Hefty-Con — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$88

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 07-08 06:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

38% 100% +$0

Politics

33% 100% +$0

Other

29% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	11	$1.2K	663	757	-93	open	—	04-16 02:03
Will Solana reach $170 in May?	2	$798	401	401	+0	open	—	05-13 16:00
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	1	$700	701	0	+701	open	—	04-19 14:15
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	9	$527	744	121	+623	open	—	04-07 19:58
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$382	408	369	+39	open	—	05-14 17:12
Will Solana reach $150 May 4-10?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-05 05:06
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$254	127	127	+0	open	—	03-22 22:21
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$239	359	0	+359	open	—	05-15 13:47
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$204	294	0	+294	open	—	05-13 16:54
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	4	$185	160	160	+0	open	—	03-27 03:38
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$140	579	0	+579	open	—	05-14 15:08
Will the price of Solana be less than $40 on April 25?	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	04-23 14:41
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 22 2026 392	1	$127	138	0	+138	open	—	03-22 22:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	04-29 11:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$105	106	0	+106	open	—	05-12 09:42
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	04-12 13:44
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	2	$87	57	57	+0	open	—	03-29 12:00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 11?	1	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	05-09 14:49
ethereum above 2300 on july 11 2026	1	$58	58	0	+58	open	—	07-08 06:54
will hong kong have between 160 170mm of precipitation in march	1	$39	51	0	+51	open	—	03-29 12:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	05-07 10:33
open above 0 on february 27 2026	2	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	02-27 09:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-29 11:23
will tsla reach 533 in february	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	02-27 09:01
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	04-26 14:21
msft above 345 on february 27 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-27 08:57
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	06-25 07:08
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	1	$16	17	0	+17	open	—	05-12 09:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-26 14:20
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on April 25?	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	04-25 02:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 06:54:47	ethereum above 2300 on july 11 2026	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x318f56…
06-25 07:08:34	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xc3e675…
06-02 08:07:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xb1d519…
05-15 13:47:44	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	359	66¢	$239	0x32a7ce…
05-14 17:12:42	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	369	22¢	$82	0x980538…
05-14 15:08:02	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	230	17¢	$40	0x1d343a…
05-14 12:51:30	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	349	29¢	$100	0x108bbd…
05-13 16:59:56	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	271	74¢	$200	0x94c849…
05-13 16:59:23	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x7f6213…
05-13 16:54:18	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	288	70¢	$200	0x7ff8a0…
05-13 16:11:52	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x30bb4f…
05-13 16:00:28	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	SELL	401	99¢	$398	0xb750d4…
05-12 09:44:03	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0x8fc194…
05-12 09:42:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x276cab…
05-09 14:49:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 11?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xc31af3…
05-07 10:33:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0xd9d757…
05-05 05:08:44	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0x9e3f92…
05-05 05:06:46	Will Solana reach $150 May 4-10?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x82db17…
04-29 11:24:48	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x147c14…
04-29 11:23:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xe71d91…
04-29 11:22:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x406b1f…
04-26 14:21:18	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x2c0dd6…
04-26 14:20:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x16229e…
04-25 02:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on April 25?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5361bb…
04-23 14:41:42	Will the price of Solana be less than $40 on April 25?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x36b9ee…
04-19 14:15:20	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	701	100¢	$700	0xfe0c9a…
04-18 11:42:40	highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 28c	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6d9130…
04-16 18:02:24	highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 25c	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3c7fc0…
04-16 02:03:08	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	SELL	757	99¢	$749	0xda78d6…
04-13 22:08:03	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	168	69¢	$116	0x37c8d3…
04-13 19:32:35	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xf23656…
04-13 19:32:35	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x008d1b…
04-13 17:36:01	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	92	69¢	$63	0x13314b…
04-13 15:23:51	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x36bbab…
04-13 14:59:59	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x6fc181…
04-13 14:55:07	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xc897a3…
04-13 14:54:51	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xe16969…
04-13 14:54:51	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	194	69¢	$134	0x122b7c…
04-12 13:44:07	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x29e614…
04-12 11:40:19	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	157	64¢	$100	0x5c1981…
04-11 06:35:21	highest temperature in chicago on april 12 2026 26 27f	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x66f097…
04-07 19:58:01	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	62¢	$18	0x5e3144…
04-07 19:57:59	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xfa4eae…
04-07 19:57:59	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	62¢	$19	0x816f8b…
04-07 19:57:39	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xab86f6…
04-07 19:57:39	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0xa03517…
04-07 19:54:39	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0x4f5073…
04-02 02:09:59	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	674	61¢	$411	0xee3c38…
04-02 02:06:55	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x2e8446…
04-02 02:06:53	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x82059b…
03-29 12:00:52	will hong kong have between 160 170mm of precipitation in march	No	BUY	51	76¢	$39	0x2e4ecb…
03-29 12:00:20	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	57	68¢	$39	0xb69afc…
03-29 11:51:40	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	57	84¢	$48	0x48d181…
03-27 03:38:53	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	SELL	160	30¢	$48	0xef3dfe…
03-25 04:30:51	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	BUY	116	87¢	$101	0xf31194…
03-25 04:29:49	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x1e07d0…
03-24 15:39:57	highest temperature in wellington on march 25 2026 20c	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x2f3da2…
03-23 23:50:07	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	BUY	9	71¢	$7	0x6bd859…
03-22 22:21:53	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 22 2026 392	Yes	BUY	138	92¢	$127	0x9207e9…
03-22 22:21:03	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0x67de93…
03-13 16:16:35	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xa97dbc…
02-27 09:01:09	will tsla reach 533 in february	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x632a86…
02-27 09:00:43	open above 0 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd92014…
02-27 09:00:11	open above 0 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2135ed…
02-27 08:59:41	will googl dip to 250 in february	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a5a12…
02-27 08:58:39	will sp 500 spx close over 7060 on the final trading day of february 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5f586e…
02-27 08:58:13	nflx above 80 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf18cce…
02-27 08:57:47	msft above 345 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xce3d76…
02-27 08:57:19	will gold gc settle over 5500 on the final trading day of february 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x305ba9…
02-27 08:56:41	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2a2976…