Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$91

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.8%

Resolved

Trades

192

lifetime

Volume

$417

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-07

last 10-21 06:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

51% 46% -$35

Other

49% 37% -$56

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 18?	2	$31	29	29	+0	No	+$25	10-18 15:37
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	3	$17	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	10-20 17:40
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 19?	2	$15	17	0	+17	Yes	-$15	10-19 02:47
Will Trump say "Animal" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	4	$13	22	0	+22	No	-$7	10-18 22:06
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 18?	8	$12	76	0	+76	Yes	-$12	10-18 17:30
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$12	15	0	+15	No	-$12	10-20 00:03
Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	3	$11	23	0	+23	No	-$11	10-19 22:02
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 18?	4	$10	35	0	+35	No	$0	10-18 12:51
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 21?	1	$10	12	0	+12	No	+$2	10-18 12:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 18?	3	$9	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	10-18 09:09
Will the announcers say "Wild" during the Cowboys vs Packers game?	3	$9	9	6	+3	open	—	10-20 17:38
Will "Japan" be in the headlines this week?	7	$7	82	0	+82	No	-$7	10-17 21:25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	2	$7	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	10-18 09:09
will trump say spoiler during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	4	$7	18	0	+18	No	-$7	10-13 08:56
Counter-Strike: BIG vs PARIVISION (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs	3	$7	15	0	+15	PARIVISION	-$7	10-21 03:06
will trump say healthcare during his midterm rally in montana october 14	5	$6	9	0	+9	Yes	+$3	10-15 02:43
Will Trump say "Island" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	2	$6	10	0	+10	Yes	+$4	10-20 22:57
Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	2	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	10-18 18:03
will trump say school choice during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	6	$6	26	0	+26	No	-$6	10-14 05:24
will trump say pipeline during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	2	$6	10	0	+10	Yes	$0	10-12 23:12
Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	3	$6	12	0	+12	Yes	+$1	10-16 22:15
Will the announcers say "Inch" or "Inches" during the Cowboys vs Packers game?	2	$6	25	0	+25	Yes	-$6	10-18 15:47
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	10-18 09:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	10-18 09:10
will trump say fish during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	3	$6	8	0	+8	No	-$6	10-13 08:56
Will Trump say "Drag Show" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	2	$5	7	0	+7	No	-$5	10-19 22:02
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 18?	3	$5	58	0	+58	No	-$5	10-18 17:12
AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio: Cagliari Calcio O/U 0.5	3	$5	9	0	+9	Under	-$5	10-19 17:43
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	5	$5	10	0	+10	No	-$5	10-14 05:25
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 18?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	10-18 14:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 06:03:14	Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B	Dawn Bulls	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf20453…
10-21 03:06:36	Counter-Strike: BIG vs PARIVISION (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs	BIG	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xeefaf4…
10-21 00:13:15	Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xcaa973…
10-20 23:46:23	Counter-Strike: BIG vs PARIVISION (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs	BIG	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xed7416…
10-20 23:22:14	Will Trump say "Job" 18+ times during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xe5cbf4…
10-20 22:59:39	Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0xaeace9…
10-20 22:59:14	Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x323252…
10-20 22:57:26	Will Trump say "Island" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1c2598…
10-20 22:26:39	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0xf622df…
10-20 21:27:12	Will Trump say "Two Percent" or "2%" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xf79a4d…
10-20 21:25:59	Counter-Strike: BIG vs PARIVISION (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs	BIG	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf98985…
10-20 19:33:05	Will Trump say "Allah" this week?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x448312…
10-20 19:32:29	Will Trump say "Strategic" or "Strategy" this week?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc8e2ee…
10-20 19:32:27	Will Trump say "Vanilla" or "Ice Cream" this week?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x8784c4…
10-20 19:17:18	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xdfbe27…
10-20 17:40:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xe3b533…
10-20 17:38:36	Will the announcers say "Wild" during the Cowboys vs Packers game?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4bcd30…
10-20 16:42:14	Will Trump say "Fort Bragg" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xf0497a…
10-20 15:55:27	Will Trump say "Island" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xac7c73…
10-20 15:11:44	Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x45df11…
10-20 14:57:51	Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa60af3…
10-20 13:08:45	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xf3f0a8…
10-20 12:46:35	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 23?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x7d7c2b…
10-20 09:25:02	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xbc036e…
10-20 03:43:44	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x2354eb…
10-20 03:43:38	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x73846e…
10-20 00:03:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x234f2a…
10-20 00:03:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb9e181…
10-20 00:03:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb09239…
10-20 00:01:03	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xffae50…
10-19 23:30:06	will trump say data center during his midterm rally in north carolina october 20	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x41530f…
10-19 22:02:12	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x3616fd…
10-19 22:02:10	Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x3f6c8d…
10-19 22:02:07	Will Trump say "Drag Show" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x675644…
10-19 21:16:27	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Emerson Jones	Emerson Jones	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x49e914…
