Realized P&L
-$241
Unrealized P&L
-$603
Hit rate
49.5%
Resolved
222
Trades
591
lifetime
Volume
$47.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$81
Open exposure
$708
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-23 04:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Other
56% 36% -$4,415
Sports
39% 53% +$5,071
Politics
4% 29% -$487
Crypto
1% 0% -$410
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +1,350 $323 18¢ $236 -$87 10-15 12:26
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +300 $201 58¢ $176 -$26 10-03 08:57
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +800 $264 16¢ $124 -$140 09-22 12:59
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes +840 $185 12¢ $101 -$84 09-09 11:05
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? Yes -548 -$82 7¢ $-38 +$44 06-17 20:09
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +650 $110 4¢ $23 -$88 06-22 15:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +1,010 $232 1¢ $10 -$222 10-23 04:54