Realized P&L
+$1.74K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.29K
Hit rate
67.3%
Resolved
2,854
Trades
22,006
lifetime
Volume
$353.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$36.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-31
last 10-27 20:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 101 days
Categories
Other
50% 79% -$1,005
Sports
34% 57% +$2,049
Tech
8% 50% +$721
Politics
8% 67% -$8
Crypto
0% 40% -$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 428 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: Other No +6,679 $6,646 100¢ $6.7K +$27 07-17 14:58
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +6,677 $6,570 99¢ $6.6K +$43 07-17 14:58
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +6,679 $5,677 92¢ $6.2K +$501 07-17 14:58
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +6,679 $4,007 72¢ $4.8K +$835 07-17 14:58
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +6,679 $3,740 34¢ $2.3K -$1,436 07-17 14:58
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +2,908 $1,306 57¢ $1.7K +$352 10-27 09:47
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +1,638 $1,600 96¢ $1.6K -$23 09-18 04:37
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +1,603 $1,297 97¢ $1.6K +$258 09-13 12:29
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +817 $521 96¢ $780 +$259 08-11 06:54
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +1,408 $537 39¢ $549 +$12 10-27 09:47
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +734 $395 60¢ $440 +$46 10-27 08:52
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +561 $254 58¢ $325 +$71 10-26 08:53
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +294 $202 96¢ $283 +$81 09-13 12:30
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +706 $332 40¢ $282 -$50 10-27 08:30
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +275 $258 100¢ $275 +$16 07-16 11:23
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +275 $146 94¢ $257 +$111 07-16 11:23
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +564 $199 42¢ $237 +$38 10-27 08:29
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,107 $301 18¢ $200 -$101 07-16 14:41
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +192 $181 97¢ $186 +$5 07-14 15:33
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +186 $71 62¢ $114 +$44 09-18 06:56
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +118 -$52 94¢ $111 +$162 08-18 13:08
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +106 $104 100¢ $106 +$2 07-17 03:04
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +106 $103 99¢ $105 +$2 07-17 03:04
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +106 $102 98¢ $104 +$2 07-17 03:04
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +106 $104 98¢ $104 +$0 07-17 03:04
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +106 $102 98¢ $104 +$2 07-17 03:04
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +106 $102 97¢ $103 +$1 07-17 03:04
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +160 $86 64¢ $103 +$17 07-16 11:23
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +106 $104 97¢ $103 -$1 07-17 03:04
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +102 $91 100¢ $102 +$11 07-17 01:53