Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$156

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.1%

Resolved (90d)

125

Trades (90d)

426

426 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.57K

$2.57K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-04

last 09-24 10:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

51% 30% -$63

Politics

40% 29% -$72

Tech

4% 0% -$11

Pop-Culture

2% 0% -$5

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

1% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump say migrant criminal this week 20260913	4	$64	60	60	+0	No	-$29	09-09 08:18
Will Ken Calvert win the CA-40 House seat?	4	$51	40	36	+4	Yes	+$0	09-11 07:19
will drake release a new album by december 31	7	$48	48	48	+0	open	—	09-09 10:40
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	2	$47	40	40	+0	open	—	09-08 20:54
will the first announced price of the foldable iphone be at least 2400	6	$45	60	60	+0	No	-$3	09-05 03:47
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	2	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	09-04 21:41
Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	5	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	09-04 23:16
Will Rick Shegog win the next West Tamar mayoral election?	4	$38	40	40	+0	Yes	$0	09-11 01:47
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	2	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	09-05 15:09
Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?	2	$33	20	20	+0	No	+$0	09-10 17:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of September 7 2026?	2	$33	20	20	+0	No	-$1	09-07 01:01
Will Carlos Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?	4	$33	27	27	+0	No	-$1	09-10 01:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?	4	$32	38	38	+0	open	—	09-10 19:17
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-03 House election by 45% or more?	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	09-09 19:30
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?	7	$31	30	30	+0	Yes	-$2	09-11 07:53
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election?	2	$31	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	09-07 22:16
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September?	2	$31	20	20	+0	Yes	-$2	09-06 16:41
Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	2	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	09-18 02:44
will by any means score at least 54 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	2	$30	20	20	+0	No	+$1	09-08 19:10
Will Dems win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	3	$30	20	20	+0	No	+$1	09-10 01:31
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	2	$30	20	20	+0	No	+$0	09-07 14:08
Will Kuwait join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?	2	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	09-10 07:32
Will Werner Pretorius be the next mayor of Mangaung?	3	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	09-11 00:22
Will four or more people dissent the September Fed decision?	2	$28	20	20	+0	No	$0	09-10 23:03
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 18?	3	$28	20	20	+0	No	-$2	09-17 01:25
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in September?	2	$27	20	20	+0	No	-$1	09-06 16:02
Will Joint List win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	9	$27	30	30	+0	No	-$4	09-09 04:56
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 19?	5	$27	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	09-17 09:49
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 21% or more?	2	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	09-11 06:26
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election?	4	$26	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	09-09 07:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-24 10:31:00	Will the 2027 UEFA Champions League winner come from Italy?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xeae3e2…
09-24 10:30:59	Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be at least $14B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xc7f10d…
09-24 10:30:59	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-02 House election by 0%-5%?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xada6cc…
09-24 10:30:59	Will Nathan Volf win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x365c00…
09-24 10:30:59	Will Jacqueline Belleau win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	19	10¢	$2	0x2b405e…
09-24 10:30:59	Will Sonia Ziadé win the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x04074e…
09-20 04:38:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xcd13b6…
09-20 01:50:18	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in September?	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x783209…
09-19 22:44:03	Will the season series between the Cardinals and Rams end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0x931e08…
09-19 14:01:39	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-10 House election by 10%-20%?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xa2917e…
09-19 13:47:02	Will Pimenta win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xbadd48…
09-18 02:46:12	Will Janaina Riva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xd568e3…
09-18 02:44:46	Will the Democrats win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	57¢	$8	0xfa8547…
09-18 02:44:46	Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xeb6e26…
09-18 02:44:46	Will the season series between the Lions and Packers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xe72154…
09-18 02:44:46	Will George Harvie win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xb182f9…
09-18 02:44:46	Will Dagmar Škodová Parmová be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?	No	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x45803e…
09-18 02:44:46	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be between 700,000 and 750,000?	Yes	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x36b68d…
09-18 02:44:45	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x959f92…
09-17 14:17:03	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 19?	Yes	SELL	16	17¢	$3	0xd1e35d…
09-17 11:42:36	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	16	16¢	$2	0xeaef47…
09-17 09:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 19?	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x6d9be9…
09-17 09:49:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 19?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xd0aba2…
09-17 09:49:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 19?	No	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x6ddfa7…
09-17 09:49:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 19?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xb2d7c8…
09-17 07:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 19?	No	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0x01ebc6…
09-17 06:44:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 19?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xacd6d6…
09-17 06:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 19?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x2eb836…
09-17 06:11:46	Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on September 19?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xeea0be…
09-17 06:11:15	Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xf0c888…
09-17 05:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 18?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x261198…
