Occasional-Linguistics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.4%

Resolved

Trades

366

lifetime

Volume

$598

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 05-23 16:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

67% 0% $-5

Crypto

29% 7% $-7

Sports

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	6	$91	199	199	+0	open	—	03-14 00:48
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	6	$30	36	36	+0	open	—	04-11 13:16
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	8	$27	75	35	+40	open	—	04-23 21:31
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	8	$21	547	50	+497	open	—	04-19 12:48
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$15	12	12	+0	open	—	05-16 01:27
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	3	$13	29	29	+0	open	—	04-04 17:53
will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 871	2	$11	21	21	+0	open	—	03-10 22:57
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	6	$10	354	354	+0	open	—	04-05 12:53
btc updown 15m 1773357300	3	$10	19	19	+0	open	—	03-12 23:28
Will MrBeast say "Karl" during his next YouTube video?	4	$9	42	42	+0	open	—	05-16 18:49
btc updown 15m 1775334600	2	$9	9	8	+1	open	—	04-04 20:46
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	6	$8	249	249	+0	open	—	04-09 15:12
will mrbeast hit 472 million subscribers by march 31	3	$6	985	0	+985	open	—	03-15 00:42
will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1	2	$6	11	11	+0	open	—	03-12 21:58
will mrbeasts next video get between 65 and 68 million views on day 3	3	$6	43	0	+43	open	—	03-24 06:56
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	2	$6	40	40	+0	open	—	05-15 01:16
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	6	$6	155	155	+0	open	—	04-26 21:47
Will MrBeast say "Chandler" during his next YouTube video?	4	$5	17	17	+0	open	—	05-16 18:49
nba den sas 2026 03 12	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	03-13 03:23
will mrbeasts next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1 755	4	$5	646	0	+646	open	—	03-22 12:03
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 734	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-22 17:07
will mrbeast say feastable during his next video	4	$5	97	97	+0	open	—	04-18 16:49
ethereum up or down on february 8	1	$4	101	0	+101	open	—	02-08 14:07
Will MrBeast say "Influencer" during his next video?	3	$4	19	19	+0	open	—	05-02 16:05
will mrbeasts next video get between 62 and 65 million views on day 3	2	$4	28	28	+0	open	—	03-24 11:57
will mrbeasts next video get between 49 and 52 million views on day 2	3	$4	110	110	+0	open	—	04-20 03:18
will mrbeasts latest video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 5	5	$4	290	290	+0	open	—	04-09 15:15
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	4	$4	560	300	+260	open	—	05-14 15:13
will mrbeast hit 117 billion views by march 31 hzzm 934	2	$4	50	50	+0	open	—	03-22 13:54
will mrbeast hit 115 billion views by march 31	3	$4	300	300	+0	open	—	03-21 02:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 16:07:53	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0xc4bdd0…
05-23 04:27:41	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xed9ceb…
05-21 08:38:01	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x339033…
05-19 14:45:08	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x002746…
05-16 18:51:01	Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x8ce9c0…
05-16 18:50:58	Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xdeae1e…
05-16 18:49:41	Will MrBeast say "Chandler" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x4f8f3c…
05-16 18:49:30	Will MrBeast say "Karl" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x61d2e0…
05-16 16:25:20	Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x73cbd3…
05-16 16:09:12	Will MrBeast say "Chandler" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x8fbff8…
05-16 16:06:45	Will MrBeast say "Karl" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	SELL	37	6¢	$2	0x5e3174…
05-16 15:03:21	Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xf86bd2…
05-16 03:58:21	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Timberwolves	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xdc6fa9…
05-16 03:53:51	Spread: Spurs (-15.5)	Timberwolves	SELL	13	11¢	$1	0xd07b22…
05-16 03:52:08	Spread: Spurs (-15.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0x985189…
05-16 03:51:22	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa84adf…
05-16 02:24:33	Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0x0fa4af…
05-16 02:04:41	Will MrBeast say "Chandler" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xcac5a0…
05-16 02:04:08	Will MrBeast say "Chandler" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x94b2cc…
05-16 01:27:23	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x2cf9bc…
05-15 01:16:06	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x3aa4d8…
05-14 15:13:01	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	260	0¢	$1	0x3de41b…
05-14 15:01:49	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	0¢	$1	0xa1feb4…
05-14 05:48:06	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x6de09f…
05-14 03:50:16	Will MrBeast say "Karl" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x768150…
05-13 17:44:47	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x67dc05…
05-13 17:44:04	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x6751b3…
05-13 17:38:21	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x4bf84e…
05-13 14:44:50	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x08e5c1…
05-13 10:46:50	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0x457f89…
05-13 05:50:40	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	169	1¢	$1	0x041732…
05-13 05:12:38	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0xdffb69…
05-13 05:11:53	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x90ea8c…
05-13 04:38:24	Will MrBeast say "Karl" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	22	17¢	$4	0x4ad4d1…
