Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.48K

Unrealized P&L

-$28

Hit rate

26.4%

Resolved

267

Trades

3,720

lifetime

Volume

$74.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$1.15K

8 positions

First seen

2026-06-08

last 10-24 21:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

74% 23% -$1,734

Politics

25% 29% -$730

Tech

1% 0% -$19

Sports

0% 50% -$2

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 483 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	+546	$272	80¢	$434	+$162	09-22 13:18
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?	Yes	+405	$194	64¢	$261	+$67	09-21 13:06
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?	No	+405	$219	36¢	$144	-$75	09-21 13:06
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	+546	$288	20¢	$112	-$176	09-22 12:47
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	+118	$100	75¢	$88	-$12	09-23 06:50
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	+85	$37	98¢	$83	+$45	09-23 18:56
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?	No	+118	$22	25¢	$30	+$7	09-28 00:04
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+85	$48	2¢	$2	-$46	09-23 19:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	85	$3.8K	4,056	4,056	+0	open	—	07-26 00:18
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	31	$3.2K	3,410	3,410	+0	open	—	10-24 21:18
us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	31	$2.8K	2,946	2,946	+0	Yes	+$4	08-18 03:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	34	$1.9K	2,740	1,105	+1,635	Yes	-$233	09-22 17:52
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	30	$1.6K	1,712	1,712	+0	Yes	-$58	07-22 14:21
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	57	$1.6K	2,727	2,727	+0	open	—	08-17 19:08
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	29	$1.3K	1,796	703	+1,093	open	—	09-22 13:18
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	28	$1.2K	1,330	1,330	+0	Yes	+$3	07-31 21:01
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	7	$1.2K	1,393	1,393	+0	open	—	08-20 06:34
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	24	$1.2K	1,309	1,309	+0	open	—	08-21 17:22
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	49	$1.1K	4,521	4,521	+0	Yes	+$16	07-20 21:52
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	17	$1.0K	857	579	+278	Yes	-$99	08-02 03:11
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	26	$1.0K	1,696	237	+1,458	No	-$13	09-25 06:49
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	11	$969	1,210	1,210	+0	open	—	08-16 15:57
Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?	23	$919	1,680	104	+1,577	open	—	09-23 06:24
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	24	$698	796	796	+0	Yes	-$5	07-25 11:52
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	5	$694	2,988	2,988	+0	open	—	10-24 21:17
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 13?	55	$682	1,214	252	+961	Yes	-$22	09-13 00:00
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 1?	18	$681	529	529	+0	No	+$103	09-01 06:26
will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the us in 2026	16	$662	646	646	+0	Yes	+$30	08-12 23:03
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	8	$600	571	571	+0	open	—	08-20 20:03
Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?	14	$594	595	595	+0	No	-$6	07-26 09:35
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	5	$573	1,102	50	+1,052	Yes	-$37	09-23 13:40
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 30?	23	$533	576	576	+0	Yes	-$67	08-30 18:53
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 5?	18	$509	847	124	+723	Yes	-$12	09-04 22:08
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22?	73	$506	804	187	+616	Yes	-$10	09-21 05:32
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?	7	$499	512	512	-0	No	-$145	07-24 20:03
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	11	$499	555	555	+0	open	—	07-20 06:43
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	4	$488	617	617	+0	open	—	09-06 15:33
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	5	$469	505	505	+0	open	—	06-13 07:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 21:18:05	US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?	Yes	SELL	255	6¢	$14	0x26348d…
10-24 21:18:03	Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?	No	SELL	1,364	1¢	$9	0xf59b50…
10-24 21:18:00	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,423	13¢	$181	0xa63978…
10-24 21:18:00	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	357	12¢	$44	0x8f6294…
10-24 21:17:59	Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2,988	14¢	$420	0xf6b77e…
09-28 06:09:42	Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	769	9¢	$70	0xcc25e9…
09-28 00:04:09	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?	No	SELL	62	19¢	$12	0xd099d5…
09-27 23:52:02	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x7ac05d…
09-26 19:19:38	Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,389	7¢	$100	0x5b307a…
09-26 06:04:14	Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x1651b9…
09-26 04:45:53	Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	SELL	263	13¢	$34	0x8b4d8d…
09-25 23:48:30	Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x873a8a…
09-25 17:12:05	Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	SELL	42	13¢	$5	0x6e75b2…
09-25 16:33:38	Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	SELL	61	13¢	$8	0x31c6e0…
09-25 16:33:20	Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x248aab…
09-25 16:32:09	Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	SELL	200	13¢	$26	0x5b98bc…
09-25 16:32:00	Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xfb63c6…
09-25 16:32:00	Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	SELL	59	13¢	$8	0xf0d5fd…
09-25 16:32:00	Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x474e4d…
09-25 16:32:00	Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x15b8af…
09-25 16:32:00	Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	SELL	22	13¢	$3	0x07f0e8…
09-25 16:31:59	Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	SELL	41	13¢	$5	0x71a981…
09-25 06:49:30	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	34	60¢	$20	0x9e0f35…
09-25 06:31:39	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0xc42247…
09-23 19:27:37	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xd2053e…
09-23 18:56:11	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	85	44¢	$37	0xea561d…
09-23 18:39:37	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0xde8599…
09-23 18:32:07	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x5e7f76…
