Sneaky-Spell — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$75

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.4%

Resolved

122

Trades

275

lifetime

Volume

$45.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$167

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-23 14:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Politics

36% 97% -$119

Other

26% 92% +$46

Crypto

24% 77% -$10

Sports

14% 100% +$7

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-23).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump out as president by march 31	22	$8.3K	4,635	3,896	+739	No	+$25	03-14 04:40
will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	4	$2.9K	1,444	1,444	+0	No	+$0	02-13 04:05
will bad bunny perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	4	$2.9K	1,433	1,433	+0	Yes	+$2	02-08 15:09
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	8	$2.8K	1,419	1,419	+0	No	+$1	01-13 06:46
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	12	$2.2K	1,462	730	+732	Yes	+$4	02-20 16:52
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	2	$1.4K	729	729	+0	No	+$2	02-19 12:55
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$1.4K	718	718	+0	Yes	+$1	02-09 14:32
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	6	$1.4K	730	730	+0	No	-$12	02-06 13:39
will bitcoin reach 115k in february 2026	2	$1.4K	714	714	+0	No	+$1	02-07 07:54
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	3	$1.4K	715	715	+0	Yes	+$1	02-07 13:56
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	4	$1.3K	656	656	+0	No	+$1	01-03 06:53
will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	7	$881	582	300	+282	Yes	+$1	01-04 13:38
will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	5	$865	433	433	+0	No	+$0	01-11 11:24
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	11	$864	433	433	+0	No	$0	01-09 15:56
will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	2	$861	432	432	+0	No	+$0	01-07 12:58
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	2	$855	432	432	+0	No	+$0	01-12 03:39
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	1	$726	727	0	+727	No	+$1	02-03 13:40
will grok 4pt20 be released on february 15 2026	1	$722	725	0	+725	No	+$3	02-16 02:17
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	1	$718	719	0	+719	Yes	+$1	02-09 14:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	5	$695	356	356	+0	No	+$4	05-23 20:43
Netanyahu out by April 30?	6	$660	335	335	+0	No	+$2	04-21 05:58
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	3	$448	238	210	+28	No	+$0	01-04 12:36
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$424	432	0	+432	No	+$8	01-22 14:57
Trump out as President by May 31?	2	$373	189	189	+0	No	+$2	05-02 08:30
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$371	186	186	+0	No	+$0	04-25 12:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$364	185	185	+0	No	+$1	05-06 07:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	5	$363	183	183	+0	No	+$1	04-19 14:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	2	$356	181	181	+0	No	+$0	04-13 12:42
Iran leadership change by March 13?	2	$342	172	170	+2	No	+$0	03-16 13:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	3	$335	170	170	+0	No	+$1	05-17 08:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 14:19:00	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x75567f…
07-18 05:03:03	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	192	1¢	$2	0xe4ab08…
07-14 04:14:22	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	192	98¢	$189	0x466982…
07-06 13:13:46	Will Enterprise Esports Win Emea Challengers Stage	Yes	BUY	180	95¢	$171	0x29f56f…
07-06 09:23:07	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9d0e22…
07-06 09:22:35	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x95fbca…
06-28 14:15:19	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x032bbf…
06-25 02:58:47	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xbc7b64…
06-25 02:58:23	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x98ecb1…
06-18 13:15:43	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xab9e00…
06-09 16:47:57	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 275M by June 5?	No	BUY	170	99¢	$168	0xcd86f2…
06-06 09:31:12	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 275M by June 5?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9841ff…
06-03 03:25:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$154	0xee6465…
06-01 03:18:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xac67d5…
05-23 20:43:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	161	99¢	$160	0x3a2b55…
05-22 17:42:15	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb99891…
05-22 11:22:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3f6ab1…
05-22 08:29:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	166	98¢	$163	0xf8ecc8…
05-21 04:46:00	Will Solana dip to $20 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe7338a…
05-21 04:44:45	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xaa9089…
05-21 04:44:17	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0c4c40…
05-17 08:26:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No	SELL	140	99¢	$138	0x525279…
05-17 08:00:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xdcafc1…
05-16 10:38:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No	BUY	170	98¢	$167	0xe4fecb…
05-15 09:21:33	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0x968d48…
05-14 09:18:23	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5e23f6…
05-14 08:44:12	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x369e31…
05-14 08:43:23	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0xbf2ad7…
05-11 04:59:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	190	97¢	$185	0x77d51f…
05-10 12:42:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	190	96¢	$183	0x93bb9a…
05-06 07:57:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	185	99¢	$182	0xd76074…
05-03 12:37:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	185	98¢	$181	0x87e396…
05-02 08:30:58	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	189	99¢	$187	0x3b25e3…
04-30 15:38:44	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	189	98¢	$185	0x464ca8…
04-25 12:32:18	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	186	100¢	$185	0xc4a96e…
