Smoggy-Plume — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$110

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

9.4%

Resolved

Trades

178

lifetime

Volume

$160

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-17

last 06-22 17:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

47% 2% -$44

Crypto

40% 4% -$55

Politics

10% 0% -$6

Sports

3% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 17:30 UTC	2	$28	2,820	0	+2,820	Down	-$28	06-22 17:34
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	2	$11	18	0	+18	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	-$6	05-31 16:37
crint ind3 pak3 2026 06 14	1	$10	11	0	+11	India	+$1	06-14 14:26
Geneva Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Edas Butvilas	5	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	Edas Butvilas	-$10	05-18 19:50
Will Kolkata Knight Riders win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	1	$5	329	0	+329	No	-$5	05-24 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-22 20:12
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	2	$3	1,068	1,068	+0	No	-$1	05-21 09:57
Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	2	$2	2,150	0	+2,150	No	-$2	05-18 19:58
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 19?	2	$2	2,150	0	+2,150	No	-$2	05-18 20:07
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 19?	3	$2	2,145	0	+2,145	No	-$2	05-18 21:32
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$2	1,053	1,053	+0	No	+$0	05-21 09:06
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$2	1,053	1,053	+0	No	+$0	05-18 10:40
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$2	2,083	0	+2,083	No	-$2	05-17 09:06
Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	2	$2	1,042	1,042	+0	No	$0	05-19 07:02
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	9	$2	1,024	1,000	+24	No	$0	05-19 22:25
Will Aħwa Maltin win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?	2	$2	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	05-24 22:54
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	5	$2	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	05-22 19:45
Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	5	$2	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	05-24 04:14
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	4	$2	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	05-21 10:46
Will Séamas McGrattan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	2	$2	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	05-23 06:31
Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?	3	$2	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	05-21 23:38
Will "SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	2	$2	811	811	+0	No	+$0	05-21 10:46
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	7	$1	701	701	+0	No	$0	05-19 07:04
Will María Jesús Montero be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?	6	$1	700	700	+0	No	$0	05-22 20:26
Will Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	6	$1	1,308	0	+1,308	No	-$1	05-20 20:23
World Championships: Finland vs. Great Britain	1	$1	1,100	0	+1,100	Finland	-$1	05-22 20:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on May 19?	1	$1	1,075	0	+1,075	No	-$1	05-18 19:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 22?	1	$1	1,075	0	+1,075	No	-$1	05-21 17:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $90,000 on May 19?	1	$1	1,075	0	+1,075	No	-$1	05-18 19:26
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on May 19?	1	$1	1,075	0	+1,075	No	-$1	05-18 19:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 17:34:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2,320	1¢	$23	0x4eba10…
06-22 17:34:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xcf5479…
06-22 17:10:59	bitcoin above 72k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf25c10…
06-14 14:26:15	crint ind3 pak3 2026 06 14	India	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x48cb5b…
05-31 16:37:35	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdeee2f…
05-31 11:43:59	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x518a94…
05-30 19:32:01	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe4da64…
05-30 18:26:55	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	467	0¢	$0	0xf10b25…
05-24 22:54:35	Will Aħwa Maltin win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc32114…
05-24 12:45:19	Will Kolkata Knight Riders win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	Yes	BUY	329	2¢	$5	0x9a7c9c…
05-24 04:14:56	Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	64	0¢	$0	0x3f0e34…
05-24 04:07:56	Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	936	0¢	$1	0xe6411e…
05-23 06:31:39	Will Séamas McGrattan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5c858f…
05-22 20:26:23	Will María Jesús Montero be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?	Yes	SELL	597	0¢	$1	0xdb4e08…
05-22 20:20:54	World Championships: Finland vs. Great Britain	Great Britain	BUY	1,100	0¢	$1	0x9be3ad…
05-22 20:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x40719e…
05-22 19:45:47	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	620	0¢	$1	0x75be73…
05-22 15:15:31	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	112	0¢	$0	0xf7302c…
05-22 15:10:13	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x37d424…
05-22 14:33:19	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	168	0¢	$0	0x421bb6…
05-22 03:08:17	Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	308	0¢	$0	0xdbc3a3…
05-21 23:38:04	Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	352	0¢	$0	0x3ead55…
05-21 22:49:17	Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	448	0¢	$0	0x111f06…
05-21 22:43:55	Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	648	0¢	$1	0xf47ac4…
05-21 22:27:12	Will María Jesús Montero be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x34a47a…
05-21 17:23:20	Will María Jesús Montero be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x6a4f66…
05-21 17:18:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	1,075	0¢	$1	0x4e4587…
05-21 17:16:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	1,075	0¢	$1	0xbdb211…
05-21 10:46:14	Will "SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	Yes	SELL	811	0¢	$1	0x4b1def…
05-21 10:46:00	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb26df1…
05-21 09:57:49	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,068	0¢	$1	0x5ed5d0…
05-21 09:55:33	Will María Jesús Montero be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?	Yes	SELL	82	0¢	$0	0x3f98f6…
