Realized P&L
-$3.34K
Unrealized P&L
-$89
Hit rate
77.6%
Resolved
971
Trades
5,068
lifetime
Volume
$529.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$105
Open exposure
$294
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 08-18 19:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 158 days
Categories
Politics
79% 43% +$3,917
Other
15% 71% -$6,460
Crypto
6% 49% -$694
Sports
0% 90% +$59
Pop-Culture
0% 40% -$162
Tech
0% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -141 -$96 86¢ $-121 -$25 05-07 21:11
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? No -136 -$117 80¢ $-108 +$9 05-07 12:32
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 Yes +220 $107 10¢ $22 -$85 06-26 20:50
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +308 $57 6¢ $18 -$39 08-13 10:29
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +100 $17 14¢ $14 -$3 07-08 11:40
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? Yes -168 -$17 3¢ $-5 +$12 07-11 22:24
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? Yes -104 -$12 3¢ $-3 +$9 07-11 22:24
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -54 -$31 3¢ $-2 +$30 05-20 16:25
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -500 -$3 0¢ $-1 +$2 05-06 20:01