Vague-Radiator — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$518

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

101 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$901

$5.27K lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

$180

1 position

First seen

2026-05-11

last 11-05 06:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Sports

49% 0% -$140

Other

46% 12% -$211

Tech

3% 100% +$2

Politics

2% 0% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+18,997	$187	1¢	$180	-$7	11-05 06:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	2	$800	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	08-02 21:24
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	6	$670	2,509	2,509	+0	open	—	08-02 23:21
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	3	$492	433	433	+0	Yes	+$373	07-24 16:03
Will China PR win on 2026-10-02?	2	$450	12,922	0	+12,922	No	-$450	09-28 02:52
Will "Daddy" be said on ICEMAN?	3	$384	304	304	+0	No	+$224	05-15 14:02
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	3	$293	27,330	8,333	+18,997	open	—	11-05 06:44
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	2	$200	267	267	+0	No	+$120	07-03 23:44
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	3	$195	574	574	+0	No	-$5	07-08 06:23
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	3	$163	957	957	+0	open	—	08-02 21:30
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	2	$162	327	327	+0	Yes	+$2	05-15 21:26
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	5	$153	911	911	+0	open	—	05-13 18:14
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	5	$142	577	0	+577	Yes	-$142	05-17 21:37
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	2	$100	286	0	+286	Spurs	-$100	05-15 14:13
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	2	$99	1,351	1,351	+0	open	—	08-02 21:28
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	2	$98	1,515	1,515	+0	open	—	08-02 21:30
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?	2	$94	6,793	6,793	+0	open	—	09-02 00:18
Trump out as President before 2027?	2	$93	714	714	+0	open	—	08-30 03:14
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	2	$92	1,353	1,353	+0	open	—	08-02 21:28
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	2	$70	1,207	1,207	+0	open	—	08-02 21:29
Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02?	2	$68	6,241	0	+6,241	No	-$68	09-28 02:52
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	3	$62	126	0	+126	Yes	-$62	05-17 04:27
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	2	$49	1,190	1,190	+0	open	—	08-02 21:31
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$40	364	0	+364	Yes	-$40	05-16 00:07
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	2	$40	1,217	1,217	+0	No	-$20	07-08 06:33
Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN?	3	$35	110	0	+110	Yes	-$35	05-14 06:44
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	3	$28	599	599	+0	No	-$2	07-08 06:29
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$26	430	0	+430	No	-$26	07-08 06:32
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	1	$20	400	0	+400	No	-$20	07-04 02:00
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	1	$20	133	0	+133	Yes	-$20	07-04 01:58
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	64	64	+0	No	$0	07-08 06:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 06:44:55	Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	18,997	1¢	$190	0xff2935…
09-28 02:52:50	Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	3,269	1¢	$39	0x39c0e3…
09-28 02:52:33	Will China PR win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	3,745	4¢	$150	0x319d81…
09-28 02:29:17	Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	2,972	1¢	$29	0x28ac7c…
09-28 02:28:51	Will China PR win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	9,178	3¢	$300	0x2e03c2…
09-02 00:18:31	Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	6,793	1¢	$48	0x6dd249…
09-02 00:18:21	Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	8,333	1¢	$53	0xa6d46f…
08-30 03:14:22	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	714	6¢	$43	0xd27b7d…
08-29 08:38:24	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0x3aea08…
08-02 23:21:14	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	2,233	13¢	$294	0xcad936…
08-02 23:16:48	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	276	13¢	$37	0x82236b…
08-02 21:31:00	Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	1,190	2¢	$24	0x690846…
08-02 21:30:35	Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	957	8¢	$77	0xe74b75…
08-02 21:30:00	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	1,515	3¢	$48	0x0a8814…
08-02 21:29:02	Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	1,207	3¢	$35	0xe6e042…
08-02 21:28:45	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	1,353	3¢	$46	0x049d69…
08-02 21:28:32	Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	1,351	4¢	$49	0x3e84f5…
08-02 21:24:12	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	2,000	20¢	$400	0x627881…
07-26 05:02:48	Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	6,793	1¢	$46	0x8b6076…
07-26 04:45:43	Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x40666b…
07-26 04:44:24	Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	116	4¢	$4	0xeafaf6…
07-26 04:43:54	Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	903	9¢	$81	0x09fde7…
07-26 04:42:12	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,481	13¢	$200	0xbe2412…
07-26 03:22:21	Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	116	4¢	$5	0xa0bb28…
07-26 03:20:52	Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,351	4¢	$50	0xa40fc1…
07-26 03:20:42	Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,207	3¢	$35	0xc3019a…
07-26 03:20:24	Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,190	2¢	$25	0xd671b8…
07-26 03:10:36	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2,000	20¢	$400	0x260c47…
07-26 03:06:36	Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	8,333	1¢	$50	0x2fedfc…
07-26 03:04:40	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,353	3¢	$46	0x96dcee…
07-26 03:03:54	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,515	3¢	$50	0xc855a1…
