Possible-Pilgrimage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$837

Unrealized P&L

+$310

Hit rate

31.6%

Resolved

188

Trades

571

lifetime

Volume

$27.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

$693

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 15:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Other

67% 28% -$425

Politics

11% 0% -$1

Tech

10% 0% -$146

Sports

7% 17% -$2

Crypto

6% 24% -$263

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+300	$141	100¢	$300	+$159	10-03 14:47
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+300	$139	100¢	$300	+$161	10-08 07:26
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+417	$50	22¢	$94	+$44	07-20 17:23
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	+0	$53	100¢	$0	-$53	06-18 14:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 - Map 2 Winner	3	$2.6K	1,500	1,500	+0	Team Falcons	+$124	05-09 11:31
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	15	$2.2K	1,984	1,984	+0	open	—	10-28 15:55
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	14	$1.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	06-18 14:43
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$1.9K	1,216	1,216	+0	No	-$1	04-28 13:58
nhl stl utah 2026 04 16 spread away 1pt5	3	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	Blues	-$20	04-16 15:14
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	3	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-20 09:16
val kc3 th1 2026 04 16	2	$1.2K	1,000	988	+12	Team Heretics	-$5	04-16 07:18
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	3	$1.1K	540	540	+0	Yes	+$0	01-30 21:09
atp vithoon zeng 2026 04 14	2	$876	1,000	1,000	+0	Leo Vithoontien	-$24	04-14 22:44
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	14	$778	589	789	-200	No	+$191	03-07 18:36
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	6	$754	404	404	+0	open	—	10-25 14:20
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffs	3	$573	750	750	+0	Isurus	-$128	05-10 16:04
atp aboian wild 2026 04 17	2	$563	335	335	+0	Valerio Aboian	+$0	04-16 21:14
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	5	$556	452	452	+0	TDK	-$5	05-10 13:19
cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27	5	$540	600	600	+0	Connecticut Huskies	+$0	03-27 21:41
Will Aspen Miller win Breakaway Roping at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	3	$446	900	0	+900	No	+$4	05-13 13:21
mlb col sd 2026 04 11	2	$415	533	533	+0	San Diego Padres	+$0	04-11 19:52
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	9	$408	742	741	+0	Sentinels	+$7	05-09 12:36
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	5	$396	617	617	+0	No	-$6	06-23 13:29
atp cobolli bergs 2026 04 15	2	$392	350	350	+0	Flavio Cobolli	+$0	04-14 20:32
lal vil esp 2026 02 09 vil	2	$308	197	197	+0	Yes	+$84	02-09 22:08
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	5	$265	400	100	+300	open	—	10-08 07:26
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?	2	$262	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$138	05-06 19:20
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?	2	$241	339	339	+0	No	-$10	04-24 21:05
will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	2	$226	500	500	+0	Yes	-$14	06-23 13:45
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$224	200	200	+0	No	+$12	01-30 11:33
atp safiull assche 2026 04 15	3	$223	308	308	+0	Roman Safiullin	-$5	04-15 21:41
Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?	2	$200	145	145	+0	No	+$0	01-19 21:06
ssc fcb rmc 2026 01 11 fcb	6	$194	147	147	+0	Yes	+$54	01-11 21:00
Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	3	$186	250	250	+0	GamerLegion	-$4	05-15 19:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 15:55:49	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	633	16¢	$101	0x6b6a4b…
10-28 15:36:10	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	94	23¢	$22	0x8dd27d…
10-28 15:25:49	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0x48ee25…
10-27 13:59:54	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	753	86¢	$648	0x4c721f…
10-26 09:28:50	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	68¢	$204	0x5ec1e7…
10-25 20:45:12	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x1550c5…
10-25 17:08:23	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x09c7ba…
10-25 14:20:59	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	404	98¢	$396	0x61b659…
10-24 06:37:17	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	670	90¢	$603	0x969027…
10-20 14:23:24	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	111	4¢	$5	0x383b86…
10-20 14:02:03	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0xb42423…
10-19 20:18:15	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	Yes	SELL	100	57¢	$57	0x44b0fd…
10-19 10:09:18	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0xda9234…
10-17 18:42:08	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x4d3ec0…
10-16 20:37:29	over 40m committed to the 1w public sale	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x9bf17f…
10-15 19:12:11	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x31ae68…
10-13 19:36:01	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xbc36cc…
10-12 22:04:24	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	113	15¢	$17	0xd541b8…
10-12 19:00:47	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	51	90¢	$46	0xcec78f…
10-12 15:12:36	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	213	90¢	$191	0xec01b5…
10-12 15:12:29	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	90	90¢	$81	0xd06beb…
10-12 15:12:23	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xe89fbc…
10-12 12:39:42	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	113	14¢	$16	0x014578…
10-12 12:19:17	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	14¢	$11	0xb59649…
10-10 10:15:18	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xf38a66…
10-10 00:42:22	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	202	15¢	$30	0xe55164…
10-09 10:55:21	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	59	6¢	$4	0xcddec8…
10-09 06:02:20	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	141	10¢	$14	0xa55bdb…
