Bleak-Carpet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$487

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,070

lifetime

Volume

$449.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$420

Open exposure

$453

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 10-23 09:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

63% 98% +$299

Crypto

37% 100% +$167

Politics

0% 83% +$10

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 50% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	+305	$304	100¢	$305	+$0	10-23 09:41
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	+57	$56	99¢	$56	+$0	10-23 09:41
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+50	$50	100¢	$50	+$0	05-11 03:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	+23	$23	100¢	$23	$0	10-23 09:41
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+20	$20	99¢	$20	$0	05-11 03:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol dnf drx 2026 02 19 game1	220	$56.3K	56,311	0	+56,311	DN Freecs	+$56	02-19 08:50
cs2 aur1 ast10 2026 02 18	1	$41.5K	41,557	0	+41,557	Aurora Gaming	+$42	02-18 12:54
cs2 fut prv 2026 02 18	35	$29.0K	29,074	0	+29,074	PARIVISION	+$29	02-18 15:49
cbb byu arz 2026 02 18	20	$26.4K	26,378	0	+26,378	Arizona Wildcats	+$27	02-19 04:58
bitcoin up or down february 17 9am et	94	$20.2K	20,201	0	+20,201	Down	+$20	02-17 16:18
bitcoin up or down february 16 10am et	55	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	Down	+$20	02-16 16:13
cbb geows vcu 2026 02 17	27	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	VCU Rams	+$20	02-18 05:06
bitcoin up or down february 17 11pm et	23	$18.2K	18,213	0	+18,213	Up	+$18	02-18 05:05
bitcoin up or down february 19 6am et	29	$16.9K	16,914	0	+16,914	Down	+$17	02-19 12:17
dota2 og aur1 2026 02 19	7	$16.0K	15,465	511	+14,954	Aurora	+$15	02-19 17:30
cbb pepp port 2026 02 18	7	$15.1K	15,152	0	+15,152	Pepperdine Waves	+$15	02-19 05:06
dota2 flc mouz 2026 02 18 game2	20	$14.8K	14,848	0	+14,848	MOUZ	+$15	02-18 18:51
dota2 og aur1 2026 02 19 game1	4	$11.2K	11,238	0	+11,238	Aurora	+$11	02-19 18:29
bitcoin up or down february 18 2am et	49	$10.8K	10,855	0	+10,855	Up	+$11	02-18 09:06
ethereum up or down february 18 2am et	10	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	Up	+$10	02-18 08:05
ethereum up or down february 19 6am et	7	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	Down	+$10	02-19 12:03
ethereum up or down february 17 10pm et	13	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	Up	+$10	02-18 04:30
cbb kentst bowlgr 2026 02 17	7	$9.0K	4,527	4,520	+7	Kent State Golden Flashes	+$0	02-18 02:27
cbb gcan sdst 2026 02 17	40	$8.9K	8,956	0	+8,956	Grand Canyon Antelopes	+$9	02-18 07:29
cbb miaoh umass 2026 02 17	26	$8.0K	7,974	0	+7,974	Miami (OH) RedHawks	+$8	02-18 04:02
ethereum up or down february 17 9pm et	12	$7.7K	7,673	0	+7,673	Up	+$8	02-18 03:44
dota2 og aur1 2026 02 19 game2	3	$6.5K	6,518	0	+6,518	Aurora	+$7	02-19 18:55
bitcoin up or down february 17 10pm et	4	$6.4K	6,393	0	+6,393	Up	+$6	02-18 05:01
bitcoin up or down february 18 11pm et	37	$6.0K	6,022	0	+6,022	Down	+$6	02-19 05:05
bitcoin up or down february 19 3am et	44	$4.8K	4,800	0	+4,800	Down	+$5	02-19 10:10
xrp up or down february 18 2am et	13	$4.3K	4,328	0	+4,328	Up	+$4	02-18 09:02
solana up or down february 17 8pm et	15	$4.2K	4,211	0	+4,211	Down	+$4	02-18 03:30
cbb lou smu 2026 02 17	12	$4.0K	4,007	0	+4,007	SMU Mustangs	+$4	02-18 03:25
solana up or down february 17 9am et	21	$4.0K	3,971	0	+3,971	Down	+$4	02-17 16:15
cbb nevada sjst 2026 02 17	4	$3.8K	3,802	0	+3,802	San Jose State Spartans	+$5	02-18 05:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 09:41:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe12256…
10-23 09:41:30	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0x72c21b…
10-23 09:41:21	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	BUY	305	100¢	$304	0x4bd9a7…
10-23 09:40:27	Will Solana reach $200 in October?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xe055d0…
09-07 17:29:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xd50443…
08-28 06:26:21	Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x7081fa…
08-28 06:04:34	Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8362fb…
08-28 05:58:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xa1938f…
08-28 05:58:12	Trump out as President by August 31?	No	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0x8dc922…
07-17 15:47:07	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x48a115…
07-15 08:41:58	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe3cc69…
07-15 08:41:38	will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x0ce5f4…
07-15 08:41:20	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	318	100¢	$318	0x05ff1c…
06-12 14:53:07	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1472e8…
06-12 10:48:10	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0xac8198…
06-12 10:48:00	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x743ca6…
06-03 12:05:34	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0xeb991f…
06-03 12:04:13	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xe1d3d4…
05-21 12:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x5d97b4…
05-21 12:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x0afe6b…
05-11 03:53:58	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd421a8…
05-11 03:53:50	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x6b11c8…
05-11 03:53:23	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0xb305e3…
05-11 03:53:15	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x7f8b4c…
05-11 03:53:08	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x102e26…
05-11 03:53:02	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x7fa4b0…
04-25 14:40:14	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x8b6a6b…
04-22 10:32:40	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x35c332…
04-20 12:26:58	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	92	99¢	$92	0x4b4eb8…
04-20 11:33:58	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x821141…
04-20 11:28:20	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x3e5f0d…
04-20 11:26:08	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x95af52…
04-20 09:44:42	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb3c09a…
04-20 06:54:06	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8b85d9…
