These-Digestion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$127

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

324

Trades

740

lifetime

Volume

$1.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 11-02 03:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Crypto

36% 70% -$17

Other

28% 59% -$104

Sports

25% 51% -$2

Politics

10% 67% -$3

Tech

1% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on November 2?	No	—	+2	$1	99¢	$2	+$0	11-02 03:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		+0	$1	18¢	$0	-$1	10-01 16:52
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+0	$0	72¢	$0	$0	07-07 01:19
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes		+0	$0	98¢	$0	+$0	10-26 05:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		+0	$0	82¢	$0	+$0	05-06 13:41
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No		+0	$0	99¢	$0	$0	05-03 23:41
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No		+0	$0	98¢	$0	+$0	05-10 06:35
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+0	$0	95¢	$0	$0	10-27 23:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nhl chi car 2026 01 22	88	$151	195	152	+42	Blackhawks	-$23	01-23 02:35
cbb marist siena 2026 01 22 total 134pt5	85	$85	85,000	0	+85,000	Under	-$85	01-23 02:20
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	34	$67	35	35	+0	Yes	+$1	01-21 17:12
nhl det tor 2026 01 21	7	$13	27	0	+27	Red Wings	-$13	01-22 02:44
nhl wsh van 2026 01 21	8	$13	27	0	+27	Canucks	+$9	01-22 04:10
nhl phi utah 2026 01 21	5	$8	45	0	+45	Utah	+$37	01-22 04:31
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	4	$8	9	9	+0	Yes	+$1	05-01 21:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$7	9	9	+0	open	—	10-01 16:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 24?	2	$6	5	5	+0	No	+$3	10-24 22:36
nhl sj fla 2026 01 19	6	$6	13	0	+13	Sharks	+$7	01-20 01:29
nhl buf mon 2026 01 22	6	$6	29	0	+29	Sabres	-$6	01-23 02:20
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$5	11	10	+1	No	$0	05-04 16:17
will bitcoin dip to 77k on august 29 2026	4	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$0	08-29 21:53
nhl nyi sea 2026 01 21	3	$5	10	0	+10	Kraken	+$5	01-22 03:48
will bitcoin reach 83k on october 16 2026	3	$5	5	5	+0	No	+$2	10-17 01:17
will xrp reach 1pt8 in august 2026	4	$5	3	3	+0	No	$0	08-22 21:40
will ethereum reach 2500 on october 16 2026	2	$5	6	6	+0	No	+$2	10-16 14:41
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	01-31 19:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 2?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	10-02 17:51
Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 7?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	10-07 17:09
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	10-02 15:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on September 22?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	09-22 14:53
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	10-01 01:19
Netanyahu out by June 30?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	06-28 22:03
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 26-November 1?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	11-02 01:53
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	07-24 19:53
will bitcoin dip to 75k in august 2026	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	08-31 16:00
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	04-30 05:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 7-13?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	09-12 07:32
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	09-15 18:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 03:36:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on November 2?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x4756fb…
11-02 01:53:37	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 26-November 1?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x131620…
11-01 06:27:24	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xac5a14…
10-29 20:20:57	Will Solana reach $110 in October?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x756fe3…
10-29 01:48:46	Will XRP dip to $1.30 on October 28?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xed1984…
10-28 18:27:01	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in October?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xcdda36…
10-27 23:54:12	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xa7c02e…
10-27 21:31:51	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0xfe1792…
10-26 14:48:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x375a35…
10-26 05:02:53	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4c8c99…
10-25 20:55:45	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 25?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5a7373…
10-24 22:36:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x64b739…
10-24 15:16:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x99b4e3…
10-24 14:17:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1a6f63…
10-24 06:30:33	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 19-25?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x434359…
10-23 15:10:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0x00e76c…
10-23 11:42:41	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 19-25?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x0ef676…
10-21 23:03:03	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	No	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x4900f6…
10-21 22:18:02	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 21?	No	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0xed4bc6…
10-21 17:38:48	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0x928234…
10-21 16:16:20	Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on October 21?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7f7a6e…
10-21 15:10:32	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	No	BUY	4	34¢	$2	0x83c49f…
10-21 12:17:51	Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on October 21?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4dd318…
10-20 19:49:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb04d65…
10-20 16:22:32	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 20?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x2d190c…
10-20 16:13:11	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 20?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xaecc45…
10-20 14:15:29	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 20?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$2	0x8d0141…
10-20 14:04:48	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0xda73e1…
10-18 17:15:41	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 12-18?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc6b513…
10-17 01:17:50	will bitcoin reach 83k on october 16 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7047ec…
10-16 18:14:29	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 12-18?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xdcd546…
10-16 17:16:47	will ethereum dip to 2400 on october 16 2026	No	BUY	13	11¢	$2	0x24bed6…
10-16 15:06:07	will bitcoin dip to 81k on october 16 2026	No	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0xe19291…
