Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$446

Unrealized P&L

+$229

Hit rate

95.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$23.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$489

Open exposure

$5.20K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-06 00:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

33% — —

Other

25% 50% $-62

Sports

25% 100% +$508

Crypto

17% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No		+5,650	$4,969	92¢	$5.2K	+$229	05-29 05:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	1	$5.0K	5,650	0	+5,650	open	—	05-29 05:09
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$2.2K	1,283	1,283	+0	open	—	03-21 12:31
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	2	$2.1K	1,307	1,307	+0	open	—	07-01 02:51
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	4	$1.7K	1,704	1,704	+0	open	—	01-13 23:03
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	3	$1.5K	1,231	1,231	+0	open	—	05-25 06:18
will julin lvarez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	2	$1.4K	887	887	+0	open	—	06-28 02:32
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	1	$1.3K	1,462	0	+1,462	open	—	05-11 16:18
will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	1	$1.0K	1,305	0	+1,305	open	—	07-01 02:56
Will Manchester United finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	1	$1000	1,123	0	+1,123	No	+$123	02-08 02:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$635	356	356	+0	open	—	04-27 06:15
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$598	893	0	+893	Yes	+$295	01-14 05:21
will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	1	$539	607	0	+607	open	—	07-06 00:55
Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	1	$500	626	0	+626	open	—	01-28 00:24
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$456	543	0	+543	open	—	07-01 11:31
will silver si hit high 130 by end of january 314 277 552 989	2	$404	222	222	+0	open	—	01-27 15:38
Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	1	$350	441	0	+441	No	+$91	04-27 09:46
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$312	417	417	+0	open	—	01-14 05:01
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$300	469	0	+469	open	—	02-06 08:50
will ethereum dip to 2600 in january 2026 489	3	$299	683	683	+0	open	—	01-26 23:18
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	1	$275	313	0	+313	No	+$38	01-27 23:49
will russia join the board of peace	1	$230	281	0	+281	open	—	02-06 08:39
will ethereum reach 3400 in january 2026	3	$205	169	169	+0	open	—	01-06 02:17
will solana reach 150 in january 2026	2	$200	226	226	+0	open	—	01-26 23:17
Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	1	$200	243	0	+243	open	—	02-06 08:28
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	2	$138	90	90	+0	open	—	01-27 15:39
Will RB Leipzig finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?	1	$100	188	0	+188	Yes	$-100	02-06 07:51
will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	2	$20	16	16	+0	open	—	01-04 02:33
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	01-15 14:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 00:55:40	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	607	89¢	$539	0x7f30e3…
07-01 11:31:16	Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	543	84¢	$456	0x5e2509…
07-01 02:56:01	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	1,305	79¢	$1,031	0x97fdac…
07-01 02:51:41	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1,307	80¢	$1,048	0xd071c7…
06-28 02:32:05	will julin lvarez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	887	80¢	$708	0x5ef928…
06-27 12:55:32	will julin lvarez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	887	76¢	$671	0xb9f85d…
06-23 00:26:37	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1,307	79¢	$1,039	0x979047…
05-29 05:09:23	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,650	88¢	$4,969	0x6cf9bc…
05-25 06:18:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,231	61¢	$751	0xb803f3…
05-11 16:18:18	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	1,462	88¢	$1,287	0xef3202…
05-08 01:16:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	789	55¢	$434	0xeb8f43…
05-07 05:45:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	442	70¢	$309	0x67112d…
04-27 09:46:40	Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	No	BUY	441	79¢	$350	0x47b93d…
04-27 06:15:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	356	99¢	$354	0x8e848a…
04-01 10:44:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	356	79¢	$281	0x85577d…
03-21 12:31:05	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	1,283	98¢	$1,250	0x5ad7a0…
03-01 12:51:11	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	1,283	78¢	$999	0xabda14…
02-08 02:24:17	Will Manchester United finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	1,123	89¢	$1,000	0x291bc5…
02-06 08:50:39	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	469	64¢	$300	0xecb16f…
02-06 08:39:01	will russia join the board of peace	No	BUY	281	82¢	$230	0x69fffc…
02-06 08:28:05	Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	243	82¢	$200	0x89b67e…
02-06 07:51:49	Will RB Leipzig finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?	No	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0xa57416…
01-28 00:24:37	Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	No	BUY	626	80¢	$500	0x17bbfe…
01-27 23:49:59	Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	No	BUY	313	88¢	$275	0x3e7891…
01-27 15:39:47	si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	No	SELL	90	80¢	$72	0xd7a62c…
01-27 15:38:25	will silver si hit high 130 by end of january 314 277 552 989	No	SELL	222	92¢	$204	0xaf09ce…
01-27 00:24:47	will silver si hit high 130 by end of january 314 277 552 989	No	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x6b180f…
01-26 23:28:49	si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	No	BUY	90	73¢	$66	0x40e41e…
01-26 23:18:51	will ethereum dip to 2600 in january 2026 489	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x0963f7…
01-26 23:17:21	will ethereum dip to 2600 in january 2026 489	Yes	SELL	683	9¢	$62	0x8f9d7d…
01-26 23:17:05	will solana reach 150 in january 2026	Yes	SELL	226	2¢	$4	0x5e492e…
01-25 23:18:32	will ethereum dip to 2600 in january 2026 489	Yes	BUY	683	35¢	$237	0x5179a6…
01-15 14:23:20	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x14da56…
01-14 05:21:16	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	893	67¢	$598	0x273cd2…
01-14 05:01:50	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	SELL	417	39¢	$162	0xd0beaf…
01-13 23:59:18	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	417	36¢	$150	0x558424…
01-13 23:49:10	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3a3dae…
01-13 23:12:26	will solana reach 150 in january 2026	Yes	BUY	226	87¢	$196	0x12ced7…
01-13 23:03:00	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	Yes	SELL	1,426	55¢	$784	0x7b5d1d…
01-06 02:17:25	will ethereum reach 3400 in january 2026	Yes	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0x23feff…
01-06 02:16:55	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	1,426	50¢	$714	0x2a6f21…
01-05 01:30:35	will ethereum reach 3400 in january 2026	Yes	SELL	169	62¢	$105	0xad5518…
01-05 01:30:13	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	Yes	SELL	278	44¢	$122	0x07b305…
01-04 03:28:19	will ethereum reach 3400 in january 2026	Yes	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x83983e…
01-04 03:27:03	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0xa4909d…
01-04 02:33:35	will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	Yes	SELL	16	68¢	$11	0x019ab4…
01-03 12:07:17	will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0x9868f8…