05-21 09:06:08	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,053	0¢	$1	0x3f8aa4…
05-20 22:23:41	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x568e6e…
05-20 21:59:09	Will Solana reach $100 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	630	0¢	$1	0x872a5c…
05-20 21:58:13	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0x7847f4…
05-20 21:58:06	Will Solana reach $100 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	280	0¢	$0	0x021bfd…
05-20 21:52:11	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,068	0¢	$2	0x06ce55…
05-20 21:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	491	0¢	$1	0x092002…
05-20 21:45:20	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 45°F or below on May 22?	Yes	BUY	261	0¢	$1	0x1d0b2b…
05-20 21:39:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x69ff01…
05-20 21:37:27	Will Aħwa Maltin win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x78ab9d…
05-20 21:26:48	Will Emily Flippen win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	BUY	180	0¢	$0	0x3c3b90…
05-20 21:26:08	Will Emily Flippen win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	BUY	820	0¢	$1	0x774862…
05-20 21:25:35	Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x726567…
05-20 21:23:41	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x57943e…
05-20 21:20:29	Will Anthony Jones win Top Chef Season 23?	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0x0dfbc2…
05-20 21:18:47	Will Solana reach $100 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xbc07e5…
05-20 21:14:53	will korea or korean be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xbb623f…
05-20 21:14:53	will korea or korean be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1717f2…
05-20 21:14:53	will korea or korean be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0833b9…
05-20 21:14:53	will korea or korean be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x02e62c…
05-20 21:13:30	Will Databricks have the highest private market valuation on June 30?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0xa31c41…
05-20 21:13:29	Will Canva have the highest private market valuation on June 30?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0xcd08a9…
05-20 21:12:41	Will Solana reach $100 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x89503d…
05-20 21:11:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7934c1…
05-20 21:09:24	Will Databricks have the highest private market valuation on June 30?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x599ee2…
05-20 21:02:52	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1a9557…
05-20 21:01:05	Will the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	999	0¢	$1	0xebed0d…
05-20 20:55:53	Will Canva have the highest private market valuation on June 30?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x2d13df…
05-20 20:54:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x82658e…
05-20 20:53:02	Will White House post 20-39 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa3c9a7…
05-20 20:53:02	Will White House post 20-39 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x55335c…
05-20 20:52:22	Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	448	0¢	$0	0x20644e…
05-20 20:49:41	Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x3d27cc…
05-20 20:49:09	Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd65585…
05-20 20:49:00	Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x5f2e6d…
05-20 20:48:22	Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	299	0¢	$0	0x716a22…
05-20 20:47:12	Will Séamas McGrattan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x69d94c…
05-20 20:43:44	Will the price of Solana be less than $50 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7ff473…
05-20 20:38:23	Will Canva have the highest private market valuation on June 30?	Yes	BUY	570	0¢	$1	0x1d5096…
05-20 20:36:45	Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x117beb…
05-20 20:36:35	Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	431	0¢	$0	0xcd4172…
05-20 20:34:53	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C or below on May 22?	Yes	BUY	372	0¢	$0	0x7a644a…
05-20 20:30:24	Will "SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	Yes	BUY	811	0¢	$1	0xcdf73d…
05-20 20:26:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x643358…
05-20 20:23:31	Will Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x03bca5…
05-20 20:22:02	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x93c494…
05-20 20:20:39	Will Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4c5363…
05-20 20:20:11	Will Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	179	0¢	$0	0xf25fb0…
05-20 20:19:38	Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	508	0¢	$1	0xfb3c1f…
05-20 20:19:24	Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x1aa310…
05-20 20:19:21	Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	292	0¢	$0	0x6521e4…
05-20 20:15:54	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	591	0¢	$1	0xe1fd24…
05-20 20:15:09	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa37bdb…
05-20 20:13:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $90,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x92b492…
05-20 06:02:33	Will María Jesús Montero be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x3d0c66…
05-19 22:25:09	Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8aae35…
05-19 08:25:11	Will BNB dip to $200 in May?	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0x6f7767…
05-19 07:08:02	Will María Jesús Montero be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?	Yes	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0x1eaeca…
05-19 07:04:44	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	701	0¢	$1	0x57b230…
05-19 07:02:56	Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	SELL	1,042	0¢	$1	0xa967d1…
05-19 03:25:05	Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x1b261d…
05-18 23:06:44	Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0xffb6bc…
05-18 21:32:52	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	145	0¢	$0	0xf6db59…
05-18 21:18:28	Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	118	0¢	$0	0x630a2d…
05-18 21:18:26	Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	63	0¢	$0	0x21cd78…
05-18 21:15:31	Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x4b859c…
05-18 20:47:03	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x9ca7d9…
05-18 20:47:03	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x58c12a…