Formal-Oboe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.7%

Resolved

939

Trades

949

lifetime

Volume

$9.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 10-11 03:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 151 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 97% -$33

Other

6% 99% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 78k on august 31 2026	1	$20	21	+21	Yes	+$1	08-31 15:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 27?	1	$20	21	+21	Yes	+$1	08-27 15:41
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on October 6?	1	$20	21	+21	Yes	+$1	10-06 15:08
xrp above 1 on august 13 2026	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	08-13 15:32
solana above 120 on september 30 2026	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	09-30 15:27
bitcoin above 73600 on april 14 2026 10am et	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	04-14 13:13
ethereum above 1900 on august 12 2026	1	$20	22	+22	No	+$2	08-12 15:01
ethereum above 2700 on september 23 2026	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	09-23 15:36
Will the price of Solana be above $125 on September 29?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	09-29 15:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	09-22 15:53
xrp above 1pt1 on july 24 2026	1	$20	21	+21	No	+$1	07-24 15:01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 21?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	09-21 15:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 28?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	08-28 15:02
xrp above 1 on august 12 2026	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	08-12 15:01
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 3?	1	$20	21	+21	No	+$1	05-03 15:28
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 13?	1	$20	21	+21	No	+$1	09-13 15:05
bitcoin above 76k on april 19	1	$20	21	+21	No	+$1	04-19 15:38
bitcoin above 60k on june 27 2026	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	06-27 15:00
bitcoin above 72200 on april 10 2026 12pm et	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	04-10 15:26
bitcoin above 68k on august 19 2026	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	-$20	08-19 15:14
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on September 24?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	09-24 15:47
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 21?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	09-21 15:08
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on September 23?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	09-23 15:56
bitcoin above 80k on august 25 2026	1	$20	21	+21	No	+$1	08-25 15:05
ethereum above 2500 on august 25 2026	1	$20	21	+21	No	+$1	08-25 15:05
bitcoin above 64k on july 16 2026	1	$19	20	+20	Yes	+$1	07-16 15:02
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 2?	1	$19	20	+20	No	+$1	05-02 15:08
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 27?	1	$19	20	+20	No	+$1	04-27 15:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 2?	1	$19	20	+20	No	+$1	09-02 15:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	1	$19	21	+21	No	-$19	10-06 15:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 03:04:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xaecbf6…
10-10 23:30:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x841b1e…
10-10 19:33:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xf6901b…
10-10 07:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x32dea9…
10-10 05:58:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x259455…
10-10 03:28:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xed0b3f…
10-09 20:47:19	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x17bbdb…
10-09 19:02:59	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x379039…
10-09 15:43:07	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 9?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xd30b80…
10-09 11:16:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x624f61…
10-09 08:57:37	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x18606d…
10-09 05:51:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xf42992…
10-09 05:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xef8c28…
10-09 02:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8cf87e…
10-08 23:16:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x318b07…
10-08 21:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xbacfbc…
10-08 20:50:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x63720c…
10-08 19:01:50	XRP Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xd5e836…
10-08 11:06:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x5935f0…
10-08 07:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x379fc6…
10-08 03:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x9434b4…
10-08 02:52:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x97755b…
10-08 02:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x24c2eb…
10-08 02:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x0f3dac…
10-08 02:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6fc0b3…
10-07 23:46:49	Solana Up or Down - October 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xcea7d4…
10-07 20:57:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf792dd…
10-07 15:10:11	Solana Up or Down - October 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7a6e96…
10-07 15:10:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x83d395…
10-07 15:10:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0411e2…
10-07 15:10:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x788ed4…
10-07 15:09:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5c3423…
10-07 07:37:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x662a16…
10-06 19:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x94aab9…
10-06 15:08:32	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x658177…
10-06 15:08:29	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xb2cf83…
10-06 15:08:26	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on October 6?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x8a8905…
10-06 15:08:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x8e208b…
10-06 15:08:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0xb1d8b6…
10-06 15:08:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x6ead32…
10-06 11:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x5075f6…
10-05 22:51:32	Solana Up or Down - October 5, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x592ef1…
10-05 19:59:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9cf0e4…
10-05 19:58:50	ethereum up or down october 5 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xc16b0e…
10-05 19:06:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0a2c1a…
10-05 19:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x736940…
10-05 15:22:56	bitcoin above 86k on october 5 2026	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x44323c…
10-05 15:22:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xa92bf3…
10-05 15:22:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x20f407…
10-05 15:07:52	Solana Up or Down - October 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x32c42d…
10-05 15:07:49	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3aa879…
10-05 11:11:56	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-05 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x6ae85f…
10-05 05:50:17	bitcoin up or down october 5 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6eadf1…
10-05 03:48:17	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-05 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe1e170…
10-05 03:48:16	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-05 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5eeb44…
10-05 03:23:43	will ethereum reach 2750 on october 4 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7671eb…
10-05 01:13:56	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcdb2f8…
10-04 20:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaa204c…
10-04 18:56:47	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x431c83…
10-04 16:50:43	ethereum up or down october 4 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x13b708…
10-04 16:50:41	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc7ef9d…
10-04 15:25:26	xrp up or down on october 4 2026	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbc3558…
10-04 15:11:40	bitcoin up or down on october 4 2026	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x08e05d…
10-04 10:51:55	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xef07f4…
10-04 09:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5cb9e6…
10-04 04:53:22	Solana Up or Down - October 4, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa85e3c…
10-04 04:53:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x83d7c8…
10-04 03:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x574496…
10-04 03:19:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xcffa93…
10-03 22:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc77b17…
10-03 22:50:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x82853f…
10-03 18:53:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xaf018c…
10-03 15:10:27	XRP Up or Down on October 3?	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x07230a…
10-03 15:10:26	ethereum up or down on october 3 2026	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf84854…
10-03 15:10:24	bitcoin up or down on october 3 2026	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb1916b…
10-03 15:10:21	Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on October 3?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x6fb0e9…
10-03 15:10:18	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 3?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd85acc…
10-03 10:52:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7b588e…
10-03 07:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x982510…
10-03 07:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x1a038d…
10-03 05:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x999498…
10-03 03:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc73ad2…
10-03 01:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x9e1794…
10-02 20:14:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaf5b2b…
10-02 20:14:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb81f1e…
10-02 20:14:17	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on October 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd05586…
10-02 20:14:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x688b0f…
10-02 20:14:11	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3e84f7…
10-02 20:14:09	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0685c9…
10-02 20:14:06	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x331218…
10-02 19:09:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x40a5d3…
10-02 19:09:29	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x24168f…
10-02 15:32:18	XRP Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6d12dd…
10-02 15:32:15	Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x022587…
10-02 15:32:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xafe2b2…
10-02 15:32:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x02107e…
10-02 15:32:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xcb1d94…
10-02 11:24:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xcfd4b4…
10-02 11:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1afeb1…
10-02 07:00:05	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x6c23b3…