Guilty-Fatigue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.2%

Resolved

Trades

5,034

lifetime

Volume

$134.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 07-11 17:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 71% $-25

Sports

3% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba mia sac 2026 01 20	3	$1.6K	916	916	+0	open	—	01-21 05:15
nba min uta 2026 01 20	59	$441	318	202	+116	open	—	01-21 03:21
btc updown 15m 1769539500	3	$247	137	136	+1	open	—	01-27 18:55
nhl nyr lak 2026 01 20	2	$216	120	120	+0	open	—	01-21 05:44
nhl nj edm 2026 01 20	2	$216	120	120	+0	open	—	01-21 05:48
nhl min mon 2026 01 20	2	$213	116	116	+0	open	—	01-21 02:43
nhl buf nsh 2026 01 20	2	$212	114	114	+0	open	—	01-21 03:40
nhl stl wpg 2026 01 20	2	$209	113	113	+0	open	—	01-21 03:36
nba phx phi 2026 01 20	4	$208	111	111	+0	open	—	01-21 02:24
btc updown 15m 1769769000	4	$206	220	59	+161	open	—	01-30 10:44
nba tor gsw 2026 01 20	2	$203	105	105	+0	open	—	01-21 05:25
nba lac chi 2026 01 20	2	$200	105	105	+0	open	—	01-21 02:47
btc updown 15m 1769804100	3	$165	130	71	+58	open	—	01-30 20:29
btc updown 15m 1771779600	3	$163	126	68	+58	open	—	02-22 17:14
btc updown 15m 1772041500	3	$162	127	65	+62	open	—	02-25 17:58
nba sas hou 2026 01 20	2	$152	120	120	+0	open	—	01-21 03:41
btc updown 15m 1769496300	2	$131	76	75	+1	open	—	01-27 06:59
btc updown 15m 1769700600	3	$130	95	48	+47	open	—	01-29 15:40
btc updown 15m 1769519700	2	$128	73	72	+1	open	—	01-27 13:28
btc updown 15m 1769507100	2	$128	73	72	+1	open	—	01-27 09:56
btc updown 15m 1769495400	2	$128	73	72	+1	open	—	01-27 06:44
btc updown 15m 1769517900	2	$128	72	71	+1	open	—	01-27 12:59
btc updown 15m 1769619600	2	$128	72	71	+1	open	—	01-28 17:13
btc updown 15m 1769570100	2	$128	72	71	+1	open	—	01-28 03:29
btc updown 15m 1769522400	2	$128	72	71	+1	open	—	01-27 14:12
btc updown 15m 1769525100	2	$128	72	71	+1	open	—	01-27 15:00
btc updown 15m 1769503500	2	$128	72	71	+1	open	—	01-27 08:59
btc updown 15m 1769526000	2	$128	72	71	+1	open	—	01-27 15:11
btc updown 15m 1769543100	2	$128	72	71	+1	open	—	01-27 19:58
btc updown 15m 1769517000	2	$128	72	71	+1	open	—	01-27 12:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 17:20:40	btc updown 15m 1783790100	Up	SELL	14	43¢	$6	0xb49992…
07-11 17:20:04	btc updown 15m 1783790100	Up	BUY	14	75¢	$10	0x61279b…
07-11 10:58:59	btc updown 15m 1783766700	Up	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xca2b28…
07-11 10:50:37	btc updown 15m 1783766700	Up	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0x9bec21…
07-11 10:29:13	btc updown 15m 1783764900	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xbd326b…
07-11 10:20:23	btc updown 15m 1783764900	Down	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x038850…
07-11 08:50:04	btc updown 15m 1783759500	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x21bfd5…
07-11 06:28:53	btc updown 15m 1783750500	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x065f5b…
07-11 06:20:47	btc updown 15m 1783750500	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x523a14…
07-11 01:00:01	btc updown 15m 1783730700	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xff5ea0…
07-11 00:50:53	btc updown 15m 1783730700	Down	BUY	9	90¢	$9	0x288e46…
07-10 23:59:08	btc updown 15m 1783727100	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xa33db2…
07-10 23:50:13	btc updown 15m 1783727100	Down	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x1f3a61…
07-10 23:14:23	btc updown 15m 1783724400	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xa0d49d…
07-10 23:05:43	btc updown 15m 1783724400	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x433aa6…
07-10 20:40:58	btc updown 15m 1783715400	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x2a4c77…
07-10 20:35:11	btc updown 15m 1783715400	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x83b635…
07-10 20:21:40	btc updown 15m 1783714500	Down	SELL	13	54¢	$7	0x8beaf5…
07-10 20:20:52	btc updown 15m 1783714500	Down	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x10fd74…
07-10 20:12:08	btc updown 15m 1783713600	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x06bfde…
07-10 20:05:08	btc updown 15m 1783713600	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$11	0x63870e…
07-10 19:38:26	btc updown 15m 1783711800	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x302143…
07-10 19:35:13	btc updown 15m 1783711800	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xd7f77b…
07-10 18:10:25	btc updown 15m 1783706400	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1545f5…
07-10 18:05:28	btc updown 15m 1783706400	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x9bd580…
07-10 09:25:14	btc updown 15m 1783674900	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x68ca68…
07-10 09:20:17	btc updown 15m 1783674900	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x58e13b…
07-10 08:22:11	btc updown 15m 1783671300	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x9036b6…
07-10 08:21:19	btc updown 15m 1783671300	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xfb2740…
07-10 05:41:19	btc updown 15m 1783661400	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x747457…
07-10 05:35:05	btc updown 15m 1783661400	Up	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x9f8a23…
07-10 01:52:05	btc updown 15m 1783647900	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$8	0x209665…
07-10 01:50:28	btc updown 15m 1783647900	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x4cfe34…
07-10 01:25:32	btc updown 15m 1783646100	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xd7a2b9…
07-10 01:20:37	btc updown 15m 1783646100	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x805d26…
07-10 01:12:37	btc updown 15m 1783645200	Down	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0x629523…
07-10 01:05:20	btc updown 15m 1783645200	Down	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x2c4200…
07-09 22:27:40	btc updown 15m 1783635300	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x4764bc…
07-09 22:20:53	btc updown 15m 1783635300	Up	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0xc06879…