04-19 05:47:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x0704c1…
04-04 11:00:03	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	23	33¢	$8	0x80ff3a…
04-04 10:56:03	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xafd83f…
04-04 10:55:15	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x08fc9d…
04-04 10:53:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x5b30fb…
04-04 10:53:11	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xefaa62…
04-04 10:53:05	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x72362f…
04-04 10:52:35	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0xd6f82f…
03-28 06:05:43	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	19	99¢	$18	0x010f27…
03-28 06:01:41	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xd988e2…
03-26 19:15:59	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x1ca5f4…
03-25 07:55:37	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x37f20e…
03-23 01:47:17	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x03ec63…
03-22 18:06:47	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x077cde…
03-22 08:44:35	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xa07920…
03-22 08:36:55	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x4a356b…
03-22 08:35:01	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x99e8d0…
03-22 08:25:51	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x516656…
03-22 08:25:29	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x1d98ff…
03-22 08:25:19	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa3323f…
03-22 08:25:13	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x076f09…
03-22 08:24:37	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xe59354…
02-20 02:51:42	will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xe01189…
02-20 02:51:32	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	225	100¢	$225	0x74b6ac…
02-20 02:51:08	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x3437be…
02-19 21:23:06	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0xc6801a…
02-19 18:55:22	dota2 og aur1 2026 02 19 game2	Aurora	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x672f32…
02-19 18:29:22	dota2 og aur1 2026 02 19 game1	Aurora	BUY	1,111	100¢	$1,110	0xeb4d13…
02-19 18:25:14	dota2 og aur1 2026 02 19 game1	Aurora	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xce6bb4…
02-19 18:24:46	dota2 og aur1 2026 02 19 game2	Aurora	BUY	1,503	100¢	$1,501	0x7e8df6…
02-19 17:30:22	dota2 og aur1 2026 02 19	Aurora	SELL	501	100¢	$500	0x4f5e4e…
02-19 17:28:38	dota2 og aur1 2026 02 19	Aurora	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9d1b33…
02-19 17:06:52	dota2 og aur1 2026 02 19 game2	Aurora	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x98bd82…
02-19 17:05:04	dota2 og aur1 2026 02 19	Aurora	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x64586b…
02-19 17:04:26	dota2 og aur1 2026 02 19 game1	Aurora	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x88b0c5…
02-19 16:56:48	dota2 og aur1 2026 02 19	Aurora	BUY	4,700	100¢	$4,696	0x96dcda…
02-19 16:52:04	dota2 og aur1 2026 02 19	Aurora	BUY	1,965	100¢	$1,964	0x1fedf0…
02-19 16:51:18	dota2 og aur1 2026 02 19	Aurora	BUY	4,000	100¢	$3,996	0x5450d3…
02-19 16:51:08	dota2 og aur1 2026 02 19	Aurora	BUY	4,794	100¢	$4,789	0xd1ad3f…
02-19 16:33:54	dota2 og aur1 2026 02 19 game1	Aurora	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x63f6a3…
02-19 16:17:56	bitcoin up or down february 19 9am et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x691c53…
02-19 16:17:00	bitcoin up or down february 19 9am et	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5430a9…
02-19 16:14:16	bitcoin up or down february 19 9am et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdc056d…
02-19 16:13:12	bitcoin up or down february 19 9am et	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xdbf2eb…
02-19 16:11:16	bitcoin up or down february 19 9am et	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x647cfd…
02-19 16:09:30	bitcoin up or down february 19 9am et	Up	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x3b752a…
02-19 12:17:28	bitcoin up or down february 19 6am et	Down	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x5ebce7…
02-19 12:16:36	bitcoin up or down february 19 6am et	Down	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb6932d…
02-19 12:14:40	bitcoin up or down february 19 6am et	Down	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xe5e1f1…
02-19 12:13:58	bitcoin up or down february 19 6am et	Down	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xec6579…
02-19 12:13:48	bitcoin up or down february 19 6am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8af7ab…
02-19 12:12:54	bitcoin up or down february 19 6am et	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1d50f9…
02-19 12:12:36	bitcoin up or down february 19 6am et	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdeedf3…
02-19 12:11:56	bitcoin up or down february 19 6am et	Down	BUY	640	100¢	$639	0xc0f6bd…
02-19 12:10:58	bitcoin up or down february 19 6am et	Down	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x96bec9…
02-19 12:10:10	bitcoin up or down february 19 6am et	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2b06f6…
02-19 12:10:06	bitcoin up or down february 19 6am et	Down	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x4049d1…
02-19 12:08:06	bitcoin up or down february 19 6am et	Down	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x7548c5…
02-19 12:07:52	bitcoin up or down february 19 6am et	Down	BUY	119	100¢	$118	0x97e98e…
02-19 12:07:06	bitcoin up or down february 19 6am et	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa6b27c…
02-19 12:06:34	bitcoin up or down february 19 6am et	Down	BUY	289	100¢	$288	0xa44ce5…
02-19 12:05:58	bitcoin up or down february 19 6am et	Down	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xdca94b…
02-19 12:05:58	bitcoin up or down february 19 6am et	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x255ce8…
02-19 12:05:48	bitcoin up or down february 19 6am et	Down	BUY	3,300	100¢	$3,297	0xc6e3e3…
02-19 12:05:42	bitcoin up or down february 19 6am et	Down	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x164200…
02-19 12:05:38	bitcoin up or down february 19 6am et	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x47b5e7…