09-17 04:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 18?	No	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0x7a30fa…
09-17 04:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 18?	No	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0xbb84f1…
09-17 01:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 18?	No	SELL	13	65¢	$8	0xc5130c…
09-17 01:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 18?	No	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x396224…
09-17 01:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 18?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x808dd7…
09-16 23:09:18	Will Grüne win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	12	63¢	$7	0xa2494f…
09-16 21:56:22	Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x11b67a…
09-16 21:55:39	Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xa4490a…
09-16 21:14:48	Will Jo Westwood win the next Kingborough mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x00b4dd…
09-11 16:07:54	Will Sol Zanetti win the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election?	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xbb03a5…
09-11 15:59:46	Will Kash Heed win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xa7f116…
09-11 15:31:43	Will the season series between the Lions and Packers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x984f00…
09-11 15:30:33	Will Kash Heed win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3496d3…
09-11 15:26:39	Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xe1109a…
09-11 15:01:31	Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	15	56¢	$8	0x255a0e…
09-11 14:46:36	Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x5412ae…
09-11 14:30:19	Will three people dissent the September Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	19	20¢	$4	0x625b1d…
09-11 14:10:19	Will three people dissent the September Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xe0226e…
09-11 13:53:04	Will the season series between the Lions and Packers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xff3a83…
09-11 13:37:19	Will the season series between the Lions and Packers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x1f9eb7…
09-11 12:55:07	Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	14	21¢	$3	0xb1a4ec…
09-11 09:48:27	Will Morocco join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x44f4bd…
09-11 09:32:28	Will Renan win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x98fa83…
09-11 09:26:34	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0xe438aa…
09-11 09:19:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-02 House election by 0%-5%?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x784f1d…
09-11 07:53:22	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0x5a8b6a…
09-11 07:53:22	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x413ea9…
09-11 07:19:15	Will Ken Calvert win the CA-40 House seat?	Yes	SELL	17	66¢	$11	0x284a5f…
09-11 06:52:21	Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	14	23¢	$3	0x162589…
09-11 06:50:30	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	No	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x8f6533…
09-11 06:30:30	Will the 2027 UEFA Champions League winner come from Italy?	Yes	BUY	18	13¢	$2	0x18cdeb…
09-11 06:26:45	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 21% or more?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xc28c19…
09-11 05:45:21	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0xe930bd…
09-11 05:44:45	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?	No	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0x866dc8…
09-11 05:04:00	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	No	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x478251…
09-11 04:02:00	Will Shas win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xd4589a…
09-11 03:04:30	Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	No	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x29232f…
09-11 03:02:49	Will Shas win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x19134c…
09-11 02:43:19	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election?	No	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xe5c086…
09-11 02:43:19	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x8ea8c9…
09-11 02:43:19	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x6c581e…
09-11 01:47:12	Will Rick Shegog win the next West Tamar mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xda5630…
09-11 01:25:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-30 House election by 70% or more?	Yes	SELL	16	11¢	$2	0xb5f1a7…
09-11 01:01:04	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be between 700,000 and 750,000?	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x3d20e1…
09-11 00:22:22	Will Werner Pretorius be the next mayor of Mangaung?	No	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0xbf8260…
09-11 00:19:15	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	4¢	$1	0xcc4d8b…
09-11 00:08:04	Will United Torah Judaism win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	16	47¢	$8	0xb4962c…
09-10 23:49:55	Will Marc-Antoine Bernier win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	11	50¢	$5	0xfc0ddd…
09-10 23:46:45	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x217075…
09-10 23:35:51	Will Rick Shegog win the next West Tamar mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xf598c4…
09-10 23:14:43	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x92a6e1…
09-10 23:03:58	Will four or more people dissent the September Fed decision?	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x2e91e2…
09-10 22:56:39	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be between 700,000 and 750,000?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x0f2900…
09-10 22:52:24	Will Kevin Ashe win the 2026 Pickering mayoral election?	No	SELL	11	42¢	$5	0xeefd8c…
09-10 22:46:09	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x5bc798…
09-10 22:37:40	Will Dagmar Škodová Parmová be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?	No	SELL	13	34¢	$4	0x8cf0a9…
09-10 22:21:55	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x6ebebd…
09-10 22:12:15	Will Jo Westwood win the next Kingborough mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xeaf972…
09-10 21:58:36	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xbffd7a…
09-10 21:05:30	Will SER have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xde04b3…
09-10 20:54:40	Will Victor Cumming win the 2026 Vernon mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	13	61¢	$8	0x249023…
09-10 19:59:24	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-30 House election by 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0x46b0cb…
09-10 19:46:46	Will Janaina Riva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x77b0c1…
09-10 19:36:09	Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x251631…
09-10 19:26:37	Will Kevin Ashe win the 2026 Pickering mayoral election?	No	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x380c57…
09-10 19:17:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?	No	SELL	19	36¢	$7	0xd99c31…
09-10 19:17:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?	No	SELL	19	36¢	$7	0xd2845c…
09-10 17:54:33	Will Werner Pretorius be the next mayor of Mangaung?	No	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0xff761b…
09-10 17:36:24	Will Evangelina Moreno Guerra win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xa26d09…