Only-Reduction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,305

lifetime

Volume

$303.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$92

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-16 10:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

37% — —

Other

33% 100% +$27

Politics

29% 100% +$18

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	119	$12.3K	10,860	10,860	+0	open	—	03-31 09:57
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	114	$10.0K	9,547	9,747	-200	open	—	03-30 08:22
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	31	$4.2K	3,694	3,294	+400	open	—	05-14 10:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	28	$3.6K	2,310	2,301	+9	open	—	04-22 16:02
btc updown 15m 1768132800	2	$3.5K	5,203	5,136	+67	open	—	01-11 12:11
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?	14	$3.4K	2,806	2,804	+2	open	—	04-30 22:51
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	24	$3.1K	3,543	3,543	+0	open	—	04-25 08:16
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	19	$3.0K	1,608	1,608	+0	open	—	02-28 03:39
btc updown 15m 1768129200	3	$3.0K	3,517	0	+3,517	open	—	01-11 11:11
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	12	$2.9K	1,794	1,994	-200	open	—	05-20 06:16
wti up or down on april 23 2026	9	$2.8K	1,640	2,440	-800	open	—	04-23 10:53
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	8	$2.8K	2,300	2,300	+0	open	—	06-01 04:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	29	$2.8K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	04-30 11:03
btc updown 15m 1768128300	2	$2.6K	2,968	0	+2,968	open	—	01-11 10:52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	18	$2.4K	2,041	2,494	-453	open	—	06-14 18:52
bitcoin up or down january 13 1pm et	2	$2.4K	1,219	1,219	+0	open	—	01-13 18:55
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	6	$2.3K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	04-23 17:38
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	17	$2.3K	1,204	1,204	+0	open	—	02-26 17:03
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	31	$2.3K	1,756	1,756	+0	open	—	02-28 21:02
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	12	$2.2K	1,264	1,264	+0	open	—	04-21 19:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	10	$2.2K	1,484	1,484	+0	open	—	05-07 08:11
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	12	$2.2K	1,390	1,390	+0	open	—	04-27 14:36
btc updown 15m 1768125600	7	$2.1K	2,623	0	+2,623	open	—	01-11 10:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$2.1K	1,351	1,351	+0	open	—	05-31 14:16
btc updown 15m 1767519000	13	$2.1K	1,150	1,150	+0	open	—	01-04 09:41
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	19	$2.1K	1,581	1,581	+0	open	—	04-22 14:10
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	4	$2.1K	1,240	1,240	+0	open	—	04-10 11:11
solana up or down january 13 12pm et	7	$2.1K	1,167	1,167	+0	open	—	01-13 17:59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	18	$2.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	04-25 08:25
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	19	$2.0K	2,125	2,081	+43	open	—	06-16 08:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 10:24:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	40	43¢	$17	0xe26c97…
07-16 06:57:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0xb49b3f…
07-15 16:05:44	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x5e0205…
07-15 09:10:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	30	81¢	$24	0xcfe415…
07-15 09:10:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	SELL	78	77¢	$60	0xb1a922…
07-15 08:32:53	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0xc143b3…
07-15 08:30:29	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	SELL	197	73¢	$145	0x14a1cb…
07-15 08:24:58	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0x347bdd…
07-14 20:20:34	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	97	50¢	$48	0x70c4f6…
07-14 06:54:32	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0xc5af0a…
07-13 16:13:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x9c7364…
07-13 16:11:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x114ca8…
07-13 15:40:47	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	28	73¢	$20	0x8ed16e…
07-13 15:39:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x60fe69…
07-13 11:48:25	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	64	19¢	$12	0x292ab6…
07-13 11:23:07	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	125	19¢	$24	0x83b900…
07-13 11:21:35	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	111	19¢	$21	0x241cda…
07-13 10:55:49	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	300	20¢	$60	0xc65750…
07-13 09:17:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	26	90¢	$24	0x06414e…
07-12 16:46:44	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Jannik Sinner	SELL	33	59¢	$20	0xb1ab01…
07-12 16:32:25	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Jannik Sinner	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xbab03d…
07-12 08:43:44	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0xa3bea7…
07-10 10:09:05	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x3ca7ae…
07-10 08:50:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x558cae…
07-10 08:48:08	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xc50fff…
07-08 12:56:11	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0xfcfe1a…
07-08 12:54:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x62f9fd…
07-08 12:53:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x926549…
07-06 11:51:26	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xb7dceb…
07-06 11:51:17	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xe441f2…
07-06 11:11:44	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	30	63¢	$19	0x50a092…
