Impeccable-Trunk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$563

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

840

Trades

5,744

lifetime

Volume

$49.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 11-03 22:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 157 days

Categories

Other

62% 48% +$948

Crypto

15% 66% -$232

Politics

15% 49% -$974

Tech

5% 50% -$305

Sports

2% 52% -$14

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 155 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No		+20	$11	56¢	$11	+$0	10-25 20:45
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes		-50	-$9	2¢	$-1	+$8	06-01 10:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?	72	$1.2K	2,840	2,840	+0	Yes	+$870	09-27 14:23
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	31	$1.2K	1,180	1,180	+0	No	+$540	07-31 07:07
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?	44	$1.1K	2,051	2,051	+0	No	+$886	09-20 06:45
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	30	$645	500	500	+0	No	+$265	08-16 21:00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	20	$634	2,500	1,000	+1,500	No	+$4	04-26 13:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	8	$629	500	500	+0	No	+$199	10-04 11:21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	19	$620	4,012	4,012	+0	No	+$190	04-26 15:54
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	15	$610	694	694	+0	No	+$228	10-23 06:14
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	17	$588	1,720	1,720	+0	open	—	09-18 14:35
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	11	$552	400	400	+0	No	+$196	08-31 13:58
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	10	$508	2,620	2,620	+0	Yes	-$58	04-25 12:52
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	29	$491	1,110	1,110	+0	open	—	06-07 11:22
Fed rate hike in 2026?	11	$483	414	414	+0	Yes	+$71	09-04 10:11
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?	47	$481	936	340	+596	No	+$113	09-27 14:33
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO5) - VCT Threshold China Week 1	7	$426	230	230	+0	Dragon Ranger Gaming	-$16	10-25 11:33
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	35	$409	850	94	+756	No	-$284	10-02 14:13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	15	$400	800	791	+9	No	-$6	04-28 06:20
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	11	$379	337	337	+0	open	—	10-10 06:43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 3?	24	$368	264	264	+0	Yes	+$159	05-03 16:22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 1?	29	$359	300	300	+0	Yes	+$223	05-01 07:00
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?	30	$348	2,384	0	+2,384	No	-$348	09-18 05:49
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	7	$329	213	213	+0	No	+$81	08-28 18:06
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	71	$325	2,425	0	+2,425	No	-$325	10-11 15:09
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	17	$318	260	260	+0	No	+$53	10-25 06:05
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	5	$314	232	232	+0	Yes	+$150	04-14 15:52
Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	12	$313	491	155	+335	Yes	+$110	10-19 16:33
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	7	$312	220	220	+0	Yes	+$4	09-13 18:54
Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	29	$309	662	662	+0	No	+$4	10-18 15:52
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	17	$303	8,810	8,810	+0	No	+$102	06-19 14:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?	13	$295	290	290	+0	Yes	+$28	04-28 16:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 22:57:07	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 28m?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf2d7bd…
11-03 18:21:06	Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #13 Play-In	Donstu Esports	BUY	41	32¢	$13	0x0acf52…
11-03 17:11:31	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x685f78…
11-03 16:55:54	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xe6a1d8…
11-02 19:47:49	Counter-Strike: MIBR fe vs Rush (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage	Rush	BUY	66	52¢	$34	0xa62f14…
11-02 15:36:42	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xf03ebf…
11-02 15:32:22	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa6ac66…
11-02 07:52:27	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xb5af69…
11-02 07:11:18	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x504661…
11-02 07:11:16	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x3b44cf…
11-01 22:29:36	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?	No	SELL	25	84¢	$21	0xd9554a…
11-01 22:29:36	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x9eba8f…
11-01 22:29:36	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x812266…
11-01 22:26:06	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xbb05ed…
11-01 20:48:00	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x9e70bf…
11-01 16:51:12	Counter-Strike: Metizport vs WBT Academy (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs	Metizport	BUY	79	62¢	$49	0xd40301…
11-01 15:54:16	Counter-Strike: naocopulas vs Low Cortisol - Map 2 Winner	naocopulas	BUY	53	35¢	$18	0x910602…
11-01 11:29:07	Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs maybe - Map 2 Winner	maybe	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x803e1b…
11-01 11:04:18	Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Metizport - Map 1 Winner	JiJieHao	BUY	90	65¢	$59	0xfd97dd…
11-01 10:52:30	Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs maybe - Map 2 Winner	maybe	BUY	68	53¢	$36	0xbf75c9…
11-01 09:23:10	Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs maybe - Map 1 Winner	eternal premium	BUY	84	64¢	$54	0x3f4933…
11-01 08:59:24	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?	No	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0x4eeae2…
11-01 04:25:49	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x551eda…
11-01 03:00:54	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xf605b7…
11-01 01:12:07	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	62	0¢	$0	0x7725ed…
11-01 01:11:37	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0xafab9f…
11-01 01:11:37	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x930e8b…
11-01 01:11:37	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x7843b2…
11-01 01:11:37	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x55a46c…
11-01 00:41:45	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x2f0f1f…
11-01 00:41:43	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x24b474…
11-01 00:25:25	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x94141b…
10-31 22:42:40	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xf4c932…
10-31 22:37:45	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x6b0c8d…
10-31 22:36:31	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	39	0¢	$0	0xc1ce2a…