04-23 16:29:02	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	186	100¢	$185	0x625081…
04-21 05:58:46	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0xe46f8e…
04-21 04:26:28	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	92	99¢	$92	0xe4bfb9…
04-21 03:46:28	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x9d6d58…
04-20 05:01:50	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	186	99¢	$184	0xe5cd61…
04-19 14:54:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	SELL	69	99¢	$69	0x63a4ab…
04-19 14:38:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xdbc339…
04-19 12:35:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0xa5e320…
04-18 23:20:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	109	99¢	$107	0xf6ff4e…
04-18 23:12:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0xdada71…
04-14 04:09:49	will trump say biden during dinner with dutch royals	No	SELL	86	100¢	$85	0xe99463…
04-14 04:02:07	will trump say friend or ally 7 times during dinner with dutch royals	No	SELL	78	100¢	$77	0xf17772…
04-14 04:01:21	will trump say biden during dinner with dutch royals	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6d0e5b…
04-14 01:52:27	will trump say biden during dinner with dutch royals	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x47247e…
04-14 01:37:45	will trump say friend or ally 7 times during dinner with dutch royals	No	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x254369…
04-13 12:42:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	SELL	181	98¢	$178	0x720f9d…
04-12 06:58:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	BUY	181	98¢	$178	0x4d786f…
04-11 06:35:35	will cookie be said during the next episode of the all in podcast	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x495b95…
04-11 06:08:09	will cookie be said during the next episode of the all in podcast	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0678b9…
04-11 04:47:07	will cookie be said during the next episode of the all in podcast	No	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0x6b31ab…
04-10 11:12:33	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xacd213…
04-09 05:58:41	will jd vance say biden 5 times during meetings with orbn	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x803c92…
04-09 05:58:23	will jd vance say crazy during meetings with orbn	No	SELL	68	100¢	$67	0x75f177…
04-09 05:29:09	will jd vance say rigged during meetings with orbn	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xa813c8…
04-09 03:40:27	will jd vance say biden 5 times during meetings with orbn	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x47851e…
04-09 03:39:45	will jd vance say rigged during meetings with orbn	No	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x59e023…
04-09 03:39:09	will jd vance say crazy during meetings with orbn	No	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0xbd6913…
04-09 03:37:47	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x968346…
04-08 17:50:41	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	149	98¢	$146	0x430eba…
04-08 06:37:15	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	149	98¢	$146	0xf87f8a…
04-08 04:27:57	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xdbee19…
04-07 22:36:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	153	97¢	$149	0x73d089…
04-07 04:53:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x44f6b8…
04-05 04:16:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	153	97¢	$149	0xe510e8…
03-28 19:51:18	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	95	96¢	$91	0x6344d7…
03-28 12:04:33	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa45d90…
03-28 12:03:15	will gas hit low 3pt00 by march 31	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xcdc347…
03-27 14:17:37	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	95	95¢	$90	0xb16257…
03-26 14:07:51	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0fc261…
03-26 14:07:17	Will EdgeX launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9740bd…
03-26 14:06:51	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeef26c…
03-26 14:05:51	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0x545b91…
03-26 14:05:03	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x940a15…
03-25 11:01:23	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	108	98¢	$106	0x13d4b3…
03-25 09:27:23	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xc3463d…
03-25 09:26:43	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x7c457d…
03-25 09:26:11	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0xb99dbf…
03-24 06:28:27	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x3d5d8e…
03-24 04:16:31	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x1f5148…
03-24 04:16:01	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x71f77f…
03-24 04:15:09	will silver si hit high 130 by end of march	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x882693…
03-24 04:14:45	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xf5b82b…
03-24 04:14:45	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc055bd…
03-24 04:14:25	will the us tariff rate on china be less than 5 on march 31	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x327162…
03-24 04:14:01	will gas hit low 3pt00 by march 31	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x200b0e…
03-24 04:13:35	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa979ca…
03-20 17:43:39	will emmanuel grgoire advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	BUY	155	99¢	$154	0xfbb7a3…
03-20 13:59:21	will sophia chikirou advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc25411…
03-20 13:59:07	will emmanuel grgoire advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x10fbae…
03-19 15:12:31	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	165	99¢	$164	0x295b52…
03-16 13:53:33	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	170	98¢	$167	0xab418d…
03-16 13:04:51	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0x349c60…
03-14 05:03:17	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0xefa0a0…
03-14 04:40:45	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	173	98¢	$170	0x0678a9…
03-13 16:26:35	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	173	98¢	$170	0x130ad9…