Rare-Concentrate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,216

lifetime

Volume

$2.47M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$586

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-04 00:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

64% — —

Politics

24% — —

Crypto

9% 0% $-0

Sports

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	552	$592.1K	454,279	159,476	+294,803	open	—	01-24 11:21
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	994	$311.6K	2,056,998	1,759,348	+297,650	open	—	01-23 12:44
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	266	$282.1K	22,608	270,273	-247,666	open	—	01-23 11:10
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	338	$252.6K	473,869	1,278,617	-804,749	open	—	01-27 12:58
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	38	$224.1K	420,332	269,909	+150,424	open	—	06-04 00:35
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	20	$151.0K	0	152,809	-152,809	open	—	02-07 05:32
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	24	$148.3K	149,589	3,220	+146,369	open	—	02-07 05:31
atp tabilo passaro 2026 02 18	2	$76.3K	48,000	48,000	+0	open	—	02-19 02:30
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	6	$32.6K	32,620	100	+32,520	open	—	02-04 22:29
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	6	$32.6K	32,620	100	+32,520	open	—	02-04 22:30
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	6	$32.6K	32,620	100	+32,520	open	—	02-04 22:29
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	6	$32.6K	32,620	100	+32,520	open	—	02-04 22:29
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	7	$32.6K	32,620	100	+32,520	open	—	02-04 22:28
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$32.3K	32,721	0	+32,720	open	—	02-04 22:24
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	5	$32.0K	0	32,720	-32,720	open	—	02-04 22:27
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	21	$31.6K	23,647	20,882	+2,765	open	—	02-06 14:25
mwoh slo ger 2026 02 18	1	$27.5K	50,000	0	+50,000	open	—	02-18 09:11
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$24.9K	25,000	0	+25,000	open	—	04-30 22:09
ucl bvb1 ata1 2026 02 17 btts	7	$17.7K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	02-17 17:00
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	37	$16.5K	10,411	13,177	-2,765	open	—	02-06 14:25
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	4	$16.0K	16,000	16,720	-720	open	—	02-05 11:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$11.7K	11,750	0	+11,750	open	—	04-08 21:27
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	19	$10.2K	23,463	13,463	+10,000	open	—	03-14 11:42
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$9.7K	9,665	6,000	+3,665	open	—	01-22 12:08
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	4	$9.1K	0	10,025	-10,025	open	—	03-15 12:47
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$7.1K	7,000	10,000	-3,000	open	—	03-18 17:47
will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	15	$5.6K	3,513	3,513	+0	open	—	01-16 13:36
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	15	$2.8K	9,416	9,416	+0	open	—	04-28 13:00
will the chicago bears win super bowl 2026	18	$2.6K	1,366	1,366	+0	open	—	01-14 07:09
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	1	$2.6K	2,571	0	+2,571	open	—	04-30 11:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 00:35:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32,824	100¢	$32,791	0x63b043…
06-02 10:11:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46,000	99¢	$45,586	0x407b14…
06-02 06:56:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	215,309	1¢	$1,722	0x765a07…
06-02 06:50:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,533	1¢	$68	0x65adb5…
06-02 06:45:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	206,776	1¢	$1,654	0x6c3f2c…
06-02 06:43:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18,400	1¢	$129	0x213f28…
06-02 06:00:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,582	99¢	$2,566	0x4a9ad2…
06-02 06:00:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	898	99¢	$893	0x58f8ac…
06-02 06:00:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0xc5465d…
06-02 06:00:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	833	99¢	$828	0x932ab9…
06-02 06:00:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xcf3502…
06-02 06:00:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40,641	99¢	$40,397	0xcce34f…
06-02 00:45:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,454	99¢	$2,437	0xa39700…
06-02 00:45:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,143	99¢	$2,128	0x138615…
06-02 00:44:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20,250	99¢	$20,108	0x645b3a…
06-02 00:44:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	99¢	$9,930	0x2670a7…
06-02 00:44:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,286	99¢	$4,256	0x82f672…
06-02 00:44:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,867	99¢	$5,826	0xd8f331…
06-01 17:04:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35,699	100¢	$35,628	0xe05e62…
06-01 16:19:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	42¢	$212	0x076843…
06-01 14:44:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,900	34¢	$650	0xe0217c…
06-01 14:40:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,300	35¢	$803	0x1f1be7…
06-01 14:38:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,000	35¢	$1,056	0xbc18c0…
06-01 14:12:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,000	42¢	$1,260	0x2472a6…
06-01 14:10:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,800	41¢	$740	0x82cc50…
06-01 14:07:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	40¢	$796	0x147680…
06-01 12:49:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xa6e621…
06-01 12:49:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,157	17¢	$375	0xd3ca16…
06-01 12:49:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	17¢	$6	0x362836…
06-01 12:05:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,344	56¢	$1,880	0x356201…
06-01 12:05:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	457	56¢	$257	0xfa8f01…
06-01 12:05:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x2f8330…
06-01 12:05:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6,849	56¢	$3,849	0xfdf057…
06-01 12:05:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	610	56¢	$343	0x4276c0…
