Bruised-Scarecrow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$173

Unrealized P&L

+$30

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

241

lifetime

Volume

$84.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$350

Open exposure

$144

1 position

First seen

2026-04-10

last 07-01 21:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

57% 100% +$27

Other

23% 100% +$145

Crypto

11% — —

Sports

8% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+144	$114	100¢	$144	+$30	06-18 09:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	13	$9.1K	7,053	7,053	+0	open	—	06-02 22:27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	16	$7.7K	4,301	4,301	+0	open	—	04-30 00:27
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	35	$7.4K	4,338	4,338	+0	open	—	05-12 18:02
nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	13	$6.9K	3,619	3,619	+0	open	—	06-08 23:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$6.4K	3,528	3,528	+0	open	—	04-25 17:40
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	5	$5.2K	2,965	2,965	+0	open	—	04-22 23:14
Will Marco Rubio attend Trump’s Xi summit?	5	$5.2K	2,647	2,647	+0	Yes	+$71	05-14 02:25
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$4.5K	2,658	2,658	+0	open	—	04-13 15:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	3	$3.9K	2,040	2,040	+0	open	—	06-01 02:07
Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	11	$3.3K	1,686	1,686	+0	Yes	+$75	05-14 02:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	3	$3.2K	1,672	1,672	+0	open	—	05-23 04:01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$2.4K	1,366	1,366	+0	open	—	06-01 04:11
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	3	$2.4K	1,374	1,374	+0	open	—	05-25 17:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	3	$2.3K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	05-27 03:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	7	$2.0K	2,270	0	+2,270	open	—	04-17 16:53
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	11	$1.4K	2,632	1,000	+1,632	open	—	05-28 14:35
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	15	$1.4K	2,278	100	+2,178	open	—	06-01 00:03
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$1.3K	2,041	0	+2,041	open	—	05-14 17:22
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	5	$1.3K	1,286	0	+1,286	open	—	04-29 18:12
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	11	$1.0K	2,003	2,003	+0	open	—	04-30 00:17
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	5	$1.0K	678	678	+0	open	—	06-10 01:23
another gta vi trailer released by june 26	11	$1.0K	704	704	+0	open	—	06-26 20:33
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	7	$930	535	535	+0	open	—	06-20 02:08
Will Melania Trump attend Trump’s Xi summit?	2	$501	255	255	+0	open	—	05-13 02:37
Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	17	$373	798	0	+798	open	—	05-16 11:01
will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in june 2026	3	$360	395	0	+395	open	—	06-14 08:59
will trump meet with elon musk in june 2026	3	$352	493	0	+493	open	—	06-14 15:22
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$244	407	0	+407	open	—	05-14 20:57
will taylor swift have a 1 hit in the us in june	3	$209	4,246	531	+3,715	open	—	06-04 11:02
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 corners total 6pt5	1	$200	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	07-01 21:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 21:46:43	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	2,000	10¢	$200	0x1b6397…
06-26 20:33:26	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	No	SELL	499	100¢	$498	0x2e2b77…
06-26 20:28:13	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7f3f11…
06-26 19:30:34	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x3d23d0…
06-26 17:57:11	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x59aeff…
06-24 21:51:34	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	No	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0xb63706…
06-24 21:50:38	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	No	SELL	18	59¢	$10	0x1f9996…
06-24 21:50:29	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	No	SELL	40	58¢	$23	0x57942d…
06-24 21:48:16	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	No	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0xc807bf…
06-24 21:47:05	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	No	SELL	30	58¢	$17	0x8dde3a…
06-24 21:45:47	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	No	SELL	58	58¢	$34	0x509a65…
06-24 21:43:56	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	No	BUY	704	54¢	$380	0xc2e782…
06-20 02:08:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	No	SELL	535	100¢	$534	0x185975…
06-18 09:41:28	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	80¢	$35	0x4db393…
06-18 09:22:14	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x06240f…
06-16 17:12:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	No	BUY	315	76¢	$239	0xbc03cb…
06-16 17:02:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x314903…
06-16 16:43:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	No	BUY	104	76¢	$79	0x1f6d22…
06-16 14:20:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	No	BUY	77	67¢	$52	0xde524c…
06-16 14:17:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	No	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0xb561ba…
06-16 13:48:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	No	BUY	32	67¢	$21	0xc233e3…
06-14 15:22:10	will trump meet with elon musk in june 2026	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xa9cb43…
06-14 15:21:45	will trump meet with elon musk in june 2026	Yes	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xe6a641…
06-14 15:21:15	will trump meet with elon musk in june 2026	Yes	BUY	479	71¢	$342	0x00b81b…
06-14 08:59:37	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in june 2026	Yes	BUY	378	91¢	$345	0xd995fa…
06-14 05:32:49	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in june 2026	Yes	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xaa6753…
06-14 05:30:34	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in june 2026	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xa1456a…
06-10 01:23:25	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	SELL	48	76¢	$36	0x8ab000…
06-10 01:20:25	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0xd54d31…
