Downright-Mountain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

7.7%

Resolved

Trades

117

lifetime

Volume

$1.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$21

1 position

First seen

2026-01-29

last 06-12 02:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

47% — —

Other

32% 0% $-0

Politics

12% 100% +$0

Sports

7% 0% $-5

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+22	$21	96¢	$21	$-0	06-12 02:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1769652900	6	$83	59	58	+1	open	—	01-29 02:29
btc updown 15m 1769662800	4	$78	63	62	+1	open	—	01-29 05:12
btc updown 15m 1769663700	8	$60	76	75	+1	open	—	01-29 05:26
Will March be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	2	$56	28	28	+0	open	—	04-04 02:16
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	2	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	03-30 09:13
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	03-20 00:26
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$55	29	29	+0	Yes	$-0	03-23 00:35
SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?	2	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	03-18 23:57
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	2	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	03-16 11:50
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	03-23 23:41
btc updown 5m 1774498500	2	$53	54	53	+1	open	—	03-26 04:17
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	04-28 07:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	05-01 11:47
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$48	25	25	+0	open	—	04-17 01:05
btc updown 5m 1774310700	2	$41	26	26	+0	open	—	03-24 00:09
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$36	25	25	+0	open	—	04-09 23:28
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	02-22 07:21
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	02-22 07:21
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	2	$31	15	15	+0	open	—	02-22 07:25
btc updown 15m 1769652000	6	$30	27	27	+0	open	—	01-29 02:12
crude oil all time high by march 31	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	03-30 09:13
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	04-25 07:41
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-28 07:06
btc updown 15m 1769664600	1	$25	49	0	+49	open	—	01-29 05:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	2	$24	13	12	+0	open	—	04-25 07:41
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	04-14 11:47
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	04-12 12:02
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$21	22	0	+22	open	—	06-12 02:25
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	1	$20	0	21	-21	open	—	06-09 12:36
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-23 01:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 02:25:45	Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x5ce680…
06-09 12:36:46	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0xfe37ad…
05-23 01:12:11	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x09a8e0…
05-23 01:12:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1843e4…
05-23 01:11:55	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x845d92…
05-20 15:35:16	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x138554…
05-20 15:34:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x75acd5…
05-20 15:34:34	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7ec81e…
05-16 05:15:43	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xdab197…
05-12 13:48:31	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x94dcd0…
05-08 01:53:57	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x0c1e46…
05-05 08:25:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0bbb36…
05-01 11:47:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0xf15ecb…
05-01 11:47:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x6bccbe…
04-28 07:06:50	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9ef9c5…
04-28 07:05:58	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x33c612…
04-25 07:42:12	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0x1a70cd…
04-25 07:41:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xf5087f…
04-25 07:41:36	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x03e492…
04-22 09:18:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$12	0x379083…
04-22 09:18:06	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xe7ee09…
04-18 14:41:40	nba min den 2026 04 18	Timberwolves	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0x97cc53…
04-18 14:41:26	nba tor cle 2026 04 18	Raptors	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x6e4d87…
04-17 01:16:14	btc updown 5m 1776388500	Up	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0xbaec9e…
04-17 01:15:18	btc updown 5m 1776388500	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc8cf34…
04-17 01:05:24	btc updown 5m 1776387900	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x3c3e35…
04-17 01:05:10	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x432a98…
04-14 11:49:01	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x312b0b…
04-14 11:48:49	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xa0fa14…
04-14 11:48:39	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xe98407…
04-14 11:47:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xbeac95…
04-12 12:02:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x725f78…
04-12 12:02:17	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x4f8d89…
04-09 23:28:57	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6a69fe…
04-09 23:28:43	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	25	49¢	$12	0x0748d7…
04-07 13:44:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x291cb0…
04-05 07:01:49	btc updown 5m 1775372400	Down	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xc5c260…
