)	Asaf Chopurov	BUY	107	84¢	$90	0xe3f2c7…
10-24 08:38:51	UFC 333: Abus Magomedov vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)	Abus Magomedov	BUY	170	53¢	$90	0x77d28f…
10-24 08:38:47	UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Azamat Murzakanov	BUY	138	65¢	$90	0x8c8500…
10-24 08:38:38	UFC 333: Nicolle Caliari vs. Iasmin Lucindo (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)	Iasmin Lucindo	BUY	114	79¢	$90	0x80116a…
10-24 08:38:30	UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)	Aaron Pico	BUY	155	58¢	$90	0xa7213c…
10-24 08:38:24	UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev	BUY	108	83¢	$90	0x04682e…
10-24 08:38:17	UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Abubakar Vagaev	BUY	153	59¢	$90	0x202102…
10-24 08:38:11	UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Lone'er Kavanagh	BUY	170	53¢	$90	0xdcbedf…
10-24 08:37:53	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	167	54¢	$90	0xc830b9…
10-24 08:37:42	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	153	59¢	$90	0x1f2284…
10-23 19:50:29	Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	Sinners	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x17cecc…
10-22 14:30:17	Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Nexus (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	JiJieHao	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x48ee6b…
10-21 20:47:14	Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	149	77¢	$115	0xcf963e…
10-21 20:42:23	Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x2cf2d6…
10-21 19:46:50	Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xc13332…
10-21 19:45:15	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	60	85¢	$51	0xffafd6…
10-21 19:44:44	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x66c494…
10-20 21:34:54	Fort Worth: J.J. Wolf vs Tyler Zink	J.J. Wolf	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x026305…
10-19 20:45:42	Will Getafe CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xe3aaba…
10-19 11:17:23	Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs HyperSpirit (BO1) - DraculaN Group C	Iberian Soul	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x9cf0a3…
10-18 08:04:38	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xaf3a5c…
10-17 19:12:11	UFC Fight Night: Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Katlyn Cerminara	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xfb698a…
10-17 19:12:06	UFC Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs. Cristian Pérez (Lightweight, Main Card)	Cristian Pérez	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x88a59e…
10-17 19:12:02	UFC Fight Night: Nate Landwehr vs. Mandel Nallo (Lightweight, Main Card)	Mandel Nallo	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xce9a0e…
10-17 19:11:57	UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)	Kyle Daukaus	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x55b34d…
10-17 19:11:48	UFC Fight Night: Louis Jourdain vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Louis Jourdain	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x7a41d2…
10-17 19:11:44	UFC Fight Night: Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Steven Koslow	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xafeb99…
10-17 19:11:38	UFC Fight Night: Julien LeBlanc vs. Nick Galanti (Middleweight, Prelims)	Nick Galanti	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x4101b4…
10-17 19:11:33	UFC Fight Night: Javad Mahjoub vs. Joel Faglier (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Joel Faglier	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xbefd1e…
10-17 19:11:23	UFC Fight Night: SuYoung You vs. Cody Chovancek (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Cody Chovancek	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x2cf742…
10-17 19:11:00	UFC Fight Night: Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Erin Blanchfield	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xc939f0…
10-17 19:10:50	UFC Fight Night: Chelsea Chandler vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Melissa Croden	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x060b62…
10-17 19:10:44	UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Jhonata Diniz	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x926656…
10-17 19:10:32	UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)	Mike Malott	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xf20565…
10-17 14:55:59	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x7605fc…
10-16 14:50:49	Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Group Stage	FORZE Reload	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x7cda0f…
10-16 14:50:40	cs2 ast10 mibr 2026 10 16	Astralis	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xef71f3…
10-15 11:38:10	Lisbon: Dalma Galfi vs Matilde Jorge	Matilde Jorge	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x3182f2…
10-15 11:37:31	Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Envy (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group D	Heroic	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xe82a9f…
10-14 15:35:19	wta doubles konitsy jorgjor 2026 10 14	Jorge/Jorge	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x9f63fb…
10-14 15:34:39	cs2 wraith ryvex 2026 10 14	WRAITH PCIFIC	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xbd1eda…
10-13 10:09:53	dota2 huliga nemiga 2026 10 13	HULIGANI	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xa0654d…
10-13 10:09:43	LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	Team WE	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x9d7ddb…
10-12 08:35:42	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B	Yellow Submarine	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xf219d9…
10-11 18:10:28	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	Team Yandex	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x187395…
10-10 18:22:13	UFC Fight Night: Allen Frye Jr. vs. RJ Harris (Heavyweight, Prelims)	RJ Harris	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x9e30f9…
10-10 18:22:04	UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Felipe Franco (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Felipe Franco	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x158bf8…
10-10 18:21:58	UFC Fight Night: Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan (Welterweight, Prelims)	Leon Shahbazyan	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x8129a4…
10-10 18:21:54	UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Prelims)	Francisco Prado	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0x2038d5…
10-10 18:21:46	UFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Julius Walker (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Julius Walker	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x47856a…
10-10 18:21:42	UFC Fight Night: Otari Tanzilovi vs. Malcolm Wellmaker (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Malcolm Wellmaker	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x352a17…
10-10 18:21:34	UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III (Featherweight, Main Card)	Andre Fili	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xb0f528…
10-10 18:21:25	UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Souza vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)	Loopy Godínez	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xc2d832…
10-10 18:21:16	UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)	Matheus Camilo	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xa849ad…
10-10 18:21:04	UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Melissa Gatto	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x3b09ba…
10-10 18:20:48	UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Alice Pereira	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xc7dfb1…
10-10 17:21:46	Dartmouth vs. Yale	Yale	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x02fbf9…
10-09 20:27:31	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xa6dc41…
10-09 20:23:28	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	Aurora	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x8a4df0…
10-08 09:34:44	Will Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x9b532f…
10-07 18:40:31	LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Kaufland Hangry Knights	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x300498…
10-06 19:24:17	Croatia leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x9aeb0a…
10-06 09:44:39	LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	Team Vitality	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x862232…
10-06 00:31:38	Suns vs. Pistons	Suns	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x8292ed…
10-05 11:27:25	atp cui vukic 2026 10 05	Jie Cui	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x43583c…
10-04 18:34:37	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 10 04	BetBoom Team	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xa15ca1…
10-03 17:35:41	UFC 332: Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand (Heavyweight, Early Prelims)	Anthony Wint	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x05809e…
10-03 17:35:33	UFC 332: Andrey Pulyaev vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Prelims)	Damian Pinas	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x12e045…
10-03 17:35:29	UFC 332: Alden Coria vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Prelims)	Imanol Rodriguez	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xbb37d7…
10-03 17:35:20	UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card)	Ateba Gautier	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xde636f…
10-03 17:35:15	UFC 332: Roberto Soldic vs. Khaos Williams (Welterweight, Main Card)	Roberto Soldic	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x945ca2…
10-03 17:35:08	UFC 332: King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Main Card)	Esteban Ribovics	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x88af52…
10-03 17:34:59	UFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Payton Talbott	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xe19618…
10-03 17:34:51	UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Natalia Silva	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x3328b4…
10-03 17:34:45	UFC 332: Court McGee vs. Eric Nolan (Welterweight, Early Prelims)	Eric Nolan	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x0b57a0…
10-03 17:34:36	UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Ismail Naurdiev	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xe53852…