06-10 00:32:00	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xcbe5b4…
06-10 00:15:54	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	SELL	615	76¢	$467	0x43b2ef…
06-09 22:45:57	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	678	74¢	$502	0x1e5cc1…
06-08 23:47:36	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	3,619	100¢	$3,615	0x8dc8f5…
06-08 16:40:24	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x4b05b2…
06-08 10:50:25	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	1,662	92¢	$1,524	0x0443a6…
06-08 10:35:49	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7c15b9…
06-08 10:32:31	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x8c323d…
06-08 10:28:49	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x27f438…
06-08 10:27:25	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xc0569f…
06-08 10:23:01	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	403	92¢	$369	0xab5dda…
06-08 10:07:46	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	340	92¢	$312	0x6a6a3a…
06-08 09:53:46	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0x80f2e6…
06-06 18:18:36	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	21	92¢	$20	0x25b177…
06-06 17:57:15	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	803	92¢	$739	0x154899…
06-06 17:10:04	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	199	92¢	$183	0x3a0d16…
06-05 04:23:28	will olivia rodrigo have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x98d537…
06-05 04:22:01	will olivia rodrigo have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	42	7¢	$3	0x5644eb…
06-05 04:21:21	will olivia rodrigo have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x1e2d39…
06-05 04:14:54	will olivia rodrigo have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	75	7¢	$5	0x21a83b…
06-05 02:42:06	will olivia rodrigo have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	617	7¢	$44	0x74c317…
06-04 11:02:22	will taylor swift have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	444	4¢	$20	0xe6cbcd…
06-04 02:53:18	will olivia rodrigo have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	38	8¢	$3	0x466600…
06-04 02:52:39	will taylor swift have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	87	4¢	$4	0xa6ea6f…
06-03 23:02:39	will olivia rodrigo have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	872	7¢	$61	0x6f1f47…
06-03 23:02:01	will taylor swift have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	4,246	4¢	$186	0xa8c652…
06-02 22:27:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$11	0xce1b37…
06-02 10:23:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x4b216e…
06-01 23:40:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,153	99¢	$2,138	0x1a82a3…
06-01 15:15:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	853	59¢	$503	0x336e0c…
06-01 13:36:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	31¢	$94	0x750a0f…
06-01 12:36:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	442	22¢	$99	0xfc7945…
06-01 12:36:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	86	22¢	$19	0xf7d9d2…
06-01 12:36:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	191	22¢	$43	0xa53acc…
06-01 12:36:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x87fd84…
06-01 12:36:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	182	22¢	$41	0xcc07c0…
06-01 12:25:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,400	72¢	$2,448	0x33a9c2…
06-01 12:25:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	72¢	$360	0x359dbb…
06-01 12:16:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,900	84¢	$3,272	0xa07aac…
06-01 04:11:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,366	100¢	$1,365	0x745c7a…
06-01 02:07:35	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,939	100¢	$1,937	0xb88a1e…
06-01 00:03:29	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	317	5¢	$16	0x79cb27…
05-31 23:18:50	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0x2d5d50…
05-31 13:02:25	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	400	7¢	$28	0xcfebdc…
05-31 12:53:21	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	BUY	800	4¢	$30	0x28c71f…
05-31 12:44:13	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	300	9¢	$26	0x20ae3e…
05-31 12:39:59	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x4a9f45…
05-31 10:39:14	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x5216cb…
05-29 16:09:35	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,040	94¢	$1,907	0x37d185…
05-28 14:35:39	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x1daabc…
05-28 09:18:59	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	66¢	$4	0x52ba16…
05-28 09:17:09	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	193	66¢	$127	0x3853dd…
05-28 09:14:59	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x686dc5…
05-28 09:12:30	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	199	63¢	$126	0x951a98…
05-28 09:12:27	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0xa7045d…
05-27 12:36:59	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0x04fb16…
05-27 03:56:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1,300	100¢	$1,299	0x4fdb2f…
05-26 23:26:55	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x7a381f…
05-26 23:24:12	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	727	28¢	$200	0xe8c134…
05-26 15:29:46	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	695	40¢	$278	0xbbdc0c…
05-26 14:06:52	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	305	64¢	$195	0x8811bf…
05-26 13:51:16	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xdd977c…
05-26 13:44:46	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x673536…
05-26 13:42:38	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0xcb51ef…
05-26 13:15:55	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	40¢	$401	0x66c9b1…
05-26 12:31:26	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	579	47¢	$272	0x43ec2c…
05-26 12:27:56	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	61	47¢	$29	0xbad017…
05-25 17:37:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	1,374	99¢	$1,360	0xf9ad6d…
05-25 04:06:34	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	51	68¢	$34	0xf0562d…
05-25 02:35:10	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x6275b9…
05-25 02:09:00	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0xf5090e…