Best-Stem — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$99

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

Trades

157

lifetime

Volume

$23.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$151

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-02 12:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Sports

67% 76% +$72

Crypto

17% 93% $0

Other

15% 100% +$18

Tech

0% 100% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No		+15	$15	100¢	$15	+$0	10-02 12:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba sas hou 2026 01 20	8	$3.5K	2,120	1,900	+220	Rockets	-$74	01-21 04:18
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	2	$3.4K	1,710	1,680	+30	No	-$2	01-19 12:54
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$3.2K	1,602	1,600	+2	No	-$2	01-20 01:40
nba min uta 2026 01 20	2	$2.8K	1,520	1,300	+220	Jazz	+$14	01-21 05:22
nba lal den 2026 01 20	10	$2.1K	2,105	0	+2,105	Lakers	+$7	01-21 05:33
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	34	$1.4K	716	710	+6	No	+$0	01-20 14:41
nba por sac 2026 01 18	4	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Trail Blazers	+$26	01-19 04:12
nba phx bkn 2026 01 19	5	$1.0K	1,100	0	+1,100	Suns	+$85	01-20 02:41
nba phx phi 2026 01 20	4	$788	800	0	+800	Suns	+$12	01-21 02:25
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 240 259	18	$728	367	367	+0	No	+$3	01-20 14:30
nba nop hou 2026 01 18	6	$688	748	0	+748	Rockets	+$59	01-19 01:53
nba ind phi 2026 01 19	2	$670	700	0	+700	76ers	+$30	01-20 02:14
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 60 79	2	$198	100	100	+0	No	+$2	01-20 14:41
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 340 359	2	$196	100	100	+0	No	+$0	01-20 12:36
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 40 59	2	$188	100	90	+10	No	+$2	01-21 08:56
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 100 119	2	$188	100	90	+10	No	+$2	01-21 08:55
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 120 139	2	$186	100	90	+10	No	+$4	01-21 08:55
xrp above 1pt8 on february 10	1	$115	115	0	+115	No	+$0	02-10 08:42
will the price of solana be less than 60 on february 9	1	$115	115	0	+115	No	+$0	02-09 14:28
nba cha den 2026 01 18	6	$105	304	0	+304	Hornets	-$105	01-19 01:23
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 0 19	2	$99	66	33	+33	No	+$0	01-21 08:56
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$99	100	0	+100	No	+$1	05-17 02:27
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	07-07 13:48
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	08-14 01:56
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$72	73	0	+73	No	+$0	04-06 06:37
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	02-15 13:09
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in October?	1	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	10-02 12:37
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	1	$40	41	0	+41	No	+$1	07-07 13:48
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$40	41	0	+41	No	+$1	02-15 13:10
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	03-26 06:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 12:37:05	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in October?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x32284b…
10-02 12:36:47	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xee80d3…
10-02 12:36:38	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x78b8b3…
10-02 12:36:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe70253…
09-03 09:21:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x72fda6…
09-03 08:22:04	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x89828e…
09-03 08:21:36	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc587e5…
08-14 01:56:40	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x79a041…
08-14 01:56:07	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x682d70…
08-14 01:48:07	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xeec7f7…
07-07 13:48:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x0e00be…
07-07 13:48:55	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xedb3c8…
07-07 13:48:28	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x73081b…
07-07 13:48:08	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x1fd8f4…
07-07 13:48:01	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xe41aee…
06-03 13:53:36	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x49b14b…
06-03 13:53:25	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0xfaf8f9…
06-03 13:53:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x10ae66…
05-17 02:27:57	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x10c01c…
05-17 02:00:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4cc796…
05-17 01:59:51	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x09f6a7…
04-06 06:37:27	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$72	0x7bc1dc…
04-06 06:37:15	bitcoin above 76k on april 6	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f7ee2…
04-06 06:36:47	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x96d34e…
04-06 06:36:27	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x540107…
04-06 06:36:17	nba por den 2026 04 06	Nuggets	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0xf2750e…
03-26 06:47:37	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x858bde…
03-26 06:47:31	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x804de2…
03-26 06:47:13	nba sac orl 2026 03 26	Magic	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x10f4f5…
03-26 06:47:07	nba nop det 2026 03 26	Pistons	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xc8a0f4…
03-17 05:05:37	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0b0285…
03-17 05:05:27	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 580plus	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x0afa9c…
03-17 05:05:17	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 240plus	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x179d37…
03-17 05:05:11	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 215 239	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x49cc2b…
02-15 13:10:23	will bitcoin reach 80k february 9 15	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x71bc5c…