04-05 07:00:17	btc updown 5m 1775372400	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x6de68f…
04-05 06:58:17	btc updown 5m 1775372100	Down	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xada245…
04-05 06:55:31	btc updown 5m 1775372100	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xcd7b7e…
04-04 02:17:59	btc updown 5m 1775268900	Down	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x767acc…
04-04 02:17:03	btc updown 5m 1775268900	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xfcefc7…
04-04 02:16:19	Will March be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xd4f4f5…
04-01 13:47:33	Will March be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x659217…
03-30 09:13:26	crude oil all time high by march 31	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x3e6ee0…
03-30 09:13:08	Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x708739…
03-26 04:19:53	Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xa441eb…
03-26 04:17:19	btc updown 5m 1774498500	Down	SELL	53	53¢	$28	0x04683e…
03-26 04:15:53	btc updown 5m 1774498500	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x87e6ac…
03-24 00:09:29	btc updown 5m 1774310700	Down	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0x1588c0…
03-24 00:05:13	btc updown 5m 1774310700	Down	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x5a808c…
03-24 00:04:33	btc updown 5m 1774310400	Down	SELL	21	25¢	$5	0x867fc2…
03-24 00:00:17	btc updown 5m 1774310400	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x6fcde8…
03-23 23:57:57	btc updown 5m 1774310100	Down	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x10484a…
03-23 23:55:49	btc updown 5m 1774310100	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x2cbdc8…
03-23 23:53:37	btc updown 5m 1774309800	Down	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x4caeec…
03-23 23:50:53	btc updown 5m 1774309800	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xc5aa3b…
03-23 23:45:43	btc updown 5m 1774309500	Down	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0xe7cfcc…
03-23 23:45:29	btc updown 5m 1774309500	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1fc6ff…
03-23 23:41:23	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0xe05532…
03-23 00:35:37	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$27	0xe8a166…
03-23 00:35:21	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	29	94¢	$27	0x6e7a00…
03-20 00:27:59	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0x846f7f…
03-20 00:26:49	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0xe703d7…
03-18 23:57:55	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xa7fed3…
03-18 23:57:39	SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0xa506c4…
03-16 11:51:25	SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x3fde10…
03-16 11:50:55	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0x713d23…
03-14 03:14:55	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	28	99¢	$27	0x9d41c7…
02-22 07:25:46	nba cle okc 2026 02 22	Cavaliers	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x897acc…
02-22 07:25:18	will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x76d60c…
02-22 07:25:08	will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6196da…
02-22 07:21:38	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0xfac73e…
02-22 07:21:30	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xf2cee9…
02-22 07:21:10	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0x562ef7…
02-22 07:21:02	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0xb114e4…
02-19 00:11:36	nba orl sac 2026 02 19	Kings	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xc36c92…
02-19 00:06:50	lol dnf drx 2026 02 19	DRX	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7373ae…
02-14 15:58:29	lol sen dsg 2026 02 14	Disguised	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x2c20ff…
02-10 12:41:45	solana up or down on february 10	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xff5212…
02-09 00:39:43	nba okc lal 2026 02 09	Thunder	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xb55f5b…
02-07 03:16:21	nba hou okc 2026 02 07	Rockets	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x08e73b…
02-07 03:15:59	nba nop min 2026 02 06	Timberwolves	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa709dc…
01-29 05:30:48	btc updown 15m 1769664600	Down	BUY	49	50¢	$25	0x044a35…
01-29 05:26:00	btc updown 15m 1769663700	Up	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0xed26a2…
01-29 05:25:48	btc updown 15m 1769663700	Up	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0xc5eff0…
01-29 05:22:46	btc updown 15m 1769663700	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xc2b6a6…
01-29 05:20:16	btc updown 15m 1769663700	Down	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0xbb0978…
01-29 05:18:06	btc updown 15m 1769663700	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x52eee9…
01-29 05:16:44	btc updown 15m 1769663700	Down	SELL	1	51¢	$0	0xa0571d…
01-29 05:16:20	btc updown 15m 1769663700	Down	SELL	53	46¢	$24	0x5a69c8…
01-29 05:16:06	btc updown 15m 1769663700	Down	BUY	54	38¢	$21	0xaa95ac…
01-29 05:12:36	btc updown 15m 1769662800	Down	SELL	24	88¢	$21	0x9196b3…
01-29 05:12:08	btc updown 15m 1769662800	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$19	0x7c645e…
01-29 05:06:48	btc updown 15m 1769662800	Down	SELL	39	51¢	$20	0x7fd834…
01-29 05:02:18	btc updown 15m 1769662800	Down	BUY	39	47¢	$18	0x10bbe1…
01-29 02:29:40	btc updown 15m 1769652900	Down	SELL	19	97¢	$19	0x76e557…
01-29 02:28:58	btc updown 15m 1769652900	Down	BUY	19	89¢	$17	0x8c2080…
01-29 02:28:24	btc updown 15m 1769652900	Down	SELL	21	81¢	$17	0x267740…
01-29 02:24:16	btc updown 15m 1769652900	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$11	0xd8469b…