09-23 18:28:23	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	18	57¢	$10	0xb28ade…
09-23 18:25:25	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	85	57¢	$48	0xefcc3b…
09-23 17:51:28	us canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by october 31	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xdedc14…
09-23 17:51:23	us canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by october 31	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x78fdd3…
09-23 17:04:26	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% before 2027?	No	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xf2b5b3…
09-23 15:50:38	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	66	59¢	$39	0x0a786c…
09-23 15:50:35	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	66	59¢	$39	0x7b0c4b…
09-23 13:40:49	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	No	BUY	282	65¢	$182	0xdb4f97…
09-23 13:09:53	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x609805…
09-23 13:09:04	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	282	36¢	$100	0x1dd38a…
09-23 11:09:01	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xe57430…
09-23 11:04:29	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	16	41¢	$7	0xce47a0…
09-23 11:04:25	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	16	41¢	$7	0xb6afed…
09-23 10:19:47	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x082d16…
09-23 10:16:40	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x476910…
09-23 10:09:22	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x64d289…
09-23 10:07:44	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x555bb1…
09-23 10:07:38	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	166	60¢	$100	0x7f5c9c…
09-23 09:50:50	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	No	BUY	270	64¢	$174	0x6b9a49…
09-23 09:35:01	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	86	38¢	$33	0x8902f7…
09-23 09:20:05	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xdbf1c8…
09-23 09:04:49	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	85	62¢	$53	0x76dff7…
09-23 08:54:50	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	No	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x845f4d…
09-23 08:18:26	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	69	64¢	$44	0xc8ff6e…
09-23 08:16:11	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0xe238fb…
09-23 07:47:14	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	69	37¢	$25	0x21a2ef…
09-23 07:47:14	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	159	63¢	$100	0x21a2ef…
09-23 07:43:29	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x2dd39a…
09-23 06:50:37	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	BUY	32	85¢	$27	0x79928e…
09-23 06:50:35	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	BUY	86	85¢	$73	0xee06c3…
09-23 06:24:19	Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	SELL	25	57¢	$14	0x36db88…
09-23 06:24:16	Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0xdbbfa2…
09-23 05:12:43	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x33e0cb…
09-23 04:45:52	Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	No	BUY	56	61¢	$34	0x6836fc…
09-23 04:41:52	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	155	64¢	$100	0xdc1938…
09-23 04:14:46	Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	Yes	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0xb2890c…
09-22 20:43:53	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	273	37¢	$100	0x075950…
09-22 19:56:51	Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0xe46d22…
09-22 19:56:46	Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x0fe0f8…
09-22 19:11:54	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	146	69¢	$100	0xd26d31…
09-22 18:18:58	Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	SELL	29	59¢	$17	0xbb571f…
09-22 18:18:57	Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x967133…
09-22 18:18:55	Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x53c963…
09-22 17:52:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	120	41¢	$49	0xb7a796…
09-22 17:52:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x59e1b2…
09-22 17:52:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	55	74¢	$41	0x4c6510…
09-22 17:52:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x26cc34…
09-22 17:42:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	74¢	$22	0xbeeb09…
09-22 17:41:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x6a368b…
09-22 14:51:34	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	143	31¢	$44	0x5c531e…
09-22 14:20:55	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xc65442…
09-22 13:18:40	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	51¢	$34	0xd91adb…
09-22 12:47:37	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	105	51¢	$53	0x397a65…
09-22 12:32:40	Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	No	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xd56e56…
09-22 12:20:04	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	50¢	$33	0xe6a9df…
09-22 12:16:43	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x84e9bd…
09-22 12:16:36	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	192	50¢	$96	0xb4b0e7…
09-22 11:46:22	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	49¢	$8	0x9949c8…
09-22 11:46:12	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x7b4e65…
09-22 11:46:10	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	SELL	155	52¢	$81	0x30527c…
09-22 11:46:07	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	126	52¢	$66	0x8cc113…
09-22 11:46:07	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	66	52¢	$34	0x5ccc1b…
09-22 11:11:25	Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	68	34¢	$23	0xb1f0c7…
09-22 11:11:18	Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	Yes	BUY	68	34¢	$23	0x42ae34…
09-22 11:10:49	US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x7ed3a6…
09-22 10:47:31	US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	13¢	$4	0x12fcb3…
09-22 10:46:25	US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?	Yes	SELL	472	13¢	$61	0x5ec1e8…
09-22 10:03:15	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	192	22¢	$43	0x0d58e2…
09-22 09:39:39	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	51¢	$21	0x703d90…
09-22 09:39:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	51¢	$21	0x3f3dae…
09-22 09:25:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x6fa5b5…
09-22 07:30:25	Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0x4aaa4e…