02-15 13:10:03	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x7b88a2…
02-15 13:09:51	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xe32394…
02-10 08:42:17	xrp above 1pt8 on february 10	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xf12d24…
02-09 14:28:01	will the price of solana be less than 60 on february 9	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x74156e…
01-21 08:56:32	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 0 19	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xf7432f…
01-21 08:56:08	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 40 59	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xb086af…
01-21 08:55:36	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 100 119	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x087c30…
01-21 08:55:20	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 120 139	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x6bbc4c…
01-21 05:33:10	nba lal den 2026 01 20	Lakers	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x81c6eb…
01-21 05:33:10	nba lal den 2026 01 20	Lakers	BUY	1,128	100¢	$1,125	0x3a269a…
01-21 05:33:02	nba lal den 2026 01 20	Lakers	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0xb11cfe…
01-21 05:32:50	nba lal den 2026 01 20	Lakers	BUY	267	100¢	$266	0x14a59e…
01-21 05:32:48	nba lal den 2026 01 20	Lakers	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x8c86d8…
01-21 05:31:20	nba lal den 2026 01 20	Lakers	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x79f15e…
01-21 05:31:16	nba lal den 2026 01 20	Lakers	BUY	278	100¢	$277	0x70e378…
01-21 05:30:58	nba lal den 2026 01 20	Lakers	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0xa998db…
01-21 05:30:58	nba lal den 2026 01 20	Lakers	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x2bd265…
01-21 05:30:52	nba lal den 2026 01 20	Lakers	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4db90d…
01-21 05:22:52	nba min uta 2026 01 20	Jazz	SELL	1,300	100¢	$1,299	0xfaefb9…
01-21 04:23:24	nba min uta 2026 01 20	Jazz	BUY	1,520	99¢	$1,505	0xb83bb1…
01-21 04:18:10	nba sas hou 2026 01 20	Rockets	SELL	1,500	100¢	$1,498	0xcd0c71…
01-21 03:51:50	nba sas hou 2026 01 20	Rockets	BUY	1,720	99¢	$1,703	0x085ca4…
01-21 03:50:14	nba sas hou 2026 01 20	Spurs	SELL	300	1¢	$3	0x194933…
01-21 03:42:36	nba sas hou 2026 01 20	Spurs	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xfa54ab…
01-21 03:33:46	nba sas hou 2026 01 20	Spurs	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x564e83…
01-21 03:32:26	nba sas hou 2026 01 20	Spurs	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xde64a3…
01-21 03:02:06	nba sas hou 2026 01 20	Spurs	SELL	100	82¢	$82	0x1682e6…
01-21 02:25:30	nba phx phi 2026 01 20	Suns	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x9df9a8…
01-21 02:22:46	nba phx phi 2026 01 20	Suns	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x18da33…
01-21 02:21:52	nba phx phi 2026 01 20	Suns	BUY	230	99¢	$228	0x5fd16c…
01-21 02:11:30	nba phx phi 2026 01 20	Suns	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0x0f173f…
01-21 01:37:54	nba sas hou 2026 01 20	Spurs	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x6ae9bb…
01-20 14:41:54	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	No	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0x86a0c2…
01-20 14:41:00	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 60 79	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x7e8da7…
01-20 14:40:00	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	No	SELL	37	99¢	$36	0xb850fc…
01-20 14:39:36	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xf3411c…
01-20 14:36:38	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfca2f2…
01-20 14:36:38	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x935584…
01-20 14:36:36	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x24194a…
01-20 14:36:36	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x08d60f…
01-20 14:34:48	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xead559…
01-20 14:34:08	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0xadb3f7…
01-20 14:34:06	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xe26490…
01-20 14:34:04	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x782cb8…
01-20 14:34:04	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x682ed1…
01-20 14:33:58	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xaea660…
01-20 14:33:58	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x3ed6ac…
01-20 14:33:56	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x679985…
01-20 14:33:54	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x8c7698…
01-20 14:33:54	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x59b61b…
01-20 14:32:00	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x53c423…
01-20 14:31:32	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	No	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0x40fbd6…
01-20 14:30:52	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xef677b…
01-20 14:30:32	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 240 259	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2b5063…
01-20 14:30:30	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x0c4365…
01-20 14:30:28	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xca37c5…
01-20 14:29:56	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 240 259	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x5e5ab6…
01-20 14:29:54	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x9a4fa3…
01-20 14:29:48	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 240 259	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xedec6e…
01-20 14:29:48	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x260fe7…
01-20 14:29:46	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	No	SELL	35	99¢	$34	0x8a94c4…
01-20 14:29:28	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	No	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0xf5c647…
01-20 14:29:28	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 240 259	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xb854fa…
01-20 14:29:12	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xb32b1d…
01-20 14:29:10	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xf8aa79…