Ill-Fated-Pole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

Trades

155

lifetime

Volume

$845

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-14 10:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% $-49

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	5	$56	32	32	+0	open	—	05-14 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	3	$50	31	31	+0	open	—	05-14 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$36	26	26	+0	Down	+$16	05-13 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	3	$31	21	21	+0	open	—	05-14 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	4	$31	33	33	+0	Down	+$7	05-13 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	05-14 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$30	130	0	+130	Down	$-30	05-12 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$27	18	18	+0	Up	+$8	05-13 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$27	17	17	+0	Up	+$7	05-13 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$25	18	18	+0	Up	+$5	05-13 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$25	15	15	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	5	$24	21	16	+4	Down	$-2	05-13 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	3	$22	128	0	+128	open	—	05-14 10:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$20	30	0	+30	open	—	05-14 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	3	$18	32	0	+32	open	—	05-14 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-13 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-12 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$13	13	7	+6	Down	$-2	05-12 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$4	05-13 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$12	33	33	+0	Down	+$8	05-13 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$12	24	0	+24	open	—	05-14 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$12	25	0	+25	Up	$-12	05-13 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	3	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-14 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$9	05-13 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$10	25	0	+25	Up	$-10	05-13 20:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 10:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6be88a…
05-14 10:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa959b1…
05-14 10:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x68e569…
05-14 09:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xa59a9d…
05-14 09:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc5d1a4…
05-14 09:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x3c493a…
05-14 09:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf0833c…
05-14 09:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xc373e5…
05-14 09:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x17b73e…
05-14 09:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x739a6e…
05-14 09:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x243614…
05-14 09:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0x9e0df1…
05-14 09:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x05abef…
05-14 09:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x33a908…
05-14 09:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x294c0b…
05-14 09:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x3a5273…
05-14 09:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8c4b7c…
05-14 09:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x40ee9b…
05-14 09:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x377811…
05-14 09:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x731fdc…
05-14 09:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x5ab074…
05-14 09:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x4161da…
05-14 09:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x196d0c…
05-14 08:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa25841…
05-14 08:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe56ea5…
05-14 08:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x13d981…
05-14 08:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xfd4af0…
05-14 08:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xaf6d12…
05-14 08:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0x11f07b…
05-14 08:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xbd3f4c…
05-14 08:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5912ed…
05-14 08:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7c2578…
05-14 08:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xedec7c…
05-14 08:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xc082ba…
05-14 08:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xd9f9ea…
05-14 08:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x160ab2…
05-14 08:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x3e2aa9…
05-14 08:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa228b7…
05-13 21:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x50fef9…
05-13 21:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x755482…
05-13 21:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xf9cf31…
05-13 20:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x760425…
05-13 20:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x1aa8ac…
05-13 20:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xcb6734…
05-13 20:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x8d4ebd…
05-13 20:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xbf00fd…
05-13 20:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x4ca83c…
05-13 20:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	18	95¢	$18	0x1e4cc7…
05-13 20:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0xffa90c…
05-13 20:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xe4da06…
05-13 20:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$2	0xbfa7c9…
05-13 20:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x3f5ac7…
05-13 20:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfbd8e5…
05-13 20:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x752ee5…
05-13 20:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x878b3a…
05-13 20:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x39f8d5…
05-13 20:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x96ade5…
05-13 20:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x3155eb…
05-13 20:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	91¢	$3	0x4fc884…
05-13 20:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xeb8334…
05-13 20:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x038c29…
05-13 20:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x9626d5…
05-13 20:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x1d9996…
05-13 20:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2158bb…
05-13 20:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x69cfd6…
05-13 20:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd0355f…
05-13 20:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xc6bf05…
05-13 20:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x273798…
05-13 20:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xea599f…
05-13 20:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x7df4c9…
05-13 19:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa7ebd2…
05-13 19:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	82¢	$12	0xe6929d…
05-13 19:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x54ff3d…
05-13 19:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1628db…
05-13 19:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x3181b7…
05-13 19:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf5d11e…
05-13 19:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x7fddbb…
05-13 19:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x86b311…
05-13 19:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x7d2034…
05-13 19:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	30	53¢	$16	0x5f3695…
05-13 19:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x82dc3f…
05-13 19:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x9f62b9…
05-13 19:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x452586…
05-13 19:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xe9aab8…
05-13 19:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x28fc07…
05-13 19:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xdc6e99…
05-13 19:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x122149…
05-13 19:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4ace37…
05-13 19:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0x370ca5…
05-13 19:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x88b133…
05-13 19:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x5d1c6e…
05-13 19:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x056a94…
05-13 19:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	33	31¢	$10	0x54f2d5…
05-13 19:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x6ab380…
05-13 18:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x788e89…
05-13 18:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x62f562…
05-13 18:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x940db6…
05-13 18:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x270491…
05-13 18:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc72d19…
05-13 18:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xa69bbc…