Productive-Temper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,593

lifetime

Volume

$4.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-24 16:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

85% 100% +$0

Politics

7% 100% +$1

Sports

4% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 140 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?	No		-10	$-9	96¢	$-10	$-0	06-24 16:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	1,363	$450	192,939	178,646	+14,293	open	—	03-21 09:57
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	5	$398	200	200	+0	open	—	04-12 19:25
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	386	$362	149,999	106,136	+43,863	open	—	03-11 12:36
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	9	$294	2,100	2,100	+0	open	—	01-08 17:02
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	712	$287	98,969	93,862	+5,106	open	—	03-11 00:55
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	709	$187	77,975	54,298	+23,678	open	—	02-09 10:05
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	7	$150	50,000	50,000	+0	open	—	03-15 02:29
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	378	$119	83,966	17,487	+66,478	open	—	03-12 21:32
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	212	$119	39,663	39,582	+81	open	—	03-28 11:35
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	2	$105	700	700	+0	open	—	01-02 21:44
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	399	$104	41,372	31,327	+10,045	open	—	02-05 20:43
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	02-25 19:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$95	127	127	+0	Yes	+$1	03-02 22:05
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	247	$92	49,871	21,169	+28,702	open	—	04-27 15:28
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	4	$92	600	600	+0	open	—	01-05 06:50
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$89	50	50	+0	open	—	01-13 19:45
will mrbeasts celebrity challenge video get between 31 and 32 million views on day 1 265	6	$70	340	1,092	-752	open	—	01-08 17:43
acn nga moz 2026 01 05 nga	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	01-05 20:41
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	8	$62	150	150	+0	open	—	01-12 06:44
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	05-30 17:59
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$30	34	0	+34	open	—	02-25 06:35
will bitcoin reach 74k february 23 march 1	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	03-01 18:14
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	4	$25	400	400	+0	open	—	02-25 06:49
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$24	0	35	-35	open	—	01-13 19:45
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys	2	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	05-30 18:05
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$23	100	100	+0	open	—	01-08 16:53
cbb prov stjohn 2026 01 03	2	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	01-03 17:56
spx up or down on february 24 2026	4	$22	210	205	+5	open	—	02-24 19:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-27 18:17
cbb uk ala 2026 01 03	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	01-03 21:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 16:40:47	Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xe48455…
06-06 15:43:46	wta bartunk krueger 2026 06 06	Nikola Bartunkova	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x18ede2…
06-01 19:02:25	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x160ce1…
05-30 18:05:09	Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys	Madison Keys	SELL	16	82¢	$13	0xca2f12…
05-30 17:59:40	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xaf2406…
05-30 17:51:30	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xdc2b7b…
05-30 17:45:47	Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempo	Toronto Tempo	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x49f8ee…
05-30 17:45:33	Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys	Madison Keys	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xe172d8…
05-23 21:10:37	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x4113ef…
05-21 17:32:00	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Leylah Fernandez	Victoria Mboko	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x04fbb3…
05-21 17:31:44	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8da5ef…
05-14 17:44:24	Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x585203…
05-12 19:05:22	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva	Coco Gauff	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7811f1…
04-29 16:03:36	Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar	Jannik Sinner	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x90c369…
04-28 16:50:08	Bruins vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xd327bc…
04-27 18:17:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7db352…
04-27 15:28:50	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	125	0¢	$0	0xd08426…
04-27 13:31:06	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x6e9a45…
04-27 12:21:44	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,220	0¢	$2	0xaa7375…
04-27 11:08:48	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,572	0¢	$4	0x71756a…
04-27 10:47:10	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0xbd85e9…
04-27 10:46:20	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x65289f…
04-27 10:46:20	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x5b83b8…
04-27 10:39:34	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xbe437f…
04-27 10:39:32	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xcdf81b…
04-27 10:36:24	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	91	0¢	$0	0xbdf1ae…
04-27 10:34:50	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xbf542e…
04-27 10:34:50	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x31206c…
04-27 10:34:50	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	58	0¢	$0	0x2782de…
