Muffled-Breeze — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19.0K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.7%

Resolved

Trades

138

lifetime

Volume

$148.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.08K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-10 23:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Politics

76% 41% -$10,718

Other

24% 8% -$8,182

Pop-Culture

0% 33% -$69

Sports

0% 0% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-10).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	14	$40.2K	40,877	22,377	+18,500	No	+$1,894	04-02 16:29
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$19.2K	115,177	81,707	+33,470	Yes	-$11,910	04-05 03:51
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	9	$18.1K	53,684	53,684	+0	No	-$7,117	05-14 04:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	9	$15.9K	12,291	12,291	+0	No	+$2,195	05-29 20:59
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$15.5K	7,814	7,814	+0	No	-$8	03-30 00:35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	3	$10.9K	5,705	5,705	+0	No	+$175	04-30 00:59
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	17	$8.0K	16,727	16,727	+0	Yes	-$1,130	06-10 23:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$3.9K	2,055	2,055	+0	No	+$182	04-28 19:19
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	6	$2.4K	3,367	3,367	+0	No	+$113	05-29 01:26
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	5	$2.3K	3,762	3,762	+0	No	+$1,348	05-26 02:44
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	1	$2.1K	7,012	0	+7,012	Yes	-$2,070	06-05 01:44
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	2	$1.7K	1,164	1,164	+0	No	+$113	05-26 04:12
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$1.4K	1,929	1,929	+0	No	+$33	01-14 21:42
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	2	$1.2K	2,662	2,662	+0	No	-$394	05-29 18:12
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	6	$986	1,471	1,471	+0	Yes	-$184	05-19 22:26
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	3	$812	2,321	1,250	+1,071	No	-$487	05-19 22:40
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	3	$761	895	895	+0	No	+$295	05-24 17:42
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	1	$500	2,045	0	+2,045	No	-$500	01-29 12:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$434	343	343	+0	No	-$8	05-24 05:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	3	$372	301	301	+0	No	+$72	05-24 05:50
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$300	545	0	+545	No	-$300	01-10 23:51
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$259	4,127	4,127	+0	Yes	-$220	05-12 06:57
mlb tex phi 2026 03 29	4	$227	195	195	+0	Texas Rangers	-$4	03-29 18:57
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	1	$200	3,829	0	+3,829	No	-$200	01-29 12:04
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	2	$195	1,771	1,771	+0	No	-$53	05-27 16:05
cs2 faze aur1 2026 03 18	1	$158	266	0	+266	Aurora Gaming	-$158	03-18 19:14
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?	2	$131	156	156	+0	Yes	+$31	05-19 01:07
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	2	$130	1,223	0	+1,223	No	-$130	01-10 23:51
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	1	$100	714	0	+714	No	-$100	01-23 14:39
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$94	139	139	+0	No	-$70	05-19 01:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 23:12:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	SELL	790	67¢	$529	0x18bfac…
06-06 21:37:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	790	63¢	$500	0xb07e21…
06-05 01:44:10	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	7,012	30¢	$2,070	0x57820e…
06-05 01:43:45	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	SELL	4,602	45¢	$2,071	0x995910…
05-31 01:38:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	1,515	33¢	$500	0x139c89…
05-29 23:25:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	455	26¢	$118	0xf9adf0…
05-29 20:59:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	2,631	27¢	$722	0x933a37…
05-29 20:59:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	998	72¢	$721	0xc6279e…
05-29 18:13:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	998	52¢	$519	0x11a003…
05-29 18:12:59	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	SELL	2,662	16¢	$419	0xc63389…
05-29 14:56:59	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	2,662	31¢	$813	0x1b2952…
05-29 14:56:41	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	11,335	7¢	$813	0x42b301…
05-29 02:36:21	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	1,087	23¢	$250	0x33e704…
05-29 01:27:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	1,942	25¢	$478	0x519976…
05-29 01:26:56	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	SELL	1,136	42¢	$477	0x27ac6a…
05-28 07:01:35	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x3fb9f6…
05-27 20:48:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x5dde3a…
05-27 16:09:52	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	356	28¢	$101	0x4755e3…
05-27 16:06:32	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	237	30¢	$70	0x2605fe…
05-27 16:05:00	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	SELL	1,771	4¢	$71	0xec78aa…
05-27 16:03:01	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	BUY	1,771	7¢	$124	0xf631fd…
05-27 16:02:43	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	SELL	379	33¢	$125	0xeb88e0…
05-27 05:51:16	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	1,515	33¢	$500	0xaaf68b…
05-27 00:54:16	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	2,726	23¢	$638	0x7381ef…
05-27 00:23:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	SELL	1,852	34¢	$638	0x71a3e4…
05-26 04:12:57	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	4,013	23¢	$908	0x494323…
05-26 04:12:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	SELL	1,164	78¢	$908	0x8e0d10…
05-26 04:07:07	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	250	22¢	$55	0x4d97e5…
05-26 04:06:41	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	82	67¢	$55	0xe508af…
05-26 03:03:34	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	22	19¢	$4	0x4bbd96…
05-26 02:44:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	1,923	0¢	$4	0xa088fd…
