Small-Observation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$188

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$42

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 02:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 75% +$10

Other

49% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets (3)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 6?	No	+10	$9	100¢	$10	+$1	05-05 16:54
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 6?	No	+10	$9	97¢	$10	+$0	05-06 02:13
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 6?	No	+10	$9	93¢	$9	+$0	05-06 02:39
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 6?	No	+10	$9	88¢	$9	$-0	05-05 22:15
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C or higher on May 6?	No	+5	$5	97¢	$5	+$0	05-06 01:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 02:39:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 6?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x4baf54…
05-06 02:13:44	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 6?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x79af02…
05-06 01:49:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C or higher on May 6?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xda1b51…
05-06 01:34:26	Ethereum above 2,390 on May 5, 10PM ET?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xe10bed…
05-06 01:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	36	7¢	$2	0x472ba6…
05-06 01:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x17bc0b…
05-06 00:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x78b316…
05-06 00:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6e4868…
05-06 00:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd52f06…
05-06 00:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x613a6a…
05-06 00:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xec76e6…
05-06 00:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xa75577…
05-06 00:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x19787a…
05-06 00:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x773495…
05-06 00:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xa75daa…
05-06 00:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xc4ee0d…
05-05 22:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 6?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x0a72c6…
05-05 19:18:02	Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xd8a7e8…
05-05 19:14:52	CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x73f1f7…
05-05 19:08:16	CS Cristal vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xa06f2f…
05-05 17:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5f0ea4…
05-05 16:54:56	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 6?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xdb6a7d…
05-05 16:47:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 6?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xcb6e10…
05-04 21:29:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 5?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0x925000…
05-04 21:19:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 5?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x22d18e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	7	$2.83K	56	05-06 01:24
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	5	$696	14	05-06 01:29
Angry-Culvert 0xa867…f165	3	$548	91	05-06 00:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	4	$40	49	0	+49	Up	$-7	05-06 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	3	$15	30	0	+30	Up	+$5	05-06 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$12	11	36	-25	Up	+$3	05-06 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	05-06 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-05 17:24
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 6?	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-06 02:13
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 6?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	05-05 16:47
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 6?	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 16:54
CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 4.5	1	$9	10	0	+10	Under	+$1	05-05 19:14
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 6?	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 22:15
CS Cristal vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5	1	$9	10	0	+10	Under	+$1	05-05 19:08
Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 4.5	1	$9	10	0	+10	Under	+$1	05-05 19:18
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 5?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	05-04 21:19
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 6?	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-06 02:39
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 5?	1	$6	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-04 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Down	+$9	05-06 00:38
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C or higher on May 6?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-06 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Up	$-2	05-06 00:00
Ethereum above 2,390 on May 5, 10PM ET?	1	$0	0	0	+0	No	+$0	05-06 01:34