Realized P&L
+$4.84K
Unrealized P&L
-$4.34K
Hit rate
83.7%
Resolved
73
Trades
1,446
lifetime
Volume
$263.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$182
Open exposure
$3.43K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-25 22:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 39 days
Categories
Politics
38% 48% +$1,445
Other
36% 62% +$4,417
Crypto
23% 67% -$1,024
Pop-Culture
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +1,563 $978 78¢ $1.2K +$248 08-30 15:37
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +29,638 $2,468 2¢ $533 -$1,934 10-09 06:30
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +1,004 $467 44¢ $437 -$31 08-22 08:13
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +3,869 $1,365 7¢ $259 -$1,105 09-02 05:27
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? Yes +2,937 $59 8¢ $250 +$191 10-25 22:29
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,561 $691 4¢ $160 -$531 09-04 09:42
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,500 $282 8¢ $120 -$162 10-02 09:19
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +508 $171 23¢ $117 -$54 08-22 01:26
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +2,286 $405 5¢ $111 -$294 09-09 22:48
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +1,200 $350 8¢ $96 -$254 09-10 16:50
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? No +67 $53 84¢ $56 +$4 10-10 00:14
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -204 -$63 11¢ $-22 +$41 05-20 22:59
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +300 $142 7¢ $22 -$120 04-28 14:17
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +300 $39 4¢ $13 -$26 07-20 14:25
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $10 8¢ $8 -$2 07-19 01:32
kanye west performs in russia by october 31 Yes +1,120 $317 0¢ $2 -$315 09-27 21:46