05-25 23:35:29	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x1ec3f1…
05-25 23:34:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	1,923	3¢	$50	0x8e9239…
05-25 23:21:10	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	BUY	1,164	68¢	$795	0x7b7dd0…
05-25 23:12:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	1,839	98¢	$1,795	0x13fb9d…
05-25 21:45:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	1,000	21¢	$210	0x9b5022…
05-25 21:43:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	839	23¢	$191	0xab8264…
05-25 15:00:26	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0xa4ce2d…
05-24 17:42:23	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	1,467	36¢	$527	0x34e02f…
05-24 17:42:07	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	895	59¢	$528	0xe04ba6…
05-24 08:47:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	102	20¢	$20	0xd229a8…
05-24 05:57:30	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	793	27¢	$213	0x2746ca…
05-24 05:52:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	343	62¢	$213	0x40b171…
05-24 05:51:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	343	64¢	$221	0x17e0bc…
05-24 05:50:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	301	74¢	$222	0xc13ec5…
05-24 02:20:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x5fa728…
05-23 23:02:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x66cfa9…
05-20 04:27:10	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	61	1¢	$1	0x82bf80…
05-19 22:40:54	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	1,071	14¢	$150	0x82b8f2…
05-19 22:26:19	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	SELL	676	13¢	$89	0x5a2a6b…
05-19 22:26:16	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	SELL	1,250	13¢	$162	0x35dccb…
05-19 22:11:06	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	40	29¢	$12	0x264034…
05-19 20:48:28	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	BUY	449	39¢	$175	0x2ae47c…
05-19 20:44:26	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0x45ab4a…
05-19 20:44:07	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0xa459e3…
05-19 20:44:00	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	224	9¢	$20	0xb87dd3…
05-19 20:30:12	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xca47f9…
05-19 20:29:16	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x42a1e1…
05-19 20:28:48	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0xe849fc…
05-19 20:27:42	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	276	15¢	$40	0xcb20ac…
05-19 14:12:25	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	BUY	226	44¢	$100	0x9acb0a…
05-19 04:18:38	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	SELL	795	39¢	$311	0x3014a3…
05-19 01:10:39	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x505222…
05-19 01:10:20	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	139	9¢	$12	0x1f2a83…
05-19 01:07:43	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?	Yes	SELL	156	52¢	$81	0xdb4947…
05-19 01:07:16	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	BUY	769	39¢	$300	0x4f28af…
05-19 01:05:35	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	1,250	40¢	$500	0x10178a…
05-17 20:32:23	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?	Yes	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0x1b157f…
05-17 20:32:11	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	Yes	BUY	582	9¢	$50	0xcd52fb…
05-17 20:31:55	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?	Yes	BUY	1,692	3¢	$50	0x387261…
05-14 04:56:28	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27,919	4¢	$1,088	0x303b5a…
05-12 09:34:25	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,724	26¢	$712	0xdf9dca…
05-12 09:34:25	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25,195	13¢	$3,385	0xdaa309…
05-12 08:50:25	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12,929	24¢	$3,086	0xb96916…
05-12 08:50:25	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12,836	10¢	$1,295	0x67feea…
05-12 07:39:51	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	59¢	$82	0x021821…
05-12 07:20:57	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	195	41¢	$79	0x26e7fa…
05-12 07:20:57	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23,809	33¢	$7,921	0x1d21e4…
05-12 07:19:11	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11,211	74¢	$8,279	0x28bf5b…
05-12 07:12:56	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	8¢	$3	0x91094d…
05-12 07:12:54	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	2,550	1¢	$15	0xa56fb2…
05-12 06:57:43	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	2,550	1¢	$18	0x368c84…
05-12 06:57:02	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	4,127	0¢	$20	0x87ac6c…
05-12 03:58:04	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$1	0x41982f…
05-12 03:57:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf23466…
05-12 03:56:30	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xd36c67…
05-12 03:55:58	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,751	28¢	$485	0x444e6b…
05-08 13:10:10	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0xbc12eb…
05-08 13:09:00	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	4,127	6¢	$239	0x680a9f…
05-07 23:22:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4b6828…
05-06 15:45:55	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,194	53¢	$633	0xf31d7c…
05-06 10:01:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	301	40¢	$120	0xe2a600…
04-30 01:05:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	67	57¢	$38	0x4a6b87…
04-30 01:05:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9,649	57¢	$5,500	0x69e2b1…
04-30 00:59:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5,705	97¢	$5,538	0x96747a…
04-28 19:27:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,546	94¢	$3,333	0x899325…
04-28 19:20:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,160	94¢	$2,030	0xdaad2f…
04-28 19:19:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,055	99¢	$2,031	0x71abeb…
04-24 18:26:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,055	90¢	$1,850	0xf1f4b8…
04-05 03:51:25	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	33,470	1¢	$250	0x4c3970…