Dismal-Cashew — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$584

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

90.1%

Resolved

Trades

227

lifetime

Volume

$61.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$272

Open exposure

$18

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 10-21 08:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Crypto

43% 100% +$26

Politics

29% 80% +$2

Other

16% 87% -$2

Sports

11% 50% +$552

Tech

1% 100% +$7

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lew Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22?	No		-18	-$18	100¢	$-18	$0	07-22 02:22
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No		+0	-$1	100¢	$0	+$1	08-27 20:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 115k in february 2026	2	$5.6K	2,822	2,822	+0	No	+$6	02-06 13:23
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	8	$5.0K	2,511	2,511	+0	No	+$3	02-02 11:07
will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	30	$4.9K	2,444	2,444	+0	No	+$2	02-13 06:35
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$3.9K	1,962	1,962	+0	No	+$0	02-20 07:30
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	1	$3.5K	3,517	0	+3,517	No	+$4	03-26 11:49
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$3.3K	3,341	0	+3,341	No	+$3	04-22 05:42
will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	3	$3.1K	3,003	103	+2,900	No	+$6	02-23 06:19
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$2.6K	1,323	1,323	+0	open	—	06-09 13:38
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	13	$2.3K	1,146	1,146	+0	open	—	08-27 20:25
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$2.2K	1,111	1,111	+0	open	—	06-13 19:20
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	05-21 08:17
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$2.2K	1,099	1,099	+0	open	—	05-15 10:51
will solana reach 200 in january 2026	1	$2.1K	2,111	0	+2,111	No	+$4	01-25 13:11
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	8	$2.1K	1,033	1,033	+0	No	+$1	06-10 01:39
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	9	$2.0K	1,020	1,020	+0	No	+$1	05-22 17:15
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	3	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	08-14 06:09
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$1.8K	921	921	+0	open	—	05-29 03:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	1	$937	938	0	+938	No	+$1	05-29 03:15
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	1	$899	900	0	+900	No	+$1	05-29 03:16
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$800	806	0	+806	Yes	+$6	01-25 13:10
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$732	733	0	+733	No	+$1	05-21 08:25
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	13	$661	340	340	+0	No	+$0	02-20 07:53
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	3	$444	224	224	+0	No	+$0	05-14 00:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	1	$443	444	0	+444	No	+$1	05-21 08:25
will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	9	$423	212	212	+0	No	+$0	03-17 05:12
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$420	0	824	-824	Yes	+$8	02-14 03:50
nba den sas 2026 03 12	1	$407	1,202	0	+1,202	Nuggets	+$795	03-12 15:44
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$406	207	207	+0	No	+$1	02-18 13:58
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$404	204	204	+0	No	+$0	02-05 13:58
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	8	$387	198	198	+0	No	+$1	02-18 13:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 08:13:48	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in October?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2cedc4…
09-29 04:01:38	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x701a92…
08-27 20:25:09	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xe1bcd5…
08-24 12:14:40	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xa36294…
08-14 06:09:25	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0xb4c1ee…
07-22 02:26:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x644165…
07-22 02:22:12	Will Lew Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x84260b…
07-22 02:22:06	will xagusd dip to 44 in july 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xaf501c…
07-22 02:21:45	Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	Yes	SELL	23	72¢	$16	0xd3f4dd…
07-22 02:21:28	Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x2ab134…
07-22 02:21:03	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	898	98¢	$884	0x0b7222…
07-05 03:30:59	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$986	0x8243d4…
07-05 03:30:34	will xagusd dip to 44 in july 2026	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xa9fbb2…
06-19 23:25:11	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	356	99¢	$352	0x9a4fd1…
06-19 22:28:16	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x54b4fe…
06-19 21:09:04	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe8a459…
06-19 19:23:44	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8c2040…
06-19 18:32:20	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x889ae3…
06-19 15:03:34	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2957dc…
06-19 15:02:11	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2a33a6…
06-19 14:16:02	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc25e92…
06-19 13:51:28	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x865b4f…
06-19 11:55:23	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	685	99¢	$678	0x73332c…
06-18 04:00:49	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	BUY	14	98¢	$13	0x08ff69…
06-17 04:10:17	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x26dfa7…
06-17 02:03:10	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,111	99¢	$1,100	0x909a84…
06-13 19:20:07	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,111	99¢	$1,098	0xa19300…
06-10 01:39:55	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	1,033	100¢	$1,029	0x77c8ce…
06-10 01:39:21	Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10,497	0¢	$10	0xccddcf…
06-09 13:38:07	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,323	98¢	$1,299	0xc8953d…
06-08 13:28:37	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	1,009	100¢	$1,004	0x99ea2c…
