Realized P&L
+$2.53K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.97K
Hit rate
70.9%
Resolved
47
Trades
123
lifetime
Volume
$343.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2.79K
Open exposure
$99.6K
16 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 10-28 19:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 29 days
Categories
Other
53% 62% +$2,612
Politics
47% 80% -$81
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +52,379 $47,176 94¢ $49.5K +$2,322 10-28 19:37
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +8,007 $7,127 94¢ $7.5K +$360 10-28 19:38
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,058 $6,635 97¢ $6.8K +$201 09-22 22:23
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +7,212 $5,986 88¢ $6.3K +$325 09-08 00:04
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +5,773 $5,398 94¢ $5.4K +$43 10-26 20:52
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +5,720 $5,118 88¢ $5.1K -$56 10-26 21:26
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +3,800 $3,423 84¢ $3.2K -$212 10-26 21:23
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +3,000 $2,888 98¢ $2.9K +$50 10-13 19:29
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,000 $3,000 70¢ $2.8K -$220 09-20 23:32
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,773 $2,405 92¢ $2.5K +$133 10-26 21:15
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +5,000 $3,007 40¢ $2.0K -$984 10-01 16:48
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +2,040 $1,811 88¢ $1.8K -$26 10-26 21:18
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +1,947 $1,530 82¢ $1.6K +$77 10-21 00:40
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,150 $1,000 88¢ $1.0K +$17 10-26 21:06
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,100 $1,005 90¢ $984 -$21 10-26 20:53
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2,814 $92 2¢ $58 -$34 10-28 19:37