Safe-Size — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.67K

Unrealized P&L

+$114

Hit rate

73.6%

Resolved

498

Trades

4,323

lifetime

Volume

$72.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$109

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 18:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Sports

51% 61% +$1,405

Other

32% 50% +$660

Crypto

15% 48% -$407

Politics

2% 42% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+341	$72	16¢	$56	-$15	10-22 18:47
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	+292	$23	8¢	$22	$0	10-22 21:45
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	Yes	+2,275	-$52	1¢	$13	+$65	10-25 13:41
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	+650	$8	1¢	$8	+$0	10-01 13:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+307	$16	1¢	$4	-$11	10-11 19:43
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	+89	-$14	4¢	$3	+$18	07-02 13:17
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	+15	-$56	11¢	$2	+$58	09-15 17:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	44	$1.7K	1,079	1,224	-145	Yes	+$65	03-11 22:29
Fight to Go the Distance?	14	$1.5K	1,446	1,446	+0	Yes	+$218	09-05 21:00
Fight to Go the Distance?	15	$1.5K	997	997	+0	No	+$186	10-24 19:28
Fight to Go the Distance?	9	$1.4K	1,405	731	+674	Yes	-$457	09-20 04:03
Fight to Go the Distance?	7	$1.4K	1,055	1,055	+0	No	+$207	09-20 02:35
dota2 yb1 re 2026 08 04 game1	33	$1.3K	907	907	+0	Yakult Brothers	+$154	08-04 15:55
Fight to Go the Distance?	22	$1.3K	854	854	+0	No	+$186	10-04 00:30
ufc ant gre3 2026 08 22 go the distance	18	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$314	08-23 02:50
Fight to Go the Distance?	16	$1.2K	834	834	+0	Yes	+$105	09-05 20:18
Fight to Go the Distance?	23	$1.2K	1,660	1,429	+231	No	+$251	08-29 12:46
Fight to Go the Distance?	27	$1.2K	1,539	1,539	+0	No	+$134	10-24 21:05
Fight to Go the Distance?	13	$1.1K	728	728	+0	No	+$158	10-24 18:05
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	27	$1.0K	536	558	-23	Yes	+$33	03-06 19:08
dota2 l1ga rnx 2026 07 31	14	$964	1,563	1,563	+0	REKONIX	-$57	07-31 16:02
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	6	$936	475	475	+0	Yes	+$8	07-09 21:51
Fight to Go the Distance?	19	$831	800	713	+87	No	+$106	09-27 02:36
Fight to Go the Distance?	15	$804	1,142	966	+176	No	-$345	10-11 02:43
Fight to Go the Distance?	9	$797	1,000	721	+279	No	+$236	09-05 21:21
dota2 xtreme lgd 2026 07 31 game2	15	$765	750	750	+0	LGD Gaming	+$252	07-31 20:01
Fight to Go the Distance?	7	$763	500	500	+0	No	+$73	10-18 01:38
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	31	$763	608	753	-145	No	+$188	03-10 16:46
Fight to Go the Distance?	15	$750	750	750	+0	No	-$20	10-03 21:07
Fight to Go the Distance?	17	$739	658	505	+153	No	+$73	10-17 23:55
Fight to Go the Distance?	10	$696	535	535	+0	No	+$54	10-24 20:31
Fight to Go the Distance?	16	$686	995	995	+0	Yes	-$90	10-24 18:58
Fight to Go the Distance?	26	$670	518	430	+88	No	+$95	09-05 19:21
ufc mag11 drzepe 2026 07 25	3	$666	390	390	+0	Magomed Zaynukov	+$112	07-25 17:40
ufc rom2 rei1 2026 08 22 go the distance	16	$656	500	500	+0	No	+$116	08-23 01:27
Fight to Go the Distance?	21	$656	635	557	+78	No	+$51	10-18 00:50
Fight to Go the Distance?	6	$641	419	419	+0	No	+$129	10-03 22:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 18:29:02	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	210	44¢	$92	0x8ab763…
10-26 18:28:11	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x82b05b…
10-25 13:41:08	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	Yes	SELL	1,314	2¢	$20	0x93ad67…
10-25 13:40:48	Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?	Yes	SELL	313	3¢	$11	0x3dae2f…
10-25 05:49:44	Trump goes to space in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x406332…
10-24 21:05:36	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	95	60¢	$57	0xc025e1…
10-24 21:05:36	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	90	32¢	$29	0x43d9d8…
10-24 21:05:36	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x1cde44…
10-24 21:05:35	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	53	32¢	$17	0xcae678…
10-24 21:05:35	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	24	32¢	$8	0x303ea7…
10-24 21:05:35	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x2556a6…
10-24 21:05:33	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x095dbd…
10-24 21:04:26	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	31	32¢	$10	0x16bf60…
10-24 21:04:11	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x293fd3…
10-24 21:01:27	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	220	34¢	$75	0xc2c474…
10-24 21:00:51	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	278	34¢	$95	0xd1b849…
10-24 20:59:14	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x7a56bf…
10-24 20:58:11	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0x9e05c9…
10-24 20:32:57	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	51	32¢	$16	0xeceac9…
10-24 20:32:05	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x7ae0a5…
10-24 20:31:35	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xfc1db1…
10-24 20:30:53	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	37	32¢	$12	0xebdef5…
10-24 19:50:12	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	1,000	34¢	$340	0x0dbd2d…
10-24 19:47:50	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	43	34¢	$15	0x1397b4…
10-24 19:43:20	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	150	59¢	$88	0x1c28d5…
10-24 19:35:09	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	257	34¢	$87	0x59107b…
10-24 19:33:47	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	152	34¢	$52	0xa33f00…
10-24 19:28:03	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	188	100¢	$188	0x3d6108…
10-24 19:27:00	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	55	75¢	$41	0x60bec7…
10-24 19:26:59	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	75	55¢	$41	0xa19d9c…
10-24 19:24:45	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	122	57¢	$70	0x468ee0…
