Outlandish-Tank — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

289

Trades

290

lifetime

Volume

$3.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-06 06:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 234 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 6?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	+$0	11-06 06:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 07:28
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:16
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 10:01
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 08:11
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 06:47
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-08 10:31
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 06:10
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 01:32
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 10:41
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 01:42
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 15:18
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 04:56
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:24
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 05:50
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:34
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 12:27
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C or higher on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 04:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:20
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:15
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:54
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 6 2026 29c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-06 09:41
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 21c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-05 08:54
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 25corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 15:05
highest temperature in denver on april 2 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 02:29
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 14:41
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:32
highest temperature in hong kong on april 1 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 14:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 06:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x55b337…
11-03 17:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe25da7…
11-02 06:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9358af…
10-31 15:54:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x950ff4…
10-30 14:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x02d61a…
10-29 17:51:59	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9ede0…
10-29 09:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ee911…
10-28 07:54:02	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x843665…
10-27 09:18:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9303f8…
10-26 09:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa698e1…
10-24 11:48:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x818eb8…
10-22 10:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a89b6…
10-20 07:42:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x09072d…
10-19 09:23:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x008781…
10-18 10:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47a42e…
10-17 15:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa22c62…
10-16 10:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3bb2e0…
10-15 13:34:53	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf6b96e…
10-14 09:45:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfef1ae…
10-13 09:24:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x488456…
10-12 09:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x294d97…
10-11 09:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a6048…
10-08 12:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x143bf3…
10-07 15:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x65da99…
10-06 15:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3044c2…
10-05 06:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7862aa…
10-03 08:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaecfe9…
10-02 13:14:23	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd4f58a…
10-01 08:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f1afd…
09-30 02:42:51	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C or below on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd78af5…
09-28 09:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf2012…
09-27 09:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x219df5…
09-25 16:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x09bc00…
09-24 08:43:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb34568…
09-23 08:49:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb3dc7e…
09-22 08:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f056d…
09-21 09:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x327d83…
09-20 05:55:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x628bc5…
09-19 08:57:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb3aa01…
09-18 07:45:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9865c4…
09-17 04:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce9614…
09-16 08:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38eff7…
09-15 10:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x45ee1a…
09-14 09:15:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa3ad9e…
09-13 02:51:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ae0bf…
09-11 09:23:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15d697…
09-10 08:42:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x565916…
09-09 02:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x042c7f…
09-08 06:14:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe981b2…
09-07 08:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20a7aa…
09-06 16:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb90248…
09-06 10:43:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x202b57…
09-05 01:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd32635…
09-04 01:00:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46c776…
09-02 07:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32a9e3…
08-30 09:20:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x907ab6…
08-29 09:43:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf6755a…
08-28 08:51:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70e6a4…
08-27 09:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3cf514…
08-26 08:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6ff275…
08-25 09:42:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe81f1b…
08-24 14:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd7bbd8…
08-23 15:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc97c46…
08-22 09:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71df9b…
08-21 07:52:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x469917…
08-20 09:03:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2912e1…
08-18 08:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2afd1…
08-17 08:20:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x146a82…
08-16 14:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd27c7…
08-15 10:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x358f02…
08-14 06:57:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x861d45…
08-13 09:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49b106…
08-12 09:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf39977…
08-11 07:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc7d977…
08-10 08:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc55d84…
08-09 06:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x174b3e…
08-08 07:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20e3ce…
08-07 07:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd46ef3…
08-06 07:40:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d4981…
08-05 08:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb5d4c…
08-04 08:26:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd17322…
08-03 07:43:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb57919…
08-02 06:33:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed4d80…
08-01 07:12:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe44482…
07-31 13:51:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b02f5…
07-30 07:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78b4d1…
07-29 07:14:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ecba2…
07-28 07:08:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaaa4cf…
07-27 09:37:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f48e2…
07-26 07:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26ed3b…
07-25 08:35:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa1c645…
07-24 13:34:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d1677…
07-23 08:17:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e0ebc…
07-22 02:10:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb197b0…
07-21 09:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7dd2ca…
07-21 00:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf141f7…
07-20 08:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e60b0…
07-18 23:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12749d…
07-18 05:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20c4f1…
07-17 07:26:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x28da80…