Hard-To-Find-Cadet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$5.01K

Unrealized P&L

+$676

Hit rate

93.9%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

118

8,332 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$31.1K

$348.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

$4.47K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-02 17:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Other

45% 43% +$18,478

Sports

33% 86% +$27,155

Politics

15% 55% +$1,367

Crypto

7% 22% -$3,209

Tech

0% 0% -$37

Pop-Culture

0% 14% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	+5,563	$4,024	78¢	$4.3K	+$316	11-01 21:05
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	+603	$155	22¢	$133	-$22	11-01 10:39
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+0	-$382	9¢	$0	+$382	07-13 21:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	105	$34.1K	33,771	34,771	-1,000	No	+$39	07-19 11:05
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	66	$29.6K	30,551	29,551	+1,000	No	+$7,578	07-19 09:27
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	132	$23.1K	342,169	342,169	+0	No	+$7,353	07-14 01:08
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	150	$22.0K	294,214	294,214	+0	No	+$8,801	07-14 01:07
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	80	$19.9K	177,053	177,053	+0	No	+$6,963	07-13 20:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	241	$19.5K	4,158,438	4,128,421	+30,017	Yes	+$1,419	06-18 00:16
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	9	$19.1K	10,000	11,000	-1,000	No	+$1	07-16 13:39
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	26	$17.1K	12,560	12,560	+0	No	+$4,697	10-30 16:51
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	28	$12.2K	11,210	5,044	+6,166	open	—	11-01 21:05
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	46	$10.6K	20,115	6,754	+13,360	No	+$5,346	07-17 11:48
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	647	$10.2K	148,427	148,528	-101	No	+$84	05-29 23:36
will axiom be accused of insider trading	50	$8.7K	8,840	7,730	+1,110	Yes	-$10	02-26 14:36
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	455	$8.0K	3,525,270	3,520,270	+5,000	Yes	-$44	07-10 00:12
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2,342	$7.7K	331,571	331,672	-101	No	+$146	06-15 18:23
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	9	$7.2K	11,730	4,930	+6,800	Yes	+$24	05-01 10:00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	41	$7.1K	22,138	9,302	+12,836	No	-$2,640	06-04 00:29
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1,820	$6.7K	336,956	337,057	-101	No	+$1	06-15 18:23
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	21	$5.7K	3,851	3,845	+6	No	+$960	04-01 00:05
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	10	$5.5K	6,988	6,988	+0	Yes	+$636	04-07 22:33
Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C	7	$4.0K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	11-02 17:18
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	26	$4.0K	38,915	38,915	+0	No	+$1,840	07-13 19:41
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	65	$2.9K	512,585	103,015	+409,570	No	-$560	05-01 13:03
will tit me pregunt be played first at the super bowl halftime show	35	$2.6K	3,779	0	+3,779	Yes	+$1,220	02-08 15:48
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	705	$2.5K	80,099	80,200	-101	No	-$79	05-29 23:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	75	$2.4K	1,139,530	1,115,900	+23,630	Yes	+$161	05-09 19:11
Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	9	$2.4K	1,534	1,519	+15	No	+$394	03-29 16:41
Over $180M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$1	03-29 21:43
Will Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?	6	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$1	02-27 22:23
andrew tate of tweets february 24 march 3 2026 130 159	3	$2.0K	987	987	+0	Yes	+$0	03-03 19:12
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$1.9K	3,125	3,125	+0	open	—	10-20 09:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 17:18:27	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C	potn9ki	SELL	2,000	50¢	$1,002	0x61a40e…
11-02 17:18:10	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C	potn9ki	SELL	2,000	50¢	$1,000	0xe01f7e…
11-02 16:34:31	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C	potn9ki	BUY	1,000	50¢	$504	0x86db98…
11-02 16:34:21	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C	potn9ki	BUY	63	50¢	$32	0x61799a…
11-02 16:28:46	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C	potn9ki	BUY	1,000	50¢	$504	0x5fd000…
11-02 16:25:19	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C	potn9ki	BUY	1,000	52¢	$516	0x12014c…
11-01 22:57:42	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15,706	0¢	$16	0x71222b…
11-01 22:56:42	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x92d62e…
11-01 22:56:30	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x14135c…
11-01 22:09:51	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,100	0¢	$1	0x663191…
11-01 22:08:27	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,000	0¢	$3	0x6d987c…
11-01 21:42:33	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,720	0¢	$2	0xb1b72d…
11-01 21:42:21	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xca14d7…
11-01 21:33:01	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x67ae77…
11-01 21:24:57	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,920	0¢	$2	0xa7bb43…
11-01 21:21:54	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x53b224…
11-01 21:20:39	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	69,554	0¢	$70	0xc95a8c…
11-01 21:19:25	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0x79122f…
11-01 21:05:58	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x9bdb8a…
11-01 21:01:51	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,276	0¢	$2	0x8d05e5…
11-01 21:00:37	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4,530	0¢	$5	0x2e2a8c…
11-01 20:58:13	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,492	80¢	$2,778	0xa6c787…
11-01 20:53:43	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,000	0¢	$3	0xe55b91…
11-01 19:29:48	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	700	0¢	$1	0xffea3f…
11-01 19:17:37	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15,000	0¢	$15	0x460f37…
11-01 18:55:24	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40,000	0¢	$40	0xb696a1…