07-06 11:11:04	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0xc709e2…
07-06 11:00:08	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x639a94…
07-06 10:59:04	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xfa7259…
07-04 12:21:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	230	33¢	$75	0x14578d…
07-04 09:32:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	110	40¢	$44	0xbdbd62…
07-04 09:32:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	43	40¢	$17	0x33ccc1…
07-04 09:20:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	77	40¢	$31	0x201808…
07-03 19:16:52	btc updown 5m 1783106100	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x358c6c…
07-03 19:16:34	btc updown 5m 1783106100	Up	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0xee50d5…
07-03 17:24:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	70	74¢	$52	0x4dafd3…
07-03 09:57:56	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	70	76¢	$53	0xf76b54…
07-03 09:52:34	lol g2 tes 2026 07 04	Top Esports	SELL	28	17¢	$5	0xb3d6de…
07-03 09:10:23	lol g2 tes 2026 07 04	Top Esports	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x8a132c…
07-03 07:14:49	btc updown 15m 1783062000	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x6e5506…
07-03 07:13:49	btc updown 15m 1783062000	Up	SELL	122	24¢	$29	0x63567b…
07-03 07:08:49	btc updown 15m 1783062000	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x6f570f…
07-02 06:04:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	58	98¢	$57	0x578706…
07-01 11:27:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	58	90¢	$52	0x9fc70d…
07-01 10:02:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	16	83¢	$14	0x2cb184…
07-01 09:26:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x8696c5…
06-29 14:54:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	300	66¢	$198	0x52824a…
06-29 14:03:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x5434a8…
06-29 13:10:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	300	9¢	$27	0x727398…
06-29 12:17:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x18fa0c…
06-29 12:15:08	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	SELL	210	98¢	$207	0x4db912…
06-29 11:32:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	300	31¢	$93	0x0c94b5…
06-29 04:56:49	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	No	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0x9a7ae1…
06-28 20:00:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	No	BUY	116	95¢	$110	0xb7f15c…
06-28 14:27:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	600	77¢	$462	0x4c46ae…
06-28 12:09:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x25c119…
06-28 09:05:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	150	84¢	$126	0x7b3ca5…
06-28 09:01:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	250	84¢	$210	0x10a409…
06-27 22:14:52	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x64ea9a…
06-27 22:12:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	500	42¢	$210	0xffb72f…
06-27 19:40:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	213	44¢	$94	0xda6963…
06-27 19:36:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	72	44¢	$32	0xea05ca…
06-27 19:36:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0xc076fa…
06-27 19:33:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	194	44¢	$85	0x39d058…
06-27 18:59:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0xacd494…
06-27 13:56:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$193	0x307fb7…
06-27 12:04:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	460	54¢	$250	0x705e9d…
06-27 12:03:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	400	16¢	$62	0x4e7a84…
06-27 11:29:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0x500527…
06-27 11:26:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	93	18¢	$17	0xe6dc9b…
06-27 10:31:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	460	65¢	$299	0xe3f449…
06-27 10:23:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x8da92e…
06-27 10:23:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x0f38d0…
06-27 10:22:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x5296f1…
06-27 10:20:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x70b28d…
06-27 10:20:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	242	18¢	$44	0xf7db78…
06-26 06:50:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	571	56¢	$320	0x5fa85d…
06-26 06:50:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	29	56¢	$16	0xbe5b46…
06-26 05:49:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	600	55¢	$330	0xc71ed2…
06-25 04:41:19	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	35	58¢	$20	0xbf1ca5…
06-25 04:31:43	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	165	60¢	$99	0xda794e…
06-24 15:23:07	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x70e59f…
06-24 13:54:58	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	SELL	110	78¢	$85	0xf68e8b…
06-24 13:51:38	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x2b46fb…
06-24 10:53:44	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x0634de…
06-24 10:53:28	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x4d0e25…
06-24 10:53:01	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xefe10c…
06-24 10:52:35	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xbb2ac6…
06-24 10:52:16	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x6aa23d…
06-24 10:51:52	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x129952…
06-24 10:50:29	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xca4c0e…
06-24 06:32:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	24	29¢	$7	0x04c59a…
06-24 06:24:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x0aa3ab…
06-24 06:24:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xd726bd…
06-24 06:24:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xad24ea…