Dreary-Fiesta — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$98

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

57.6%

Resolved

196

Trades

415

lifetime

Volume

$1.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-28 09:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 54% -$150

Other

5% 37% +$18

Sports

4% 33% +$0

Pop-Culture

3% 67% +$12

Tech

0% 100% +$21

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes		-22	-$17	86¢	$-19	-$2	07-23 12:36
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	Yes		-6	-$1	12¢	$-1	+$0	10-16 09:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 07:50 UTC	1	$137	198	0	+198	Up	-$137	03-06 07:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 07:35 UTC	2	$65	47	46	+1	Down	+$26	03-06 07:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 11:05 UTC	7	$63	47	47	+1	Down	+$13	03-06 11:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 10:50 UTC	4	$62	53	53	+1	Down	+$22	03-06 10:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 12:45 UTC	8	$61	72	10	+62	Up	-$40	03-06 12:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 13:25 UTC	2	$60	41	40	+1	Up	+$20	03-05 13:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 13:15 UTC	2	$58	48	47	+0	Down	+$36	03-05 13:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 10:35 UTC	3	$52	127	73	+53	Down	-$8	03-06 10:38
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$40	66	0	+66	Yes	+$26	02-06 15:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 08:30 UTC	3	$38	74	31	+43	Down	+$41	03-06 08:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 11:20 UTC	6	$37	30	30	+0	Down	-$3	03-06 11:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 10:25 UTC	2	$32	32	32	+0	Up	+$12	03-06 10:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 12:30 UTC	1	$29	35	0	+35	Down	+$6	03-06 12:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 12:05 UTC	2	$28	20	20	+0	Down	+$9	03-06 12:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 12:40 UTC	6	$28	43	0	+43	Down	-$11	03-06 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 10:40 UTC	3	$25	31	13	+19	Up	-$11	03-06 10:43
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	1	$24	77	0	+77	Seahawks	-$24	02-06 15:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 10:45 UTC	2	$24	16	15	+0	Down	+$4	03-06 10:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 11:25 UTC	5	$24	28	23	+5	Up	+$2	03-06 11:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 08:25 UTC	2	$22	24	24	+0	Up	+$3	03-06 08:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 11:55 UTC	3	$21	21	9	+12	Down	+$4	03-06 11:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 11:00 UTC	2	$20	22	22	+0	Down	+$0	03-06 11:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 10:30 UTC	1	$20	77	0	+77	Down	-$20	03-06 10:30
will luther kendrick lamar and sza win record of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	1	$20	44	0	+44	Yes	+$24	01-12 09:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 12:25 UTC	1	$20	38	0	+38	Down	-$20	03-06 12:25
crint gbr ind 2026 03 05	1	$20	30	0	+30	India	+$10	03-05 13:12
will golden ejae and mark sonnenblick win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	1	$20	30	0	+30	No	-$20	01-12 09:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 13:20 UTC	2	$20	15	15	+0	Down	+$10	03-05 13:25
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	1	$17	0	22	-22	open	—	07-23 12:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 13:25 UTC	4	$17	19	19	+1	Up	+$1	04-10 13:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 09:16:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x06d6f0…
10-28 09:15:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc35d8a…
10-28 09:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x7ff4e7…
10-28 09:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfe154c…
10-28 09:08:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x4108d8…
10-28 09:07:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf9c7ce…
10-16 09:27:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0b5031…
10-16 09:15:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xfd2b60…
10-16 09:08:25	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x0cc6a4…
10-16 08:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$2	0x8c092a…
10-16 08:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xbc4bb6…
10-16 08:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd3a290…
10-16 08:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x03db10…
10-16 08:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x6a9d47…
10-16 08:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x97b566…
10-16 08:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$2	0x698dad…
10-16 08:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x59903d…
10-16 08:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xd8382b…
10-16 08:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9960c9…
10-16 08:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3f547b…
10-16 08:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1ecd2d…
10-15 13:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1e8d28…
10-15 13:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x10b47c…
10-15 13:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8f7d21…
09-28 08:36:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 08:35 UTC	Down	SELL	6	77¢	$4	0xea12f0…
09-28 08:35:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x1271a2…
08-05 15:12:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 15:10 UTC	Down	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x9bef35…
08-05 15:11:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa5b373…
08-05 12:35:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x55bc07…
08-05 12:35:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6bf7d8…
07-31 11:38:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb4a3be…
07-31 11:29:51	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf50d7e…
07-31 11:28:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 11:25 UTC	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x6c2720…
07-31 11:25:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x374a5e…
07-31 11:21:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 11:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xeaea2f…
07-31 11:21:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x429575…
07-31 11:17:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 11:15 UTC	Up	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0xde4abe…
07-31 11:17:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x618b80…
07-24 12:06:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 12:05 UTC	Up	SELL	12	47¢	$6	0xc3dbc9…
07-24 12:05:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x9b7c3a…
07-23 12:46:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xc92648…
07-23 12:45:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8974b6…
07-23 12:40:31	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?	No	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0xec14b5…
07-23 12:36:52	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	22	78¢	$17	0x7d3de8…
07-10 08:44:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 08:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xb10572…
07-10 08:42:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3b31cf…
06-01 10:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xf6dc77…
06-01 10:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3a705a…
06-01 10:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x7e032e…
06-01 10:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6aa919…
05-25 06:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x20f49c…
05-22 09:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf38e29…
05-22 09:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8f103c…
05-13 08:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc4b1f9…
05-13 07:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x6ef71f…
05-13 07:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xbdcb4a…
05-13 07:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2aba96…
05-12 08:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x2fb67d…
05-12 08:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x89e7f4…
05-12 08:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x5517cc…
05-12 08:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x943f49…
05-11 08:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xad8b18…
05-11 08:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x51137e…
05-08 14:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc10a39…
04-30 08:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x2e57e2…
04-30 08:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf4dbae…
04-30 08:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xa0e90d…
04-30 08:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2a49dd…
04-30 08:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xadd561…
04-30 08:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x77bda5…
04-30 08:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	14	38¢	$5	0x9b974a…
04-30 08:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xa366f8…
04-29 12:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x1c5f8a…
04-29 12:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x83ef77…
04-28 13:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9a3db7…
04-28 13:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2f3ce7…
04-28 13:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x00e115…
04-27 08:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x2e7ca3…
04-27 08:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8ffe08…
04-27 07:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0xff7d12…
04-27 07:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x67c85c…
04-27 07:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xff1bef…
04-27 07:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x9181ce…
04-27 07:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x563dc1…
04-21 13:26:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 13:25 UTC	Down	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x7f838b…
04-21 13:25:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xbf4ee2…
04-21 07:35:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x1f7c50…
04-21 07:30:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 07:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x7a7b9d…
04-21 07:30:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb6b0a7…
04-21 07:25:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7d75dc…
04-14 09:26:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 09:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xad71d7…
04-14 09:25:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0b5276…
04-14 09:22:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x5c044e…
04-14 09:22:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd79d8e…
04-14 09:16:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x9d354b…
04-14 09:15:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xcd0168…
04-14 09:12:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 09:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$2	0x671e0f…
04-14 09:12:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x63150e…
04-14 09:10:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 09:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xf6244a…
04-14 09:10:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe30140…