Rotating-Cello — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$292

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

Trades

236

lifetime

Volume

$8.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$300

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 08-29 07:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

94% 68% -$296

Politics

6% 62% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		-300	-$281	98¢	$-294	-$13	05-09 01:24
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		-300	-$19	2¢	$-6	+$13	05-09 01:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	3	$598	350	350	+0	No	+$32	05-23 14:50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?	5	$422	400	400	+0	No	-$242	06-18 03:33
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	03-29 12:49
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$300	0	600	-600	open	—	05-09 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 4?	9	$299	161	161	-0	No	+$0	08-04 05:02
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 2?	2	$287	150	150	+0	No	+$12	08-02 16:00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 30?	6	$286	150	150	+0	No	+$13	07-30 05:55
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	3	$282	200	200	+0	Yes	+$2	06-13 01:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$279	300	300	+0	No	+$3	06-13 14:23
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 1?	7	$271	159	159	+0	Yes	-$31	07-31 11:15
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 1?	5	$262	138	138	+0	No	+$14	08-01 04:47
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 28?	2	$252	130	130	+0	No	+$8	07-28 14:38
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 25?	3	$231	120	120	+0	No	+$8	06-25 05:45
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on July 22?	4	$214	110	110	+0	No	+$5	07-22 03:38
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 26?	5	$210	137	137	+0	No	-$32	06-26 06:22
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 21?	6	$198	105	105	+0	No	+$12	06-21 10:15
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on July 16?	2	$193	100	100	+0	No	+$7	07-16 12:49
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 21?	2	$190	97	97	+0	No	+$4	06-21 04:05
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 6?	7	$179	120	120	+0	No	-$49	08-06 05:46
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 20?	7	$179	110	110	+0	No	-$1	06-20 05:32
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	2	$177	140	140	+0	No	$0	06-27 15:28
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 7?	3	$170	98	98	+0	No	-$3	07-07 05:51
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?	11	$168	108	108	+0	No	-$16	06-28 00:04
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 10?	2	$165	84	84	+0	No	+$3	08-10 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 10?	6	$157	91	91	+0	Yes	+$0	08-10 03:26
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on August 13?	6	$155	83	83	+0	No	-$3	08-12 22:56
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 25?	2	$154	80	80	+0	No	+$6	07-25 06:28
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 15?	2	$154	89	89	+0	No	+$24	08-15 05:30
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 7?	6	$152	81	81	+0	No	+$9	08-07 05:52
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 15?	9	$147	88	88	+0	No	-$14	08-15 03:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-29 07:24:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 29?	No	BUY	34	88¢	$29	0xdca7df…
08-29 05:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 29?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x393875…
08-29 05:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 29?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x8b5ffc…
08-29 05:46:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 29?	No	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0x7f4c86…
08-26 08:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 26?	No	SELL	55	8¢	$5	0x3baf9f…
08-26 03:56:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xb49434…
08-26 03:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xd9174c…
08-26 02:50:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 26?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x340ecb…
08-26 02:45:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 26?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x00b90d…
08-26 02:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 26?	No	BUY	4	87¢	$4	0x65c4ad…
08-26 02:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 26?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x01a7ca…
08-26 02:41:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x78c1d1…
08-26 02:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 26?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x489752…
08-26 01:02:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 26?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc0a8b6…
08-26 00:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 26?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x050359…
08-22 03:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	90	91¢	$82	0xfe17f7…
08-22 03:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0xed5b95…
08-22 03:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$2	0x8ce8cb…
08-20 22:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 21?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xe3d39b…
08-16 08:04:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 16?	No	BUY	66	96¢	$64	0xf16024…
08-15 05:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 15?	No	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0x3d09e5…
08-15 03:08:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 15?	No	BUY	89	73¢	$65	0xbd0034…
08-15 03:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 15?	No	SELL	88	75¢	$66	0xac918e…
08-15 01:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 15?	No	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0xb36ce0…
08-15 00:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 15?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x52e93d…
08-15 00:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 15?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x4a562f…
08-15 00:31:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 15?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xd47ee3…
08-15 00:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 15?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x9216b0…
08-15 00:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 15?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x8ca708…
08-15 00:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 15?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x396adb…
08-15 00:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 15?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x9d59ff…
08-12 22:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on August 13?	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0xd52f18…
08-12 22:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on August 13?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x5bdf2c…
08-12 22:54:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on August 13?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x8ba073…