11-01 18:46:40	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16,368	0¢	$16	0xcd3f4c…
11-01 18:43:13	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,200	0¢	$3	0x04958c…
11-01 18:36:28	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15,000	0¢	$15	0xbd5e21…
11-01 18:29:13	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51,798	0¢	$52	0x6ad7b6…
11-01 18:25:49	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	79¢	$158	0x1faf8c…
11-01 18:25:18	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	79¢	$158	0x89940b…
11-01 18:22:54	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7cbf8e…
11-01 18:13:40	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14,280	0¢	$14	0x277b8c…
11-01 17:52:37	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,700	0¢	$4	0x57d631…
11-01 17:48:28	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,730	0¢	$4	0x650dc5…
11-01 17:46:24	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20,000	0¢	$20	0x3281e2…
11-01 17:41:52	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,000	0¢	$3	0x714447…
11-01 17:40:34	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0x4cb54b…
11-01 17:40:33	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6,072	0¢	$6	0x6c42e4…
11-01 17:30:42	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200,000	0¢	$200	0x376046…
11-01 17:16:51	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	460	0¢	$0	0xcfc443…
11-01 17:12:01	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xdd74bd…
11-01 17:11:39	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	64	0¢	$0	0xf2c522…
11-01 17:11:33	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xb2d447…
11-01 17:10:28	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xec697a…
11-01 17:09:52	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	49	0¢	$0	0x4bb469…
11-01 17:09:40	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x76ca07…
11-01 17:09:28	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	117	0¢	$0	0xc48842…
11-01 17:04:30	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	39	0¢	$0	0xa0bcca…
11-01 17:03:00	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x3f8793…
11-01 17:01:55	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xb30416…
11-01 16:59:22	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	102	0¢	$0	0xdb3932…
11-01 16:54:09	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xbf99b5…
11-01 16:50:12	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13,000	0¢	$13	0x54a86c…
11-01 16:46:55	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x84ccda…
11-01 16:46:48	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x478010…
11-01 16:45:58	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x3c3975…
11-01 16:45:28	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	33,338	0¢	$33	0xd00e18…
11-01 16:45:13	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6,000	0¢	$6	0xd83346…
11-01 16:43:45	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0x6f0c9a…
11-01 16:43:43	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	27,323	0¢	$27	0x17bb24…
11-01 16:43:24	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	170,000	0¢	$170	0xae4753…
11-01 16:42:15	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25,000	0¢	$25	0xc9d0d7…
11-01 14:05:00	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	240	85¢	$204	0x0c968b…
11-01 14:04:24	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	86¢	$145	0xb56db9…
11-01 14:04:03	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	86¢	$66	0xfdd6b7…
11-01 13:59:37	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	325	87¢	$284	0x9d3a12…
11-01 13:55:42	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	325	87¢	$284	0x806916…
11-01 12:04:57	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,118	77¢	$3,951	0xf8c61b…
11-01 11:48:46	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	77¢	$51	0xb0361e…
11-01 11:48:28	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x106113…
11-01 11:29:51	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	280	77¢	$216	0x221ed6…
11-01 11:28:31	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	290	77¢	$224	0x32e134…
11-01 11:28:04	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x585e48…
11-01 10:48:31	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xc44228…
11-01 10:45:48	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	74¢	$81	0x177dda…
11-01 10:44:55	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,292	73¢	$943	0x7a13cf…
11-01 10:43:13	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,584	72¢	$1,141	0xbdbbd2…
11-01 10:39:45	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	17	29¢	$5	0x147861…
11-01 10:39:24	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x25dcf1…
11-01 10:23:37	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	71	29¢	$21	0x129bf0…
11-01 10:23:09	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	60	27¢	$16	0x7d06ce…
11-01 10:22:16	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	421	25¢	$105	0xbe4c8a…
11-01 10:15:09	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x8a8a5d…
11-01 10:12:07	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,788	75¢	$1,337	0x3eb0be…
11-01 10:07:06	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	47	26¢	$12	0x108201…
10-30 16:51:24	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	383	96¢	$368	0x16c2e3…
10-30 16:49:15	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	970	97¢	$943	0xa80e50…
10-30 16:03:10	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	36	99¢	$35	0x902234…
10-30 16:01:19	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	Yes	BUY	1,586	100¢	$1,584	0xeb4940…
10-30 15:59:48	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0x42bc15…
10-30 15:57:54	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	820	61¢	$500	0x154cd6…
10-30 15:32:00	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	642	97¢	$625	0x742b8a…
10-30 15:30:22	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,926	95¢	$1,834	0x668201…
10-30 15:07:19	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xc1a6ef…
10-30 15:07:10	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	258	95¢	$245	0x7cffc7…
10-30 15:02:24	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	237	95¢	$226	0xa025f5…
10-30 15:02:24	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	261	95¢	$249	0x681d08…
10-30 10:22:31	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,842	84¢	$2,394	0xc531bb…