07-09 21:13:22	btc updown 15m 1783630800	Up	SELL	13	18¢	$2	0x40a579…
07-09 21:05:40	btc updown 15m 1783630800	Up	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0x9c0905…
07-09 19:58:19	btc updown 15m 1783626300	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0x748fe1…
07-09 19:50:25	btc updown 15m 1783626300	Down	BUY	12	88¢	$10	0xf22a71…
07-09 17:26:19	btc updown 15m 1783617300	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x759832…
07-09 17:21:10	btc updown 15m 1783617300	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$10	0xf22411…
07-09 14:20:13	btc updown 15m 1783606500	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xdb456b…
07-09 13:27:58	btc updown 15m 1783602900	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xafd24b…
07-09 13:20:40	btc updown 15m 1783602900	Down	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x68f832…
07-09 13:09:19	btc updown 15m 1783602000	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xcb4468…
07-09 13:05:22	btc updown 15m 1783602000	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xcd725b…
07-09 11:24:52	btc updown 15m 1783595700	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x21261b…
07-09 11:20:37	btc updown 15m 1783595700	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0x76b0f4…
07-09 10:52:53	btc updown 15m 1783593900	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x6f0f2a…
07-09 10:50:08	btc updown 15m 1783593900	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x40454d…
07-09 08:52:43	btc updown 15m 1783586700	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x176945…
07-09 08:50:14	btc updown 15m 1783586700	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x233684…
07-09 04:39:08	btc updown 15m 1783571400	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd76e19…
07-09 04:35:04	btc updown 15m 1783571400	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x92d4a6…
07-09 03:40:53	btc updown 15m 1783567800	Up	SELL	14	42¢	$6	0x2b5b0b…
07-09 03:35:19	btc updown 15m 1783567800	Up	BUY	14	88¢	$13	0xd8fd4e…
07-09 01:40:35	btc updown 15m 1783560600	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf4fde8…
07-09 01:36:08	btc updown 15m 1783560600	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x18facd…
07-09 00:39:32	btc updown 15m 1783557000	Up	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0x64f3f1…
07-09 00:37:10	btc updown 15m 1783557000	Up	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0xf7a792…
07-08 23:44:40	btc updown 15m 1783553400	Down	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0x246a83…
07-08 23:36:32	btc updown 15m 1783553400	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x08c3f1…
07-08 23:26:08	btc updown 15m 1783552500	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xf0356d…
07-08 23:22:38	btc updown 15m 1783552500	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0x8803de…
07-08 23:07:02	btc updown 15m 1783551600	Down	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0xe7c29e…
07-08 23:05:17	btc updown 15m 1783551600	Down	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0xaa6d79…
07-08 22:14:55	btc updown 15m 1783548000	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x9a4cf7…
07-08 22:07:02	btc updown 15m 1783548000	Up	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xad1cfe…
07-08 20:29:04	btc updown 15m 1783541700	Down	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x433505…
07-08 20:24:16	btc updown 15m 1783541700	Down	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x8ccda6…
07-08 19:59:20	btc updown 15m 1783539900	Down	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0x2a4ae6…
07-08 19:53:13	btc updown 15m 1783539900	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x3e1c69…
07-08 18:58:14	btc updown 15m 1783536300	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x615506…
07-08 18:50:25	btc updown 15m 1783536300	Up	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x6da913…
07-08 18:41:32	btc updown 15m 1783535400	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x7e5ece…
07-08 18:35:25	btc updown 15m 1783535400	Down	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x84f6be…
07-08 18:11:31	btc updown 15m 1783533600	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbb94cf…
07-08 18:06:28	btc updown 15m 1783533600	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xea53a7…
07-08 14:53:58	btc updown 15m 1783521900	Down	SELL	12	47¢	$6	0x5c247a…
07-08 14:51:40	btc updown 15m 1783521900	Down	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x932c89…
07-08 14:29:34	btc updown 15m 1783520100	Down	SELL	17	41¢	$7	0xb6e085…
07-08 14:28:56	btc updown 15m 1783520100	Down	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0xa4063e…
07-08 13:55:10	btc updown 15m 1783518300	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x74ef46…
07-08 13:51:34	btc updown 15m 1783518300	Down	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0xdf9ddd…
07-08 13:40:43	btc updown 15m 1783517400	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x806d41…
07-08 13:36:49	btc updown 15m 1783517400	Up	BUY	17	84¢	$14	0xfdf9a4…
07-08 09:42:10	btc updown 15m 1783503000	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x949a7b…
07-08 09:36:59	btc updown 15m 1783503000	Up	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x973efc…
07-08 08:50:04	btc updown 15m 1783500300	Up	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x0d5828…
07-08 07:38:35	btc updown 15m 1783495800	Up	SELL	13	43¢	$6	0x98283a…
07-08 07:35:04	btc updown 15m 1783495800	Up	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0x27dadf…
07-08 07:11:17	btc updown 15m 1783494000	Down	SELL	13	53¢	$7	0x0296d5…
07-08 07:07:07	btc updown 15m 1783494000	Down	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x8075fe…
07-08 05:41:11	btc updown 15m 1783488600	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x4b95a7…
07-08 05:37:04	btc updown 15m 1783488600	Down	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x379acb…
07-08 03:53:47	btc updown 15m 1783482300	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x6414d4…