10-08 07:26:51	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0xd458d7…
10-07 17:53:15	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	298	50¢	$149	0xc0cacf…
10-07 17:52:07	will predictfun launch a token by november 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xbf0596…
10-07 16:58:07	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xe8bcab…
10-07 16:56:56	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xecd079…
10-06 19:04:27	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x9be3a7…
10-04 15:19:10	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	66¢	$14	0x370b4d…
10-03 14:47:12	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	47¢	$141	0xbe29cb…
09-25 11:12:53	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xd44b97…
09-25 11:12:53	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	61	5¢	$3	0x7d159f…
09-25 11:12:53	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x57f6bd…
09-25 11:12:53	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	99	5¢	$5	0x448e1d…
09-24 12:35:40	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x165289…
09-22 14:56:52	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x767ac0…
09-21 16:41:06	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x67039d…
09-20 01:47:33	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xe51514…
09-20 01:41:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb42dea…
09-20 01:30:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xf4e9f2…
09-20 01:21:43	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xee5aef…
09-20 00:56:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x082ed7…
09-20 00:56:15	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x11e094…
09-20 00:53:28	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0xd7d784…
09-20 00:53:27	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3dbb81…
09-20 00:53:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x3ec748…
09-20 00:37:12	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x5ff509…
09-20 00:36:52	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xbfa6a0…
09-17 13:58:28	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xaa79d0…
09-15 21:43:28	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x067810…
09-15 21:42:03	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	24¢	$11	0xf4330d…
09-15 21:42:03	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x3d1cf8…
09-15 21:42:03	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	22¢	$8	0x1201ff…
09-15 21:11:27	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x3768c8…
09-15 21:10:42	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0x9ba831…
09-13 12:15:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x5c897d…
09-13 12:14:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xbdebe4…
09-10 22:21:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0x1f9918…
09-10 22:16:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0x9b532b…
09-10 16:17:46	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x7ab7d4…
09-10 16:17:45	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x307724…
09-10 16:16:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xce9927…
09-10 16:16:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xa4fe29…
09-10 16:16:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x80b099…
09-10 16:16:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x4c551e…
09-10 16:16:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x0705e2…
09-10 16:14:40	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0xb819ad…
09-10 16:11:49	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xd284c3…
09-10 16:11:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xbd92a0…
08-27 12:01:31	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x130f88…
08-26 12:08:54	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x933b1e…
08-23 13:03:45	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	Team Spirit	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0x94353f…
08-23 12:58:36	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	TEAM VISION	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xb19ba6…
08-23 12:15:15	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc594ec…
08-21 18:00:58	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x77204e…
08-20 11:33:40	dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20 game1	Team Liquid	SELL	17	90¢	$15	0x3dff38…
08-20 11:22:21	dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20 game1	Team Liquid	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xd4a96b…
08-16 10:37:15	dota2 lgd ty 2026 08 16	LGD Gaming	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x475eaa…
08-12 22:15:36	Will Xtreme Gaming Win The International 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	3¢	$1	0xb82746…
08-12 22:15:28	Will Xtreme Gaming Win The International 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xa8b489…
08-12 09:43:09	Will Xtreme Gaming Win The International 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x0d63c4…
08-09 23:47:22	Will Rodri join Barcelona?	No	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0x2bdebf…
08-07 15:37:57	Will Rodri join Barcelona?	No	BUY	40	14¢	$5	0x71f97f…
08-01 09:38:29	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xabc345…
08-01 02:56:02	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x8e58ce…
07-20 17:23:36	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0xf74688…
07-20 08:56:21	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$3	0x94c43f…
07-19 16:55:03	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0xc24da4…
07-19 10:52:48	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x6897ef…
07-18 20:26:36	Exact Score: France 1 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa5b926…
07-18 19:08:57	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xb9d3b5…
07-18 17:02:28	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x0b7b48…
07-16 15:56:16	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc762b3…
07-16 15:55:11	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	208	2¢	$5	0xb33c6c…