Mad-Road — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.8%

Resolved

Trades

166

lifetime

Volume

$14.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 06-01 07:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 33% $-14

Other

19% 100% +$15

Sports

18% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$551	276	276	+0	open	—	02-02 07:59
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$315	158	158	+0	open	—	03-02 04:01
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$311	156	156	+0	open	—	03-12 04:26
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$304	152	152	+0	open	—	03-13 09:29
will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$283	143	143	+0	open	—	02-27 12:13
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$279	140	140	+0	open	—	03-19 10:59
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$277	139	139	+0	open	—	02-03 07:29
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$275	138	138	+0	open	—	02-04 07:02
will will zalatoris win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$272	137	137	+0	open	—	03-21 09:02
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$271	136	136	+0	open	—	02-09 12:24
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$266	133	133	+0	open	—	01-31 03:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	2	$256	128	128	+0	open	—	05-27 04:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	2	$256	128	128	+0	open	—	05-27 06:16
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	2	$253	127	127	+0	open	—	04-26 10:07
Will Croatia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$233	117	117	+0	open	—	04-15 12:27
ethereum above 1700 on march 9	1	$162	162	0	+162	open	—	03-09 08:52
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 10	1	$160	160	0	+160	open	—	03-10 06:56
ethereum above 2200 on march 1	1	$157	158	0	+158	open	—	03-01 11:36
will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	1	$157	157	0	+157	open	—	02-28 11:30
ethereum above 1700 on march 7	1	$157	157	0	+157	open	—	03-07 07:50
will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on march 16	1	$153	153	0	+153	open	—	03-16 09:55
will ethereum reach 2500 march 2 8	1	$153	153	0	+153	open	—	03-08 04:29
will josh safdie win best director at the 98th academy awards	1	$152	153	0	+153	open	—	03-14 11:41
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 440 459	1	$152	152	0	+152	open	—	03-13 09:37
bitcoin above 82k on march 17	1	$151	151	0	+151	open	—	03-17 04:58
will ethereum dip to 1700 february 16 22	1	$151	151	0	+151	open	—	02-22 12:43
ethereum above 1600 on march 3	1	$150	151	0	+151	open	—	03-03 11:15
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on february 13	1	$150	151	0	+151	open	—	02-13 09:43
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $244 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$147	147	0	+147	No	+$0	05-08 05:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	1	$146	147	0	+147	No	+$0	05-09 12:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 07:46:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc1d60c…
06-01 07:37:21	LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	16	53¢	$9	0x9cfcd9…
05-30 04:25:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x9b64e1…
05-30 04:20:21	Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Camila Osorio	Anna Kalinskaya	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x797145…
05-29 03:52:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x983b26…
05-28 08:52:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x33c057…
05-28 08:23:04	Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x9a228d…
05-27 06:26:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0x5abd09…
05-27 06:23:47	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Hurricanes	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x360f53…
05-27 06:16:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x929b86…
05-27 04:27:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xa388dc…
05-27 04:25:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0xc9d976…
05-27 04:07:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xf1bf9f…
05-26 08:06:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xc7570d…
05-26 08:01:58	LoL: BOMBA Team vs Orbit Anonymo (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs	Orbit Anonymo	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbf3dea…
05-24 06:23:47	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x3ab3c7…
05-24 05:50:15	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x38b27a…
05-23 12:57:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x009205…
05-22 11:04:53	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 18 above $245?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x85540a…
05-20 12:59:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x36c9e1…
05-19 11:30:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0x6f4a0a…
05-19 11:02:32	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x1f62e9…
05-18 09:00:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x786863…
05-18 08:37:13	Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group A	Beşiktaş Esports	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xe005c6…
05-17 11:52:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x4e1d1c…
05-15 03:45:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$131	0x0c007f…
05-14 11:52:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xe4e000…
05-14 11:33:59	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	BetBoom Team	BUY	6	72¢	$5	0xe4e13a…
05-13 05:38:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	No	BUY	556	1¢	$5	0xfec9b9…
05-13 05:37:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	No	BUY	114	1¢	$1	0xc99bda…
05-13 05:34:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	No	BUY	820	1¢	$6	0xe608c9…
05-11 06:09:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xa2320c…
05-11 05:35:41	KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Ak Bars Kazan	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x3d1666…
05-09 12:46:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$146	0xc38fad…
05-08 05:35:49	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $244 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0x2cd12d…
05-06 05:05:16	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lisa Pigato vs Tyra Caterina Grant	Tyra Caterina Grant	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xc4b504…
05-04 08:32:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x3e59ed…
05-03 09:04:34	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x575725…
05-02 12:37:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x1ab73c…
05-01 11:37:04	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 1?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x6ee267…