06-08 12:36:45	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd5ec96…
06-08 12:23:43	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x62dbc9…
06-08 11:47:16	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcee7ff…
06-08 11:38:00	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8e1719…
06-08 11:15:43	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbb2952…
06-08 11:12:40	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2dc25c…
06-08 08:50:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x6f920a…
06-08 08:49:45	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,111	99¢	$1,097	0xb9eab7…
06-08 08:49:37	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,323	98¢	$1,298	0x26e6e5…
05-30 05:33:02	Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0xa161a2…
05-29 03:17:43	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in May?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x146d01…
05-29 03:17:25	Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5740c5…
05-29 03:16:34	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	900	100¢	$899	0x3e5598…
05-29 03:16:12	Will BNB reach $800 in May?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa190c6…
05-29 03:15:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	938	100¢	$937	0x8e358e…
05-29 03:14:06	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	921	99¢	$909	0x3d32de…
05-22 17:15:24	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0x4bd333…
05-22 16:39:07	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	77	99¢	$76	0x3bc836…
05-22 15:40:55	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	86	99¢	$85	0xf98603…
05-22 15:32:40	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0x39cae8…
05-22 15:09:11	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0x2a2d44…
05-22 15:05:24	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0x4c0b5b…
05-22 14:58:08	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	63	99¢	$62	0x117fe5…
05-22 14:57:40	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	527	99¢	$522	0xfacdd5…
05-21 08:26:47	Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x19ee34…
05-21 08:25:51	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	733	100¢	$732	0x48a7ce…
05-21 08:25:44	Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?	No	BUY	234	100¢	$233	0xaa23a4…
05-21 08:25:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	444	100¢	$443	0x85521d…
05-21 08:24:48	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1,020	99¢	$1,008	0x9b560f…
05-21 08:17:03	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,100	99¢	$1,090	0xffe3b3…
05-15 10:51:42	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,099	99¢	$1,089	0xab6af9…
05-14 13:41:40	Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0x7e8496…
05-14 00:08:57	Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	223	99¢	$221	0xd042b2…
05-13 23:57:10	Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0125db…
05-13 07:49:40	Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0x6c7a85…
05-13 07:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 82°F or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xc505aa…
05-13 07:47:41	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	921	99¢	$911	0x859566…
05-13 07:46:37	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,099	99¢	$1,088	0x29ab54…
05-13 07:46:14	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,100	99¢	$1,091	0x66d436…
05-13 07:45:02	Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	224	99¢	$222	0xe9e5fd…
05-13 07:44:04	Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x0f0ebb…
05-13 07:42:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0x2e8576…
05-13 07:42:33	Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10,500	0¢	$21	0xe255d4…
04-28 03:13:06	Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xaf6dc9…
04-23 18:01:10	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x28a28f…
04-22 05:42:48	Will Elon Musk post 1920-1999 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x17591e…
04-22 05:42:30	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	3,341	100¢	$3,338	0x94fc7c…
04-22 05:38:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xcd30f2…
03-26 11:50:23	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x61e4d2…
03-26 11:50:05	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xae5574…
03-26 11:49:25	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	3,517	100¢	$3,513	0x097bda…
03-22 08:05:25	will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 85m and 90m	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xc29ec2…
03-18 02:25:39	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 20	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xaf9461…
03-18 02:25:07	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x276ddf…
03-17 05:12:25	will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x3e4486…
03-17 05:02:05	will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x512b09…
03-17 04:36:27	will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x843efc…
03-17 04:00:25	will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x68c284…
03-17 03:57:59	will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5c2b6d…
03-17 03:53:11	will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x770a86…
03-17 03:14:05	will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xe6fa44…
03-17 02:59:25	will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x623dab…
03-12 15:48:03	will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	No	BUY	212	100¢	$211	0xb7250b…
03-12 15:45:11	dota2 aur1 ty 2026 03 12	Aurora	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x2236fa…
03-12 15:44:09	nba den sas 2026 03 12	Nuggets	BUY	1,202	34¢	$407	0x036060…
03-12 15:43:41	nba dal mem 2026 03 12	Grizzlies	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0xa63931…
03-12 15:43:15	Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	10,203	0¢	$10	0x8434e4…
03-12 15:42:51	will the weeknd have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month 524	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x6898a9…
03-12 15:42:45	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x78bf30…