10-24 19:24:36	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xebdcf4…
10-24 19:23:29	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0x728dc0…
10-24 19:15:53	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	535	60¢	$321	0x2e17ba…
10-24 18:58:26	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	89	12¢	$11	0x75b706…
10-24 18:58:15	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0xaf3111…
10-24 18:58:09	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	271	12¢	$32	0xa59e9d…
10-24 18:52:12	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	110	36¢	$40	0xbce9ea…
10-24 18:49:38	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0x7bb2b3…
10-24 18:49:18	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x2f7f57…
10-24 18:49:17	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	30	40¢	$12	0x4c124c…
10-24 18:49:15	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	55	41¢	$23	0xbc8b29…
10-24 18:47:48	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0x849b3a…
10-24 18:47:33	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	45	43¢	$19	0x0a59cb…
10-24 18:47:02	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x275e1f…
10-24 18:46:47	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x1acd03…
10-24 18:44:05	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	55	45¢	$25	0x2155a0…
10-24 18:40:36	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0x27465c…
10-24 18:35:42	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	500	39¢	$195	0x4a9e31…
10-24 18:31:18	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	495	39¢	$193	0x2fc353…
10-24 18:25:03	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	70	95¢	$66	0xa0c7d5…
10-24 18:25:02	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	70	90¢	$63	0x0cbb0d…
10-24 18:25:00	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x447102…
10-24 18:24:59	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xbe3c44…
10-24 18:24:57	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	193	70¢	$135	0x2422dd…
10-24 18:22:09	UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)	Losene Keita	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x1c8323…
10-24 18:14:08	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	573	67¢	$384	0x6b6817…
10-24 18:05:48	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Under	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xa8fa3c…
10-24 18:05:35	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	219	99¢	$217	0x4d66cb…
10-24 18:04:35	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	413	66¢	$273	0xf90692…
10-24 17:50:33	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x584365…
10-24 17:41:29	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Under	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x349cc2…
10-24 17:35:17	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x492a3f…
10-24 17:24:15	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	69	1¢	$1	0x2cc61c…
10-24 17:13:09	UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Nikita Krylov	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xea89dd…
10-24 16:52:42	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	77	90¢	$69	0xec7aea…
10-24 16:52:41	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xbb27e8…
10-24 16:52:41	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x5842ef…
10-24 16:52:41	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x24cc6e…
10-24 16:52:29	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x10a780…
10-24 16:49:38	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	130	63¢	$82	0x7b982f…
10-24 16:43:24	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	270	63¢	$170	0x8e74c7…
10-24 16:42:18	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0xad070f…
10-24 16:40:18	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x63a8fe…
10-24 16:36:21	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x7c3022…
10-24 16:34:23	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	54	49¢	$26	0x04b858…
10-24 16:34:14	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	34	49¢	$17	0x718863…
10-24 16:28:35	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	79	49¢	$39	0x43d2f1…
10-24 16:28:29	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x4fd090…
10-24 16:28:12	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x1dafa6…
10-24 16:11:03	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	303	66¢	$200	0x9864e3…
10-24 15:45:23	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xce5db6…
10-24 15:45:02	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xf65c90…
10-22 21:45:56	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	SELL	97	12¢	$12	0x21d2fb…
10-22 18:57:59	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	10¢	$6	0x43b307…
10-22 18:56:36	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	BUY	164	9¢	$15	0xc1acae…
10-22 18:56:26	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	BUY	225	9¢	$19	0xcd5541…
10-22 18:53:59	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xba304e…
10-22 18:53:51	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	Yes	BUY	80	10¢	$8	0x6427e3…
10-22 18:47:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	341	21¢	$72	0x431682…
10-21 19:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x5fbbfd…
10-21 18:28:36	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	Yes	BUY	1,314	0¢	$6	0x6b1b3e…
10-18 02:05:50	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	46	18¢	$8	0x25a83d…
10-18 02:01:59	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	34	65¢	$22	0x2a749b…
10-18 02:01:44	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x09bd65…
10-18 01:54:12	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xbd37ec…
10-18 01:54:12	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	90	36¢	$32	0x340eb2…
10-18 01:54:05	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0xd50014…
10-18 01:54:05	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	99	34¢	$34	0x595d78…
10-18 01:53:56	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	68	31¢	$21	0x9e5db8…