08-12 22:51:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on August 13?	No	SELL	41	92¢	$38	0x868d4b…
08-12 06:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	80	95¢	$76	0x4857bc…
08-12 04:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x6291c9…
08-10 05:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 10?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0xc6fda5…
08-10 03:57:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 10?	No	BUY	84	97¢	$81	0x746df0…
08-10 03:26:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 10?	No	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x17b477…
08-10 03:25:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 10?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xc90bd2…
08-10 02:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 10?	No	SELL	84	87¢	$73	0xee53cd…
08-09 11:41:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 10?	No	BUY	26	86¢	$23	0x8d8aa2…
08-09 11:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 10?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0xb368db…
08-09 05:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 10?	No	BUY	62	86¢	$53	0xaf05f9…
08-08 04:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 8?	No	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x5fb94b…
08-07 05:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 7?	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0xba4f5d…
08-06 09:59:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 7?	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x542a71…
08-06 09:22:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 7?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xa550fb…
08-06 08:51:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 7?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xcd7e73…
08-06 08:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 7?	No	BUY	43	89¢	$38	0x0dd346…
08-06 08:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 6?	No	SELL	70	30¢	$21	0x8c4cab…
08-06 07:44:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 7?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x0888d7…
08-06 06:49:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C on August 6?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x92d3cd…
08-06 06:02:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 6?	No	BUY	70	92¢	$64	0x0bcfd2…
08-06 05:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 6?	No	SELL	79	48¢	$38	0x234a36…
08-06 05:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 6?	No	SELL	28	67¢	$19	0x73e908…
08-06 05:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 6?	No	SELL	13	67¢	$8	0x2b79cf…
08-05 18:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 6?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xb4a335…
08-05 16:47:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 6?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x349bae…
08-05 16:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 6?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$15	0x4fbbbc…
08-05 16:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 6?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xba2460…
08-05 08:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C on August 6?	No	BUY	45	87¢	$39	0x1a998a…
08-04 09:57:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 4?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x584e62…
08-04 08:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 4?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$3	0x5296bd…
08-04 08:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 4?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3f9692…
08-04 08:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 4?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x37eac2…
08-04 06:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 4?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x9e7fe0…
08-04 06:24:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 4?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x47831a…
08-04 06:12:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 4?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x950388…
08-04 05:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 4?	No	SELL	156	93¢	$145	0x48201e…
08-04 04:56:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 4?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x554d44…
08-04 01:44:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0xb2d2de…
08-04 01:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x707f0c…
08-04 01:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x7df783…
08-04 01:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x8e7af5…
08-04 01:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x6e7a14…
08-04 01:22:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	44	94¢	$41	0x9ac534…
08-04 00:59:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xad901b…
08-02 17:05:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 3?	No	BUY	150	95¢	$142	0x034c3c…
08-02 16:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 2?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x14765d…
08-01 10:03:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 2?	No	BUY	150	92¢	$138	0xd9ed43…
08-01 04:47:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 1?	No	SELL	138	100¢	$138	0xf18d2f…
07-31 23:43:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	26	90¢	$23	0xd5ec8c…
07-31 23:36:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xe20bd3…
07-31 23:36:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x82ed31…
07-31 23:36:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0x1b9944…
07-31 11:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 1?	No	SELL	146	75¢	$110	0x5a145f…
07-31 10:22:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 1?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xb39e82…
07-31 09:30:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 1?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x90c65a…
07-31 09:22:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 1?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x407f51…
07-31 09:20:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 1?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x3c5681…
07-30 07:53:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 1?	No	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0xf2b134…
07-30 07:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 1?	No	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x811c26…
07-30 05:55:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 30?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x9af816…
07-30 00:12:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 30?	No	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0x0e609c…
07-30 00:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 30?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x4f73fe…
07-30 00:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 30?	No	BUY	60	91¢	$55	0xcf3932…
07-29 15:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 30?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xb8e8d6…
07-29 14:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 30?	No	BUY	54	91¢	$49	0xcddfad…