Dismal-Mango — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$743

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.9%

Resolved

2,852

Trades

6,044

lifetime

Volume

$93.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 10-31 01:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 84% +$2,129

Other

14% 67% -$1,309

Politics

0% 33% -$77

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 1337 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 380 399	5	$1.2K	624	624	+0	No	+$10	02-03 15:11
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 40 64	11	$729	848	0	+848	Yes	-$493	02-07 09:31
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	11	$620	715	0	+715	Yes	+$95	02-03 15:16
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 320 339	3	$594	611	0	+611	No	+$16	02-02 14:08
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 40 64	1	$577	594	0	+594	No	+$17	02-01 10:57
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 0 39	4	$563	327	327	+0	No	+$91	02-08 12:22
bitcoin above 76k on february 5	2	$497	251	251	+0	No	+$5	02-05 16:32
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 65 89	3	$396	447	0	+447	No	+$50	02-04 09:26
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 115 139	5	$370	376	363	+13	Yes	-$331	02-09 15:02
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	3	$352	562	0	+562	Yes	-$352	04-03 13:28
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 90 114	41	$345	300	300	-0	Yes	+$159	02-04 15:34
bitcoin up or down on february 8	2	$327	344	0	+344	Up	+$17	02-08 12:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 17:15 UTC	1	$318	530	0	+530	Down	+$212	04-08 17:19
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	8	$307	216	216	+0	No	-$93	04-03 13:26
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 300 319	11	$265	364	153	+210	No	-$134	02-10 12:34
bitcoin above 74k on february 6	2	$235	120	120	+0	No	+$4	02-06 10:37
bitcoin above 68k on february 18	5	$229	132	132	+0	No	+$32	02-18 16:35
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 115 139	2	$217	300	300	+0	No	-$101	02-04 15:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 15:20 UTC	3	$213	115	115	+0	Down	+$14	03-23 15:24
xrp above 1pt5 on february 5	2	$210	110	110	+0	No	+$10	02-05 15:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 17:30 UTC	2	$206	108	107	+0	Up	+$6	03-18 17:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 13:30 UTC	6	$205	106	106	+0	Up	+$5	03-16 13:39
solana above 80 on february 6	4	$200	250	250	+0	Yes	-$89	02-06 13:33
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?	1	$200	382	0	+382	No	-$200	04-28 13:36
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	3	$180	186	0	+186	No	+$6	05-16 11:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 08:00 UTC	6	$179	186	105	+82	Up	+$76	04-07 08:10
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 0 39	3	$174	220	160	+60	Yes	-$13	03-04 08:18
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	4	$162	180	0	+180	Yes	-$162	05-05 17:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 15:00 UTC	7	$161	117	112	+5	Up	+$66	04-06 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 11:25 UTC	6	$161	201	58	+143	Up	-$89	04-10 11:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 03:19:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf1dffe…
10-31 01:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeec41c…
10-31 00:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x9425c7…
10-30 23:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xc1c23e…
10-30 22:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	73¢	$24	0xc5efb0…
10-30 22:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	78¢	$24	0x204f66…
10-30 21:39:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4762fb…
10-30 20:54:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x328492…
10-30 20:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbaf094…
10-30 20:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x9f11a6…
10-30 20:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x7b3d90…
10-30 20:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x457eff…
10-30 19:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x6350a2…
10-30 19:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x308821…
10-30 19:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x47d04d…
10-30 19:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x330c4d…
10-30 18:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe41cf6…
10-30 18:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7043e4…
10-30 18:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2150b2…
10-30 17:59:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xd9fccf…
10-30 17:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xf75ca1…
10-30 17:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x6a4b1d…
10-30 17:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	90¢	$25	0x35f78f…
10-30 17:45:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x1c730c…
10-30 17:45:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x11838e…
10-30 17:45:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x04b008…
10-30 17:29:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xc857e2…
10-30 16:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x09d9a0…
10-30 16:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x497a02…
10-30 15:44:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x211ea7…
10-30 15:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xb138b2…
10-30 15:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xedc732…
10-30 15:39:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x832331…
10-30 15:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x12cfba…
10-30 14:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xf20396…
10-30 14:49:55	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0xdf285e…
10-30 14:49:55	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x012be9…
10-30 14:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x452b2e…
10-30 13:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x84b3e7…
10-30 13:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x3c9641…
10-30 13:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x57a1b2…
10-30 13:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	94¢	$12	0xdbdb3e…
10-30 13:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xfd661d…
10-30 13:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaeed59…
10-30 12:19:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6d11cc…
10-30 11:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xfb842d…
10-30 11:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xce0373…
10-30 11:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xbb3fcf…
10-30 10:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa9e5e9…
10-30 10:14:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x1da48f…
10-30 09:59:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x0de73e…
10-30 09:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x228e79…
10-30 09:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x189ef1…
10-30 09:14:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4232cc…
10-30 08:49:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xe9d2ed…
10-30 08:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	37	66¢	$24	0xeef31c…
10-30 08:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	37	66¢	$24	0xb2c77d…
10-30 08:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0x5474f1…
10-30 08:09:06	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xecf860…
10-30 07:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x808c31…
10-30 06:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x3212a2…
10-30 05:49:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x74b9cc…
10-30 05:44:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xee2b7c…
10-30 05:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x0d66ad…
10-30 05:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5444c4…
10-30 05:09:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x01aaee…
10-30 04:49:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc858c1…
10-30 04:44:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	82¢	$24	0x1c987f…
10-30 04:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xf4ad0b…
10-30 04:34:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x7f635a…
10-30 04:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x438660…
10-30 04:24:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc369af…
10-30 04:06:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x95a27d…
10-30 04:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	94¢	$25	0x0e8bbb…
10-30 03:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa9551f…
10-30 03:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x972370…
10-30 02:53:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x9f33e4…
10-30 02:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	94¢	$25	0xf994d1…
10-30 02:44:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x43cb6a…
10-30 02:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xd2f533…
10-30 02:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x650db6…
10-30 02:24:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x5cbec2…
10-30 02:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	94¢	$25	0x8a719b…
10-30 01:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x5fb524…
10-30 01:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x26898d…
10-30 01:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x8a18c9…
10-30 01:14:54	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbd757a…
10-30 00:49:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x5caae6…
10-30 00:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x5e257b…
10-30 00:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x7b5199…
10-29 23:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa7fd6a…
10-29 23:34:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa4421f…
10-29 23:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x714217…
10-29 22:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	84¢	$24	0x9f827e…
10-29 22:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x03b202…
10-29 22:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xc95bdb…
10-29 22:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xf23b0f…
10-29 21:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd56a50…
10-29 21:50:00	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xef9546…
10-29 21:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xdb15be…