05-13 00:22:03	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x600ec1…
05-13 00:19:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xef373a…
05-12 23:58:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	126	1¢	$1	0xdd6d86…
05-12 16:03:02	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x2d450f…
05-12 16:02:20	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	198	0¢	$1	0x4818e5…
05-12 13:45:14	Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xee998c…
05-11 11:52:50	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xa7beed…
05-09 15:43:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	103	1¢	$1	0x3022e7…
05-09 15:26:09	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xdd4c24…
05-09 15:23:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5f3f1e…
05-09 15:10:42	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x333e66…
05-07 22:53:33	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xc2fbe6…
05-07 22:52:02	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf1e0a3…
05-07 22:50:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x58b5c9…
05-07 11:42:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	88	1¢	$1	0x2e9e3d…
05-07 08:24:30	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xbd8a34…
05-07 08:22:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc098a7…
05-07 05:29:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3ab93c…
05-07 03:53:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x358893…
05-02 16:05:22	Will MrBeast say "Influencer" during his next video?	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0x8d7ffb…
05-02 12:30:26	Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x0ca040…
05-02 02:23:18	Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x7e374c…
05-01 17:36:46	Will Orlando Magic advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x4b775f…
05-01 17:35:32	Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x6b47dc…
05-01 16:08:24	Will MrBeast say "Influencer" during his next video?	Yes	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x229980…
05-01 16:08:04	Will MrBeast say "Influencer" during his next video?	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x6d5d1c…
05-01 13:34:12	Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xe5ad79…
05-01 13:23:24	Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 5+ times during his next video?	No	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x2b8a1d…
05-01 13:02:38	Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 5+ times during his next video?	No	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x63197e…
04-30 02:34:56	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x5d8a2a…
04-30 02:32:08	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x713b26…
04-30 02:16:18	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x833629…
04-28 19:51:20	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x67a947…
04-28 01:53:46	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	1¢	$1	0xea0ef9…
04-27 21:58:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0x9b957b…
04-27 16:18:48	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x6a6d03…
04-27 16:16:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0x5e7804…
04-26 21:47:10	Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	No	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0xe1a72c…
04-26 07:45:38	Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	No	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x694628…
04-25 19:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7a11bb…
04-25 18:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xf4b00d…
04-25 18:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x48e84b…
04-25 18:44:18	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xff427a…
04-25 10:54:48	Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	No	SELL	115	1¢	$1	0x1d065f…
04-24 17:53:22	btc updown 15m 1777052700	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x22165c…
04-24 17:52:28	btc updown 15m 1777052700	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6d8aff…
04-24 17:41:14	btc updown 15m 1777051800	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x056e30…
04-24 17:39:10	eth updown 15m 1777051800	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x888d31…
04-24 17:37:16	btc updown 15m 1777051800	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x790015…
04-24 15:32:04	Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	No	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x099ab9…
04-24 11:57:50	eth updown 15m 1777031100	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4b1e80…
04-24 11:56:16	btc updown 15m 1777031100	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xec86c0…
04-24 10:10:48	btc updown 15m 1777024800	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x893bea…
04-23 21:31:46	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	35	62¢	$22	0x852e3a…
04-23 05:11:08	Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6f688a…
04-22 10:23:48	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x5a339d…
04-22 10:20:40	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x167287…
04-22 04:26:56	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x78972d…
04-21 07:22:04	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x1c26c8…
04-21 04:03:50	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x229d35…
04-21 03:00:06	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x7e2f9e…
04-21 02:59:32	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0x606af5…
04-20 19:11:06	Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xf62a43…
04-20 03:18:10	will mrbeasts next video get between 49 and 52 million views on day 2	Yes	SELL	110	0¢	$0	0xb9ac72…
04-20 02:00:18	will mrbeasts next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 2	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x971b8f…
04-20 01:53:10	will mrbeasts next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 2	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x906542…