04-27 10:00:38	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x8afd97…
04-27 10:00:36	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	0¢	$0	0x8739fa…
04-27 09:59:22	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x20d4dd…
04-27 09:56:18	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,060	0¢	$2	0x6d4f8e…
04-27 09:55:50	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	93	0¢	$0	0x44e4c1…
04-27 09:54:24	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xe6158f…
04-27 09:53:16	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	104	0¢	$0	0xbbc1fc…
04-27 09:50:42	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x5350aa…
04-27 09:50:42	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	140	0¢	$0	0x2c3676…
04-27 09:43:10	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	97	0¢	$0	0xbcf874…
04-27 09:30:24	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	103	0¢	$0	0xdaa7dc…
04-27 09:29:38	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	97	0¢	$0	0x8fcb61…
04-27 09:29:30	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	94	0¢	$0	0x655e9f…
04-27 09:25:38	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	99	0¢	$0	0x9ed35d…
04-27 09:25:06	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	93	0¢	$0	0x204385…
04-27 09:24:28	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	96	0¢	$0	0xdd1c14…
04-27 09:23:16	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	95	0¢	$0	0x1304a4…
04-27 09:21:34	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	92	0¢	$0	0x390c5c…
04-27 08:46:38	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xbac159…
04-27 08:37:44	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4e06e1…
04-27 07:59:12	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x88af1c…
04-27 07:30:26	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,260	0¢	$3	0xba224e…
04-27 07:30:04	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	92	0¢	$0	0x5c0b3b…
04-27 07:29:48	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	94	0¢	$0	0xe93f11…
04-27 07:29:04	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	93	0¢	$0	0xefe7c7…
04-27 07:28:28	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	94	0¢	$0	0xa8716d…
04-27 07:28:14	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	95	0¢	$0	0x1c0f31…
04-27 07:27:58	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	93	0¢	$0	0x7adb16…
04-27 07:17:12	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	89	0¢	$0	0xd58eaf…
04-27 07:16:58	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	94	0¢	$0	0x81c2c6…
04-27 07:16:42	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	91	0¢	$0	0xa7c4bc…
04-27 07:16:28	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	92	0¢	$0	0x97650c…
04-27 07:16:16	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	92	0¢	$0	0xfc4d62…
04-27 07:16:00	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	91	0¢	$0	0x1373d9…
04-27 07:15:20	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	91	0¢	$0	0xe9743e…
04-27 07:15:04	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	93	0¢	$0	0x7cc267…
04-27 07:07:26	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x80ab95…
04-27 06:47:50	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x3664d3…
04-27 06:35:18	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xa3c3c3…
04-27 06:32:52	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xc94f79…
04-27 05:51:00	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x882489…
04-27 05:51:00	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x31701d…
04-27 05:50:54	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x8c4043…
04-27 05:50:24	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5,230	0¢	$10	0xcc5e51…
04-27 05:38:20	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x7a10ea…
04-27 04:24:38	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xad274b…
04-27 04:15:26	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x2dede0…
04-27 04:13:20	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	64	0¢	$0	0x7c415d…
04-27 04:04:46	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x088cab…
04-27 04:00:22	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	401	0¢	$1	0x246e43…
04-27 03:31:54	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x0ddaea…
04-27 03:22:52	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xcf713e…
04-27 03:05:36	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	111	0¢	$0	0xc36d19…
04-27 03:05:16	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	76	0¢	$0	0x2e1ecc…
04-27 03:04:26	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	73	0¢	$0	0x9203c8…
04-27 03:01:16	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	88	0¢	$0	0x3a2dd5…
04-27 03:00:10	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	85	0¢	$0	0xf42a70…
04-27 02:58:54	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	77	0¢	$0	0x257c29…
04-27 02:58:02	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x2c5d1a…
04-27 02:53:40	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	78	0¢	$0	0xd26293…
04-27 02:23:48	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	74	0¢	$0	0x7bd050…
04-27 02:22:00	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	77	0¢	$0	0xa70a60…
04-27 02:21:14	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	79	0¢	$0	0x1d477e…
04-27 02:19:36	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	82	0¢	$0	0x9545b5…
04-27 02:19:28	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	535	0¢	$1	0x06229a…
04-27 02:11:24	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	56	0¢	$0	0x934ffd…
04-27 02:11:18	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0x880b1b…
04-27 02:08:02	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x517d63…
04-27 02:06:04	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0x2e9119…
04-27 01:57:42	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	185	0¢	$0	0x8ef45d…
04-27 01:56:26	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	93	0¢	$0	0xd712f3…