Occasional-Linguistics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$89

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.7%

Resolved

339

Trades

763

lifetime

Volume

$1.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 05-25 19:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Other

78% 9% -$28

Crypto

17% 14% -$38

Sports

4% 8% -$20

Politics

1% 25% -$3

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	6	$91	199	199	+0	Yes	+$71	03-14 00:48
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	4	$45	60	60	+0	No	+$35	05-09 08:49
Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	4	$36	58	38	+21	Yes	+$30	05-12 14:36
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	4	$36	40	40	+0	Yes	+$23	05-09 10:24
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	6	$30	36	36	+0	Yes	+$17	04-11 13:16
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	8	$27	75	35	+40	Yes	+$57	04-23 21:31
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	3	$25	20	20	+0	Yes	+$13	05-03 11:34
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	8	$21	547	50	+497	No	-$5	04-19 12:48
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?	5	$18	42	10	+32	Yes	+$22	05-11 00:44
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$15	12	12	+0	Yes	+$9	05-16 01:27
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	3	$13	29	29	+0	No	+$2	04-04 17:53
will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 871	2	$11	21	21	+0	No	+$8	03-10 22:57
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	6	$10	354	354	+0	No	-$10	04-05 12:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 23:15 UTC	3	$10	19	19	+0	Up	+$6	03-12 23:28
Will MrBeast say "Karl" during his next YouTube video?	4	$9	42	42	+0	No	-$5	05-16 18:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 20:30 UTC	2	$9	9	8	+1	Down	+$8	04-04 20:46
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	3	$9	85	0	+85	No	-$9	05-11 15:02
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	6	$8	249	249	+0	No	-$6	04-09 15:12
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$8	20	20	+0	Yes	+$2	05-25 06:34
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	10	$8	122	122	+0	No	-$7	05-03 12:33
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?	6	$7	208	208	+0	No	-$5	05-11 19:33
Will "The Roast of Kevin Hart" be the top US Netflix show this week?	3	$7	116	0	+116	No	-$7	05-12 11:16
will mrbeast hit 472 million subscribers by march 31	3	$6	985	0	+985	Yes	-$6	03-15 00:42
will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1	2	$6	11	11	+0	No	+$4	03-12 21:58
will mrbeasts next video get between 65 and 68 million views on day 3	3	$6	43	0	+43	No	-$6	03-24 06:56
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?	3	$6	290	0	+290	No	-$6	05-25 06:55
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	2	$6	40	40	+0	Yes	-$3	05-15 01:16
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	6	$6	155	155	+0	Yes	-$2	04-26 21:47
Will "Man on Fire" be the top US Netflix show this week?	6	$5	98	0	+98	No	-$5	05-12 02:33
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$5	810	0	+810	No	-$5	05-02 02:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 19:59:08	Will "Nemesis" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	142	1¢	$1	0x109694…
05-25 19:56:09	Will "The Roast of Kevin Hart" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	SELL	180	0¢	$1	0x7af903…
05-25 19:36:58	Will "GOAT" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x864bb0…
05-25 19:35:18	Will "The Roast of Kevin Hart" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x192ead…
05-25 14:42:26	Theo James announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	48	0¢	$0	0x303ef7…
05-25 13:15:31	Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x2b5cc4…
05-25 12:35:21	Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0x074a6a…
05-25 12:29:12	Will "GOAT" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x588847…
05-25 12:22:47	Will "The Crash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xa43927…
05-25 06:55:32	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?	Yes	BUY	140	1¢	$1	0xac9549…
05-25 06:35:32	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	No	BUY	145	1¢	$1	0xc1a2a0…
05-25 06:35:00	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?	Yes	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0x1a64f8…
05-25 06:34:11	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x0311f4…
05-25 06:19:38	Will "The Roast of Kevin Hart" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xbebf82…
05-25 06:18:35	Will "Nemesis" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0x4a6bc4…
05-24 17:10:35	Will "I Love Boosters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xaa0a41…
05-24 17:10:11	Will "I Love Boosters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xe3a77c…
05-24 16:07:33	Will "I Love Boosters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0xdecb37…
05-24 14:59:38	Will "I Love Boosters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xd441e4…
05-24 14:59:38	Will "I Love Boosters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x43b618…
05-24 14:58:31	Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x37c3fa…
05-24 14:57:46	Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	314	0¢	$1	0xc68146…
05-24 14:55:55	Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xa70a34…
05-24 14:53:44	Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 12.5m?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x794561…
05-24 00:33:09	Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 12.5m?	Yes	BUY	79	1¢	$1	0xa581cd…
05-23 16:37:37	Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xd2d672…
05-23 16:37:05	Will "The Crash" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xcae1cf…
05-23 16:37:05	Will "The Crash" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$0	0x73bc13…
05-23 16:16:49	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xde0e36…
05-23 16:16:26	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 122m?	Yes	BUY	515	0¢	$1	0xc7b1bd…
05-23 16:13:26	Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 12.5m?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x1463e0…
05-23 16:11:09	Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x4c84de…