10-16 14:41:18	will ethereum reach 2500 on october 16 2026	No	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0xe1ffff…
10-16 14:41:18	will bitcoin reach 83k on october 16 2026	No	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x757442…
10-16 11:13:57	will ethereum reach 2500 on october 16 2026	No	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0xf5a5d4…
10-16 11:13:57	will bitcoin reach 83k on october 16 2026	No	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0x2e41ad…
10-16 11:02:15	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x20b5d1…
10-15 19:56:47	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 15?	No	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x0dbc01…
10-15 19:35:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 15?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x8c27cc…
10-15 17:17:10	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 15?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc4a4fd…
10-15 17:16:28	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x78dac6…
10-15 15:04:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 15?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x035856…
10-15 02:24:58	will ethereum dip to 2350 on october 14 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb3b756…
10-12 21:44:39	Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 on October 12?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x688f8c…
10-12 19:00:35	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on October 12?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x493863…
10-11 18:49:01	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on October 11?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x68bd91…
10-11 18:34:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0x777790…
10-11 16:28:51	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on October 11?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x2cb745…
10-11 15:59:00	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd5d8f2…
10-10 17:37:06	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 October 5-11?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x033d15…
10-09 16:13:30	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 5-11?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x49bd3c…
10-09 11:47:07	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 5-11?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xbd0cf1…
10-07 20:03:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x278114…
10-07 19:03:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 7?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x163c84…
10-07 19:03:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0492a2…
10-07 17:09:14	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 7?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x447f4b…
10-07 15:35:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 7?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x971663…
10-07 08:39:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5df69a…
10-07 08:19:38	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xbe59c2…
10-07 02:01:38	Will XRP dip to $1.45 on October 6?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe2b6ef…
10-07 00:12:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 6?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xb3125d…
10-06 15:56:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x77dc1a…
10-05 20:58:38	Will Ethereum dip to $2,650 on October 5?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x62d4d5…
10-04 22:17:16	will bitcoin dip to 84k on october 4 2026	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xbc6fc4…
10-03 14:33:54	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x141244…
10-03 08:03:18	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 28-October 4?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0xe91604…
10-03 06:29:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xcbb700…
10-03 01:41:03	Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 28-October 4?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0x94f379…
10-02 18:16:11	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x693a61…
10-02 17:51:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 2?	No	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xffd356…
10-02 17:25:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xc29f82…
10-02 16:57:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xe2e4de…
10-02 16:42:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xab5632…
10-02 15:53:29	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1c6810…
10-02 15:41:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb66139…
10-02 13:07:56	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xba267b…
10-02 10:07:35	Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x9fb75e…
10-02 09:02:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa68f3d…
10-01 18:35:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 1?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x8ae224…
10-01 17:39:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 1?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf11512…
10-01 16:52:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xc8b95f…
10-01 16:17:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 1?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xf42c4f…
10-01 01:19:51	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb1a80c…
09-30 14:32:35	Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x400eec…
09-30 13:08:42	will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5e2361…
09-28 17:41:05	will bitcoin reach 86k on september 28 2026	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x3cc731…
09-28 17:26:08	will bitcoin reach 85k on september 28 2026	No	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0xda8197…
09-28 17:12:30	will bitcoin reach 85k on september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x2956b0…
09-28 16:25:24	will bitcoin reach 86k on september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x9709a7…
09-28 16:16:38	will ethereum reach 2750 on september 28 2026	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xd47e28…
09-28 15:12:18	will ethereum reach 2700 on september 28 2026	No	SELL	4	64¢	$2	0xc4fd3a…
09-28 08:03:27	will ethereum reach 2750 on september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0xb8fa54…
09-28 08:03:27	will ethereum reach 2700 on september 28 2026	No	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x6dcb8d…
09-27 15:29:18	will bitcoin dip to 82k september 21 27 2026	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4a5adf…
09-27 08:36:54	will bitcoin dip to 80k september 21 27 2026	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xaf9c6f…
09-26 21:36:20	will bitcoin dip to 83k on september 26 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x65bdfe…
09-26 13:37:08	will bitcoin dip to 80k september 21 27 2026	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x334a54…
09-25 16:17:03	will bitcoin dip to 83k on september 25 2026	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xe5e06a…
09-25 16:06:48	will bitcoin reach 87k on september 25 2026	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xbd55ad…