04-30 07:10:58	Will XRP reach $1.80 in April?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0xd66d3b…
04-28 10:42:44	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x9b21b6…
04-27 15:38:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcfaba5…
04-27 15:35:00	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on April 27?	No	BUY	128	99¢	$127	0x23e75b…
04-26 10:11:48	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xf0cbad…
04-26 10:07:14	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	No	SELL	127	100¢	$126	0x1316f3…
04-26 09:51:14	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xcc9e9c…
04-26 09:47:52	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x1287a4…
04-25 12:35:50	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$130	0x192e09…
04-24 07:20:44	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 24	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x5eed65…
04-23 07:19:50	bitcoin above 84k on april 23	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xa98aef…
04-23 07:07:42	Savannah: Braden Shick vs Mitchell Krueger	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x749437…
04-22 04:32:20	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xabb196…
04-21 06:09:32	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x59fccd…
04-20 11:29:48	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on april 20	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x5a8d58…
04-20 11:24:10	Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x82c909…
04-19 06:25:08	bitcoin above 80k on april 19	Yes	BUY	690	0¢	$1	0x76268f…
04-19 06:23:12	ethereum above 2600 on april 19	Yes	BUY	625	0¢	$1	0xfdb71c…
04-19 06:20:50	Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x696fda…
04-17 10:16:06	ethereum above 2600 on april 17	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xad81dc…
04-16 04:53:24	ethereum above 2100 on april 16	Yes	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x14dd66…
04-15 12:30:40	ethereum above 2500 on april 15	No	BUY	127	100¢	$126	0x3137a9…
04-15 12:27:50	Will Croatia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	117	99¢	$116	0xffa1f8…
04-14 09:36:11	Will Croatia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	117	99¢	$117	0x98a850…
04-14 09:34:35	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	No	BUY	795	0¢	$2	0x312f46…
04-14 09:32:21	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 14	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0xced416…
04-14 09:30:21	atp nakashi cerund 2026 04 14	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x076d97…
04-12 05:35:03	bitcoin above 76k on april 12	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x1b4222…
04-11 11:45:25	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x8bf1d5…
04-09 03:46:47	bitcoin above 66k on april 9	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xfdbc4a…
04-08 05:25:03	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 8	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xc0fa16…
04-08 05:19:13	wta kalinin udvardy 2026 04 08	Panna Udvardy	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x35f016…
04-07 12:34:43	ethereum above 1800 on april 7	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x03cead…
04-06 08:50:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 6	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x726506…
04-05 10:55:57	ethereum above 2200 on april 5	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xfa408d…
04-04 11:40:35	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 4	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x3928f5…
04-02 03:35:31	ethereum above 1800 on april 2	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x54f957…
03-31 10:36:29	will france strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xfe0077…
03-30 16:16:05	will bitcoin reach 75k on march 30	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x69cb7f…
03-29 11:03:54	will ethereum dip to 1600 march 23 29	No	BUY	125	100¢	$124	0x9db7d2…
03-29 11:00:34	nhl fla nyr 2026 03 29	Panthers	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x83ff4c…
03-28 12:45:09	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 115 139	No	BUY	131	100¢	$130	0x91603c…
03-27 12:35:59	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 27	Yes	BUY	710	0¢	$1	0xed3ed0…
03-27 12:34:01	bitcoin above 70k on march 27	Yes	BUY	620	0¢	$2	0xae3671…
03-26 11:22:49	solana above 80 on march 26	Yes	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x243413…
03-25 05:14:03	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 25	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xb25d5f…
03-24 06:36:35	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 24	Yes	BUY	720	0¢	$1	0xe86f9b…
03-24 06:34:39	bitcoin above 64k on march 24	No	BUY	590	0¢	$1	0xf7fd38…
03-23 04:18:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 23	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xc77a0d…
03-21 09:08:13	ethereum above 2000 on march 21	Yes	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x8e3633…
03-21 09:02:05	will will zalatoris win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	137	100¢	$136	0xc0c1ba…
03-20 12:35:19	will will zalatoris win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	137	100¢	$136	0x29ad79…
03-20 12:33:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 20	Yes	BUY	731	0¢	$2	0x7b1600…
03-20 12:30:53	bitcoin above 74k on march 20	Yes	BUY	620	0¢	$1	0xb833e0…
03-19 11:06:27	ethereum above 1900 on march 19	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$139	0xc0876e…
03-19 10:59:59	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	140	100¢	$139	0xcd8fd5…
03-18 05:22:05	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xae9d6d…
03-18 05:19:43	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 18	Yes	BUY	710	0¢	$2	0x744b72…
03-18 05:17:51	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 140 164	Yes	BUY	582	0¢	$2	0x7870b2…
03-18 05:16:11	ahl pro leh 2026 03 18	Providence Bruins	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x57febc…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	75	$212.5K	3,572	05-31 10:07
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	69	$7.91K	5,558	04-27 02:24
Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e	63	$2.69K	64	05-30 11:31
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	62	$68.7K	1,378	05-26 14:33
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	61	$288.7K	2,447	05-30 06:42
(anonymous) 0x90bb…531f	58	$610	3,062	04-27 03:40
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	55	$5.75K	1,695	05-28 16:43
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	52	$68.7K	852	06-02 13:25