Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$357

Unrealized P&L

+$81

Hit rate

93.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$149

Open exposure

$633

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 10-12 14:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

54% 40% +$175

Other

46% 83% +$169

Sports

0% 100% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes		+626	$530	84¢	$529	-$1	10-12 14:53
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No		-656	-$187	16¢	$-104	+$82	10-12 14:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$901	513	513	+0	No	+$58	03-30 11:19
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	2	$530	626	0	+626	open	—	10-12 14:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$426	238	238	+0	open	—	08-29 10:05
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	1	$380	413	0	+413	No	+$33	04-01 11:44
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	1	$225	351	0	+351	No	+$127	08-29 10:06
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	2	$217	359	0	+359	Yes	+$142	03-30 12:25
Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?	1	$200	214	0	+214	No	+$14	04-21 20:54
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	1	$187	0	656	-656	open	—	10-12 14:52
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$107	0	122	-122	No	-$15	02-03 12:22
will italy join the board of peace	2	$42	24	24	+0	No	+$3	03-14 12:09
will palestine join the board of peace	2	$26	17	17	+0	No	+$6	01-24 20:01
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	1	$15	44	0	+44	No	-$15	05-04 19:19
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$13	0	134	-134	No	+$13	01-22 07:50
will partido popular win 31 33 seats in the 2026 aragon regional election	1	$5	26	0	+26	No	-$5	02-03 12:24
will partido popular win 34 36 seats in the 2026 aragon regional election	1	$5	67	0	+67	No	-$5	02-03 12:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 14:53:09	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	210	86¢	$180	0xa0c4dc…
10-12 14:52:41	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	656	28¢	$187	0xfaa284…
10-11 14:41:00	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	416	84¢	$349	0x56c99e…
08-29 10:06:22	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	No	BUY	351	64¢	$225	0xae76ea…
08-29 10:05:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	238	96¢	$229	0xec5430…
05-11 12:31:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	238	83¢	$197	0xd5483d…
05-04 19:19:28	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	Yes	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0xa30e6a…
04-21 20:54:40	Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?	No	BUY	214	93¢	$200	0x67748c…
04-01 11:44:55	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	BUY	413	92¢	$380	0xb2d1c1…
03-30 12:25:40	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x558494…
03-30 11:19:20	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	513	94¢	$480	0xad29e1…
03-29 12:36:02	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	192	61¢	$117	0x4f48cd…
03-24 21:11:43	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	474	84¢	$398	0xe29cc8…
03-14 12:10:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	39	59¢	$23	0x7d414d…
03-14 12:09:13	will italy join the board of peace	No	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0x6b25a1…
02-03 12:24:34	will partido popular win 34 36 seats in the 2026 aragon regional election	Yes	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0x1f6f19…
02-03 12:24:20	will partido popular win 31 33 seats in the 2026 aragon regional election	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x51656e…
02-03 12:22:06	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	122	88¢	$107	0x26ced1…
01-24 20:01:48	will italy join the board of peace	No	BUY	24	82¢	$19	0xa886eb…
01-24 20:01:06	will palestine join the board of peace	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x65ea8d…
01-22 15:03:40	will palestine join the board of peace	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x972da9…
01-22 07:50:10	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	134	10¢	$13	0x703b19…