07-26 03:03:09	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	333	13¢	$45	0x17ca83…
07-26 02:56:33	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	324	13¢	$44	0x00a64b…
07-25 03:00:10	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	370	13¢	$50	0x1a59b7…
07-24 16:03:42	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	433	100¢	$433	0x048474…
07-08 06:36:16	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	71	13¢	$9	0x650265…
07-08 06:35:04	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	64	16¢	$10	0xf10143…
07-08 06:34:11	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0x617a83…
07-08 06:33:38	Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	1,217	1¢	$10	0x88b0d4…
07-08 06:32:53	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	67	6¢	$4	0xf2ffa4…
07-08 06:32:35	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	217	2¢	$5	0x0fcf48…
07-08 06:32:13	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	290	3¢	$9	0x12d237…
07-08 06:32:04	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xb5bc21…
07-08 06:29:25	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	197	6¢	$12	0xc4d8d3…
07-08 06:29:04	Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	599	2¢	$13	0x15e465…
07-08 06:23:23	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	574	16¢	$95	0x0d4348…
07-04 02:00:02	Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x05c105…
07-04 01:58:11	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	No	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x3e4aa8…
07-04 00:02:25	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	242	4¢	$10	0x37c769…
07-04 00:02:11	Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	399	3¢	$10	0x4f5860…
07-03 23:44:58	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	No	SELL	267	60¢	$160	0x9f9a86…
07-03 21:21:13	Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	201	2¢	$5	0xd184c0…
07-03 21:20:50	Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	353	1¢	$5	0x18c60f…
07-03 21:20:40	Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	357	1¢	$5	0x85de40…
07-03 21:14:17	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	No	BUY	267	15¢	$40	0x940386…
07-03 21:09:26	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x5522ac…
07-03 21:08:47	Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,217	2¢	$30	0xec0da0…
07-03 21:08:31	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	363	14¢	$50	0x51e147…
07-03 21:08:22	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	287	17¢	$50	0x184bc7…
07-03 21:08:11	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	287	17¢	$50	0x3b777c…
05-17 21:52:24	Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	BUY	41	3¢	$1	0x6a23aa…
05-17 21:49:41	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2ff181…
05-17 21:44:28	Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	No	BUY	221	2¢	$5	0x5c56c4…
05-17 21:37:54	Will Tiffany Nicole Ervin win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x7e0ef0…
05-17 21:37:36	Will Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x78a816…
05-17 21:37:14	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x74866d…
05-17 04:27:46	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x34e96e…
05-17 04:26:09	Ebola emergency by June 30?	No	BUY	6,000	0¢	$6	0x6f4a31…
05-17 01:31:18	Will Tiffany Nicole Ervin win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	BUY	171	1¢	$2	0xf2d69c…
05-17 01:30:54	Will Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0xaff4bc…
05-17 01:30:34	Will Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x7fde93…
05-17 01:29:19	Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	BUY	225	2¢	$5	0x706321…
05-17 01:16:03	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1,325	0¢	$5	0x7a3bf9…
05-16 22:19:44	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0x59326f…
05-16 22:16:21	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	118	34¢	$40	0x4facfe…
05-16 09:52:34	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	63	27¢	$17	0xf858b3…
05-16 00:17:58	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x8d78e0…
05-16 00:07:07	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0xe9178f…
05-16 00:05:29	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	183	11¢	$20	0x1c2b88…
05-15 21:26:57	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	327	25¢	$82	0x7a965e…
05-15 21:03:01	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	327	24¢	$80	0xe83043…
05-15 20:44:50	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0xc07890…
05-15 14:23:55	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x7bafbe…
05-15 14:23:01	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	268	19¢	$50	0x65a7a7…
05-15 14:13:29	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x88dcfa…
05-15 14:10:30	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x6a9ce5…
05-15 14:02:08	Will "Daddy" be said on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	304	100¢	$304	0xf46e7b…
05-14 06:44:58	Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	15	44¢	$6	0x070f4a…
05-14 06:43:22	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	15¢	$6	0x0816d9…
05-13 18:21:17	Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0xc870f0…
05-13 18:19:46	Will "Daddy" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	195	31¢	$60	0xebfabf…
05-13 18:14:13	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	911	8¢	$75	0x876678…
05-12 23:10:01	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	17¢	$7	0x161245…
05-12 23:07:49	Will "Daddy" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	109	18¢	$20	0x8ddbb3…
05-12 23:05:19	Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0xfc3871…
05-12 06:53:25	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	232	9¢	$20	0x46d46c…
05-12 06:44:51	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	581	9¢	$50	0x99809b…
05-12 00:26:44	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	9¢	$3	0x34cdc5…
05-12 00:25:04	Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	No	SELL	122	2¢	$3	0xcc7340…
05-11 11:41:24	Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	No	BUY	122	3¢	$4	0xbe5782…