05-23 16:07:53	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0xc4bdd0…
05-23 10:10:20	Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	43	4¢	$2	0x383143…
05-23 06:37:43	Will "I Love Boosters" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 6m?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x792e88…
05-23 04:40:15	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	Yes	BUY	45	3¢	$2	0xadde37…
05-23 04:38:43	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xc60c6b…
05-23 04:30:06	Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0xfee626…
05-23 04:27:41	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xed9ceb…
05-21 08:38:01	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x339033…
05-19 17:19:12	Will "Man on Fire" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x3c6986…
05-19 17:18:59	Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x3246ab…
05-19 17:18:24	Will "La Brea: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	215	0¢	$1	0x47a80e…
05-19 16:24:18	Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?	No	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x8e9314…
05-19 16:20:52	Will "Nemesis" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb0d552…
05-19 15:24:15	Will "Swapped" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0x3d5b7d…
05-19 14:48:54	Will "Man on Fire" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	361	0¢	$0	0x301cf0…
05-19 14:45:08	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x002746…
05-19 14:41:52	Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x8b76f4…
05-19 14:41:42	Will "Swapped" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xcd6497…
05-19 14:39:48	Will "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xea64db…
05-19 14:39:08	Will "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf94f3d…
05-19 14:36:25	Will "Funny AF with Kevin Hart" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x78aa72…
05-19 14:35:32	Will "Lord of the Flies" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x5f42fc…
05-19 14:35:01	Will "Funny AF with Kevin Hart" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	56	1¢	$0	0x9b3fc0…
05-19 14:34:03	Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x1da0a2…
05-19 14:33:42	Will "Devil May Cry: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	57	1¢	$1	0xe32044…
05-19 14:33:12	Will "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x73f7ea…
05-19 11:36:52	Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?	No	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x592d92…
05-19 11:36:13	Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	80	1¢	$1	0x75cba5…
05-18 16:16:11	Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x45cac4…
05-18 15:26:58	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xe697bd…
05-18 15:26:29	Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x23d785…
05-18 07:35:54	Will "Nemesis" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x70249f…
05-18 07:24:18	Will "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x88135b…
05-18 06:01:36	Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xc46688…
05-18 06:00:21	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x79879d…
05-18 05:58:52	Will "Nemesis" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x9bf66e…
05-18 05:57:45	Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	45	1¢	$1	0x6e387d…
05-18 05:57:10	Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0x54d85e…
05-18 05:55:22	Will "Devil May Cry: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x133003…
05-18 05:54:49	Will "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xc1313a…
05-18 04:52:36	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?	Yes	SELL	103	0¢	$0	0xcdda1f…
05-18 04:52:20	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?	No	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x8ce597…
05-18 04:51:49	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?	No	SELL	35	2¢	$1	0x1f479b…
05-18 03:45:03	Will "Lord of the Flies" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0xa6ae4a…
05-18 03:41:40	Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xb23a7d…
05-18 03:33:53	Will "Nemesis" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x7a7657…
05-18 03:27:56	Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xcd2a8e…
05-18 03:22:07	Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	Yes	SELL	37	0¢	$0	0xd8c3dc…
05-18 02:19:46	Will "Home" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x26a4be…
05-18 02:14:48	Will "Legends: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0xc12c94…
05-17 20:15:02	Will "Nemesis" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	58	1¢	$0	0x15501b…
05-17 19:25:41	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x155fce…
05-17 15:50:54	Will "Nemesis" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$0	0x88bcac…
05-17 15:41:25	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x9de3ee…
05-17 15:39:47	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf88c63…
05-17 15:36:12	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x7f7218…
05-17 15:34:31	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x31241c…
05-17 14:54:45	Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	Yes	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0x029ce0…
05-17 14:41:24	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	700	0¢	$1	0xaed4b5…
05-17 14:39:07	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?	No	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xd8226a…
05-17 13:58:40	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x6fe3c8…
05-17 12:47:44	Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xac9ef5…
05-17 12:47:44	Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x95bcbb…
05-17 11:31:24	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?	Yes	BUY	73	3¢	$2	0x56c1c7…
05-17 11:05:58	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x80ea7f…
05-17 10:27:14	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?	Yes	BUY	276	0¢	$1	0xd73633…
05-17 10:02:39	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x4d75d1…
05-17 09:57:42	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x56566c…