10-31 22:36:28	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x1ddd74…
10-31 22:36:03	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x0aa353…
10-31 22:36:01	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xff8b4c…
10-31 22:36:01	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x72dfba…
10-31 22:36:01	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3f4436…
10-31 22:29:19	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x59b76e…
10-31 22:17:09	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x779d04…
10-31 22:00:16	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x2ca884…
10-31 21:25:34	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xa6a912…
10-31 21:22:03	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x4d1c7e…
10-31 21:02:01	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xc44fc5…
10-31 21:01:58	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xb0d623…
10-31 21:01:54	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x9a413e…
10-31 21:01:51	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x53144b…
10-31 21:01:48	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xf06b98…
10-31 20:47:04	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc85131…
10-31 20:41:57	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0xea4b08…
10-31 20:41:57	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xb71784…
10-31 20:41:57	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	31	5¢	$2	0x53296a…
10-31 20:41:57	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	165	0¢	$1	0x461c63…
10-31 20:41:57	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	69	5¢	$3	0x2c8dad…
10-31 18:47:24	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x8f550f…
10-31 18:31:39	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xea7e44…
10-31 18:21:28	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs KRÜ Blaze (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs	Shopify Rebellion Gold	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xd496ea…
10-31 18:19:03	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs KRÜ Blaze (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs	Shopify Rebellion Gold	BUY	53	79¢	$42	0x10512e…
10-31 16:36:55	Dota 2: World Squad vs CIS Squad (BO1) - PARI Universe Showmatch	World Squad	BUY	44	39¢	$17	0x233ad0…
10-31 16:17:16	Counter-Strike: Invicta vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner	Invicta	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0xf2338a…
10-31 16:08:15	Counter-Strike: Sökerorg vs Fortress - Map 2 Winner	Fortress	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x90b563…
10-31 16:02:33	Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BakS eSports - Map 2 Winner	FOKUS	BUY	69	60¢	$41	0x072816…
10-31 14:24:57	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	233	0¢	$0	0xdd1bfc…
10-31 13:42:07	Counter-Strike: naocopulas vs paiN (BO3) - Gamers Club Masters Group B	paiN	BUY	73	62¢	$45	0x5b00a8…
10-31 13:37:13	Counter-Strike: naocopulas vs paiN (BO3) - Gamers Club Masters Group B	paiN	BUY	32	56¢	$18	0xf8fafa…
10-31 13:22:39	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4d8927…
10-31 13:22:36	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xbd9f7a…
10-31 13:22:33	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x511869…
10-31 13:22:31	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x5324bb…
10-31 12:55:40	Counter-Strike: Invicta vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner	Invicta	BUY	92	68¢	$63	0xc7f892…
10-31 12:53:52	Counter-Strike: Invicta vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner	Invicta	SELL	60	63¢	$38	0xa55868…
10-31 12:44:27	Counter-Strike: Invicta vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner	Invicta	BUY	60	45¢	$27	0x5c4be2…
10-31 12:09:58	Counter-Strike: Invicta vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 10 Closed Qualifier Group D	Invicta	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0xd8f968…
10-31 09:12:27	Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs Phantom - Map 1 Winner	Spirit Academy	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x26dc36…
10-31 09:10:48	Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs Phantom - Map 1 Winner	Spirit Academy	BUY	49	50¢	$24	0xc45fc8…
10-31 08:16:04	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x2761d4…
10-31 08:16:04	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x24eb93…
10-31 08:14:58	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x523e3f…
10-31 05:07:37	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x74d1dc…
10-31 04:49:28	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x4cd5fc…
10-31 04:21:01	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $10M?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xfad3a6…
10-31 04:14:33	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xa0c8d3…
10-31 04:02:00	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 28m?	Yes	BUY	40	23¢	$9	0x85300c…
10-30 20:38:28	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Eternal Fire (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Eternal Fire	BUY	128	93¢	$119	0xf606c0…
10-30 20:16:42	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Eternal Fire (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Eternal Fire	BUY	74	72¢	$53	0x0ca9f6…
10-30 20:08:34	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Eternal Fire (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Eternal Fire	BUY	43	44¢	$19	0x8dbe84…
10-30 15:59:31	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	104	79¢	$82	0xa972d0…
10-30 15:56:15	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xeea32e…
10-30 15:50:55	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	61	64¢	$39	0xa89b38…
10-30 14:55:34	Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs naocopulas - Map 2 Winner	QUINTESSÊNCIA	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x1c38ec…
10-30 14:55:34	Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs naocopulas - Map 2 Winner	QUINTESSÊNCIA	BUY	22	38¢	$8	0x1390ec…
10-29 21:53:37	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 28m?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x2285a5…
10-29 20:41:54	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 28m?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0xb645e7…
10-29 20:41:45	Over $3B crypto hack value in 2026?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xa4d52b…
10-29 20:23:30	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x62d88d…
10-29 20:23:03	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 28m?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x92a1d0…
10-29 20:23:03	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x635938…
10-29 19:21:48	Over $3B crypto hack value in 2026?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x003c44…