Idealistic-Epoxy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.5%

Resolved

698

Trades

2,883

lifetime

Volume

$16.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 05-17 22:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 47% +$20

Other

1% 29% -$19

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down march 11 9am et	3	$323	200	199	+1	Up	+$0	03-11 13:18
ethereum up or down february 20 4pm et	8	$285	200	200	+0	Up	+$101	02-20 21:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 17:45 UTC	4	$283	280	280	+0	Down	+$3	02-19 17:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 16:00 UTC	7	$247	180	178	+2	Up	+$81	03-02 16:09
bitcoin up or down february 19 11am et	7	$227	160	160	+0	Down	+$67	02-19 16:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 20:15 UTC	28	$225	500	0	+500	Down	+$275	02-25 20:16
ethereum up or down february 18 2pm et	10	$221	150	150	+0	Down	+$78	02-18 19:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 08:15 UTC	6	$219	150	149	+1	Down	+$74	02-26 08:30
bitcoin up or down march 4 7am et	6	$208	160	160	+0	Up	+$83	03-04 12:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 20:20 UTC	22	$199	140	139	+1	Down	+$67	03-06 20:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 18:45 UTC	9	$198	200	200	+0	Down	-$2	03-02 18:46
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 20:00 UTC	35	$190	400	0	+400	Down	-$190	02-25 20:03
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 08:30 UTC	13	$187	130	130	+0	Down	+$68	02-23 08:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 13:30 UTC	5	$176	180	180	+0	Down	+$0	03-02 13:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 12:00 UTC	23	$159	130	106	+24	Down	+$59	03-04 12:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 13:45 UTC	6	$148	100	100	+0	Down	+$50	02-25 14:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 17:15 UTC	9	$147	130	50	+80	Down	-$60	02-19 17:24
ethereum up or down february 15 4am et	10	$132	90	90	+0	Down	+$47	02-15 10:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 18:30 UTC	7	$131	90	90	+0	Up	+$47	03-02 18:46
bitcoin up or down february 12 5am et	30	$130	100	100	+0	Up	+$55	02-12 10:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 14:15 UTC	16	$120	190	47	+143	Up	-$48	03-02 14:23
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 14:15 UTC	6	$114	60	90	-30	Down	+$27	02-26 14:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 13:45 UTC	6	$113	115	98	+17	Down	-$1	02-19 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 09:00 UTC	9	$113	80	79	+1	Down	+$36	03-11 09:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 20:45 UTC	3	$112	81	80	+1	Up	+$33	02-11 20:56
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 14:20 UTC	12	$112	80	80	+0	Up	+$44	02-26 14:23
bitcoin up or down february 19 1am et	3	$107	60	80	-20	Up	+$32	02-19 06:52
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 10:00 UTC	4	$106	101	100	+2	Up	+$3	02-23 09:59
ethereum up or down february 18 10am et	11	$104	200	200	+0	Up	-$4	02-18 15:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 16:35 UTC	5	$102	70	70	+0	Up	+$33	03-06 16:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 22:02:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x1cdca8…
05-17 21:05:38	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 19?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xaf2455…
05-17 20:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 19?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x731abb…
05-17 20:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 19?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x687ef6…
05-17 19:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xa5f68f…
05-17 07:19:33	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 17?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x1124b8…
05-16 20:26:17	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 17?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xd147c6…
05-16 20:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xf25cac…
05-16 20:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 47°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x96d39c…
05-16 20:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 46°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x83bef1…
05-16 20:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 17?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x4a26cb…
05-16 18:37:20	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 45°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x9260c3…
05-16 09:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x4ad834…
05-16 08:37:54	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xf06e36…
05-16 08:37:54	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on May 17?	Yes	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xcf78ed…
05-16 08:37:54	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0x1547e5…
05-16 08:35:15	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on May 17?	Yes	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x43e5bf…
05-16 08:18:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xeb62bf…
05-16 08:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xc02970…
05-16 08:07:31	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on May 17?	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xd7c613…
05-16 08:02:37	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xd6f453…
05-16 00:07:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xb6808c…
05-15 22:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x21a866…
05-15 22:44:41	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xfea70d…
05-15 21:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x5da738…
05-15 21:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xbfaf6b…
05-15 20:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x7c5e2a…
05-15 20:56:37	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xafea0e…
05-15 20:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0xdb6b8e…
05-15 09:50:52	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0x29fdeb…
05-14 22:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xef03c1…
05-14 22:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x1ce78f…
05-14 22:05:53	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xa615c9…
05-14 21:30:33	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x43b0f7…
05-14 21:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xd800ba…
05-14 21:29:53	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xea4440…
05-14 21:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x2531d5…
05-14 21:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x7c2c8d…
05-14 21:28:59	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x35c44c…
05-14 21:26:34	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xe9c6fa…
05-13 19:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x11191e…
05-13 18:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x69711c…
05-13 18:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd2a3c6…
05-13 17:59:26	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x7c3fad…
05-13 17:58:07	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x09969a…
05-13 17:47:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x408939…
05-13 17:46:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x64ae71…
05-13 17:40:41	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xcff26d…
05-11 16:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xcc2555…
05-11 15:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xde55d3…
05-11 15:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x44f068…
05-11 15:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3ba5ef…
05-11 15:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd3159a…
05-11 14:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x1b0251…
05-11 14:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe05bb6…
05-11 09:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x983829…
05-11 09:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x0e8e59…
05-11 08:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x712f4f…
05-04 06:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on May 5?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x0e7196…
05-04 06:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 3?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x083779…
05-04 06:21:02	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on May 3?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfc11c4…
05-02 19:15:26	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on May 3?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x51f7b2…
05-01 17:00:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 2?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x126c9f…
05-01 15:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 3?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x5232f5…
05-01 14:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 3?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x5acecd…
05-01 14:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 2?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xd7f5ee…
04-30 15:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1923ce…
04-30 15:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x07014c…
04-30 14:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x31cbb4…
04-30 14:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x41764e…
04-30 14:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa6771f…
04-30 14:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2c3ef0…
04-30 14:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x051f8a…
04-30 14:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x6137cc…
04-30 10:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x65a7ac…
04-30 10:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x1ff551…
04-30 09:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x08f2cf…
04-30 09:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xb515be…
04-30 08:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x13bbc1…
04-30 08:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x0e6dde…
04-30 08:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x8027df…
04-30 08:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x2fdcdd…
04-30 08:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xc9fa90…
04-30 08:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa26a53…
04-30 08:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x795f82…
04-30 08:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xed3e11…
04-30 08:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xabe57c…
04-30 08:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x549c14…
04-30 08:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xe2494f…
04-30 08:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0xb44cdd…
04-30 08:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x3795c1…
04-30 08:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x7b800a…
04-30 06:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x72b01c…
04-30 06:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x4560fe…
04-30 06:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x00aa2d…
04-30 06:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x56813c…
04-30 06:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x015893…
04-27 19:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x843a3c…
04-27 19:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x4a980a…
04-27 18:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xe9fd3e…