10-19 21:00:04	Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	BUY	52	3¢	$2	0x2b569f…
10-19 20:59:52	Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	BUY	41	4¢	$2	0x4cd9b8…
10-19 20:42:24	Will Trump say "Data Center" or "Electric" or "Electricity" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xc29aaf…
10-19 17:46:09	AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x225bc3…
10-19 17:46:00	AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xf989da…
10-19 17:43:41	AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio: Cagliari Calcio O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xc5c50f…
10-19 17:43:32	AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio: Cagliari Calcio O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x724323…
10-19 17:43:21	AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio: Cagliari Calcio O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xce1803…
10-19 16:22:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xbe74e6…
10-19 12:24:00	Will Trump say "Vanilla" or "Ice Cream" this week?	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x2449bc…
10-19 12:13:11	Will the announcers say "Wild" during the Cowboys vs Packers game?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2c0666…
10-19 07:35:36	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xe92fa8…
10-19 02:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 19?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xce0aec…
10-19 01:22:00	Will there be 4 or more Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12?	Yes	BUY	19	13¢	$3	0x23b100…
10-18 23:30:17	Will the announcers say "Wild" during the Cowboys vs Packers game?	No	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x70cc92…
10-18 22:06:09	Will Trump say "Animal" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x7e9156…
10-18 22:05:14	Will Trump say "Fertilizer" or "Rural" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xbf5706…
10-18 20:10:41	Will Trump say "Animal" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x0085c0…
10-18 19:24:39	Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x8bf269…
10-18 19:12:59	Will Trump say "Animal" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	7	37¢	$2	0x902599…
10-18 19:12:45	Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x58f427…
10-18 18:26:56	Will Trump say "Regulation" or "Regulatory" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xcea649…
10-18 18:23:30	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x1f8cce…
10-18 18:22:03	will trump say animal during his midterm rally in kansas october 19	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x79d14f…
10-18 18:03:03	Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe28460…
10-18 17:30:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 18?	No	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x8062b9…
10-18 17:12:50	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0x5fa68b…
10-18 17:12:47	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0x197339…
10-18 17:12:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0xb65acc…
10-18 16:39:48	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x8111b0…
10-18 16:35:41	Will Trump say "Drag Show" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x826cfd…
10-18 16:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 18?	No	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x3080f0…
10-18 16:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 18?	No	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x5ac0e4…
10-18 15:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 18?	No	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xc411f9…
10-18 15:47:35	Will the announcers say "Inch" or "Inches" during the Cowboys vs Packers game?	No	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x4766c9…
10-18 15:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0x1b518f…
10-18 15:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 18?	No	BUY	10	15¢	$1	0x2dd93e…
10-18 15:28:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 18?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xcaec5e…
10-18 15:19:35	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 18?	No	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0xd76955…
10-18 15:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 18?	No	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0x62a107…
10-18 14:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 18?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb6f053…
10-18 12:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 18?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xfa8148…
10-18 12:51:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 18?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x68afe9…
10-18 12:29:51	Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2e9d00…
10-18 12:01:24	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 21?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x0d89bb…
10-18 09:47:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0xf31c18…
10-18 09:32:47	Will the announcers say "Inch" or "Inches" during the Cowboys vs Packers game?	No	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xb12631…
10-18 09:26:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 18?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0xf59286…
10-18 09:11:03	Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?	No	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0x37b8cc…
10-18 09:10:23	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x9b0bef…
10-18 09:10:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0xd92b89…
10-18 09:10:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0xda1736…
10-18 09:09:54	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x8a5de7…
10-18 09:09:38	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8815a7…
10-18 09:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x3cc90e…
10-18 07:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xd15be9…
10-18 07:37:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2b1c26…
10-18 04:43:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x465413…
10-18 03:41:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xab96e3…
10-18 01:53:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xbc78ed…
10-17 21:25:30	Will "Japan" be in the headlines this week?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x58b0d5…
10-17 19:15:24	Will Trump say "Whiskey" or "Bourbon" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x5cba61…
10-17 18:36:21	will trump say truck during his midterm rally in kentucky october 17	Yes	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x99abef…
10-17 16:54:03	will trump say kfc during his midterm rally in kentucky october 17	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xb5e3db…
10-17 16:36:45	will trump say kfc during his midterm rally in kentucky october 17	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x82c257…