Weird-Soil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$69

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

Trades

103

lifetime

Volume

$733

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 06-14 19:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 41% -$99

Politics

26% 33% +$27

Other

5% 17% +$2

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	4	$63	37	37	+0	Down	+$7	05-03 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	3	$59	50	50	+0	Down	+$40	06-14 18:50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$46	50	50	+0	No	+$34	04-26 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$40	30	30	+0	Down	+$20	05-03 07:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$35	31	31	+0	Yes	-$5	05-24 20:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$28	21	21	+0	No	+$8	06-14 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	4	$28	21	20	+0	Up	-$4	04-26 05:28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$27	20	20	+0	No	+$7	05-03 08:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$25	56	56	+0	Up	-$23	06-14 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 18:50 UTC	1	$25	130	0	+130	Up	-$25	06-14 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$22	16	16	+0	Down	+$6	05-03 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$20	88	0	+88	Up	-$20	05-03 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$20	77	0	+77	Down	-$20	05-03 07:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$20	104	0	+104	Up	-$20	05-03 08:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$19	16	16	+0	No	+$7	05-03 08:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	4	$17	18	17	+0	Down	-$10	04-26 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	4	$16	13	12	+0	Up	$0	04-26 04:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 15:05 UTC	1	$15	150	0	+150	Down	-$15	04-15 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$13	9	8	+0	Up	+$4	04-26 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$13	247	0	+247	Down	-$13	05-03 08:28
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	1	$11	20	0	+20	No	+$9	04-15 15:06
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$11	71	71	+0	Yes	-$9	05-11 06:21
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	1	$10	17	0	+17	No	+$7	04-15 15:11
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	04-26 05:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$10	13	0	+13	Up	+$3	05-03 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$10	15	0	+15	Up	+$5	05-24 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$10	51	0	+51	Down	-$10	05-03 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	5	$9	183	8	+175	Up	-$3	04-26 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	04-26 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	04-26 05:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 19:07:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x944133…
06-14 19:07:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb9726b…
06-14 19:06:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc5f4fb…
06-14 19:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x532930…
06-14 19:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x789665…
06-14 19:04:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 19:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0x3793c5…
06-14 19:02:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x93fa08…
06-14 18:59:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x15ac08…
06-14 18:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	56	2¢	$1	0x611126…
06-14 18:57:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	56	43¢	$24	0x556d99…
06-14 18:51:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	130	19¢	$25	0x550255…
06-14 18:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x07221a…
06-14 18:48:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x60586f…
06-14 18:46:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x926d72…
06-14 18:44:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x6fa536…
06-14 18:42:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	21	85¢	$18	0x231403…
06-01 17:52:23	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe579c9…
05-30 17:59:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x6c31ae…
05-25 19:07:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x636308…
05-25 19:05:29	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbbbb9b…
05-25 19:02:33	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9ef44f…
05-25 19:02:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd2fac9…
05-25 19:01:03	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x258a1c…
05-25 19:00:35	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x664d04…
05-24 20:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xb59fb6…
05-24 20:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xdaf6f1…
05-24 20:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x4bb96f…
05-24 20:28:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	31	49¢	$15	0xde66d4…
05-11 06:21:14	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0xb1e34f…
05-03 08:38:20	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x3e0b4a…
05-03 08:34:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x8ffada…
05-03 08:32:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	82¢	$13	0x0bfaba…
05-03 08:31:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$17	0x48d345…
05-03 08:31:36	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	No	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0xbdd32d…
05-03 08:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x105380…
05-03 08:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	204	5¢	$10	0x1973a2…
05-03 08:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	16	87¢	$14	0x45a731…
05-03 08:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x7fbd28…
05-03 08:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x183843…
05-03 08:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x51273d…
05-03 08:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0xf76c94…
05-03 08:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x13aa6a…
05-03 08:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x46e523…
05-03 08:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x8baeb7…
05-03 08:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0x0aba7a…
05-03 08:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xb6944f…
05-03 08:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xf59da7…
05-03 07:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	51	19¢	$10	0xc156fc…
05-03 07:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xd44eb7…
05-03 07:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x9cbae8…
05-03 07:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x52000c…
04-26 05:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x4085f0…
04-26 05:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd684ff…
04-26 05:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0xf8e894…
04-26 05:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe80253…
04-26 05:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0xc844cb…
04-26 05:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x64c904…
04-26 05:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x1bc534…
04-26 05:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	16	10¢	$2	0x5ca4b4…
04-26 05:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x28c5f9…
04-26 05:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x06e0b1…
04-26 05:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x798a0e…
04-26 05:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x2ba12e…
04-26 05:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x67e210…
04-26 05:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x1ee667…
04-26 05:23:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x02d84f…
04-26 05:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe5f41c…
04-26 05:20:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x6f01de…
04-26 05:19:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0xfe1c40…
04-26 05:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	175	1¢	$2	0x116b8d…
04-26 05:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf81351…
04-26 05:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x6bdc64…
04-26 05:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xd1adb9…
04-26 05:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x572961…
04-26 05:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x598868…
04-26 05:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0x0d9392…
04-26 04:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xc95462…
04-26 04:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xea680d…
04-26 04:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xea201d…
04-26 04:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x0a6221…
04-26 04:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x70c6d0…
04-26 04:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xc94340…
04-26 04:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xcb769f…
04-26 04:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa37d31…
04-26 04:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x80957a…
04-26 04:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xd94504…
04-25 21:37:10	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x2003e0…
04-25 21:35:14	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x73aa63…
04-25 21:34:28	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x867f95…
04-25 21:28:22	Will Trump say "My Father" or "My Mother" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xaab85a…
04-25 21:26:54	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x140a0c…
04-25 21:24:50	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x57327c…
04-25 21:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x41ef69…
04-25 21:19:58	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x91d71b…
04-25 21:18:56	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xd49d50…
04-15 15:19:58	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xe1ae38…
04-15 15:19:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x59e47a…
04-15 15:14:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x3fdeb3…
04-15 15:12:56	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x14a284…
04-15 15:11:50	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x98459d…