06-01 12:05:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	56¢	$26	0x376523…
06-01 12:05:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,142	56¢	$642	0x25a359…
06-01 12:05:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x195cec…
06-01 12:05:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7,441	56¢	$4,182	0x1345b8…
05-31 03:48:59	Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x8bb4ae…
05-09 16:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8e0026…
05-07 17:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xaea315…
05-06 19:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdfcaa5…
05-06 00:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7fede9…
04-30 22:09:06	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	25,000	100¢	$24,950	0x37a701…
04-30 22:05:12	Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	694	0¢	$1	0xf5eff7…
04-30 21:16:30	Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0xdab64a…
04-30 21:11:12	Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x68fb84…
04-30 21:01:48	Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	946	0¢	$1	0x6b5b09…
04-30 20:05:36	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	SELL	559	0¢	$2	0x0b0a2b…
04-30 19:39:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	559	0¢	$2	0xd14efa…
04-30 18:44:40	Will Trump say "Trump" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xef8c6f…
04-30 16:46:30	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0480af…
04-30 16:23:18	Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x8dc0cc…
04-30 16:20:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	SELL	178	6¢	$11	0x5d654f…
04-30 16:18:40	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	SELL	94	6¢	$6	0xd6aeb5…
04-30 16:18:12	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	272	5¢	$14	0x008e35…
04-30 16:08:58	Will Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" or "Somalian" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	95	98¢	$94	0x8690ec…
04-30 15:49:14	Will Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" or "Somalian" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x33fb0a…
04-30 15:32:40	Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xceb8ff…
04-30 11:07:30	Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,571	100¢	$2,568	0x8cb74d…
04-30 01:14:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	SELL	244	33¢	$80	0x0681b2…
04-30 01:02:56	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	SELL	18	71¢	$12	0x662f3f…
04-30 01:01:56	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	18	69¢	$12	0x699732…
04-30 01:01:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	SELL	100	33¢	$33	0x21e0ac…
04-30 00:58:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	SELL	300	33¢	$99	0xbad555…
04-30 00:55:16	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	SELL	200	33¢	$66	0xd4dd6d…
04-30 00:53:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	SELL	256	33¢	$85	0xc3f164…
04-30 00:08:58	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	1,000	33¢	$330	0x13a8f5…
04-30 00:07:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xc307cc…
04-28 13:00:38	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	9,416	15¢	$1,412	0xf2d194…
04-28 12:59:48	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	235	15¢	$35	0xeaa723…
04-28 12:58:00	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xbb636d…
04-28 12:57:58	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	35	15¢	$5	0xd6866a…
04-28 12:57:18	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xaa2660…
04-28 12:56:58	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xf368c3…
04-28 12:56:48	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	5,000	15¢	$750	0xbb62d0…
04-28 12:56:22	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	118	15¢	$18	0x7b558e…
04-28 12:56:18	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x7ac485…
04-28 12:56:08	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,562	15¢	$234	0x907d1b…
04-28 12:56:06	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	23	15¢	$3	0x7f5b6f…
04-28 12:56:04	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	35	15¢	$5	0xf3b8f4…
04-28 12:56:00	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	190	15¢	$29	0x1e7c2d…
04-28 12:55:50	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	2,000	15¢	$300	0xb131c5…
04-28 12:55:12	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	113	15¢	$17	0x625be3…
04-28 08:37:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe85cf5…
04-27 14:26:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb0fc52…
04-26 18:25:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1c811d…
04-26 05:16:14	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	Yes	SELL	1,046	0¢	$2	0xdc390b…
04-25 18:56:38	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0xe10fa8…
04-25 18:56:12	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	231	2¢	$4	0xe57f14…
04-25 15:15:32	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Rajasthan Royals	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xa56d5b…
04-25 13:38:50	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0xe8c342…
04-25 13:38:50	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x146592…
04-25 13:38:24	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x33dd79…
04-25 13:38:20	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x2d1bba…
04-25 13:37:58	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	496	3¢	$15	0x510e01…
04-25 13:37:06	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x8f6014…
04-25 13:36:52	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x357c4b…
04-25 13:36:48	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x4d72d2…
04-25 13:36:46	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x78985c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x35c0…81d6	792	$741	1,689	03-06 06:35
Excitable-Saviour 0x241f…ef50	763	$43.3M	21,732	06-02 10:52
Stormy-Trolley 0x7ba5…4252	751	$2.99M	6,136	06-02 10:53
Intelligent-Fedelini 0xea8e…3de0	749	$201.8K	6,088	06-02 10:53
(anonymous) 0xdd57…694d	746	$1.12M	31,746	06-02 10:56
(anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9	736	$152.1K	1,162	06-02 11:05
Educated-Jockey 0xce5b…047a	735	$5.53M	11,444	06-02 10:55
(anonymous) 0xd04d…3312	728	$9.28M	2,368	04-30 23:48