Quick-Flood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$52

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

53.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$124

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 09-04 07:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 100% +$4

Sports

42% 0% -$3

Other

5% 54% -$38

Politics

5% 79% -$17

Tech

1% 50% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		-18	-$18	100¢	$-18	$0	05-07 06:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	2	$3.1K	1,563	1,563	+0	No	+$0	03-24 02:10
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$3.0K	1,524	1,524	+0	No	-$3	03-10 07:01
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$59	33	33	+0	Yes	+$7	05-21 05:32
will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	02-20 07:40
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	2	$54	30	30	+0	Yes	+$4	03-10 07:02
will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$52	27	27	+0	No	+$1	01-16 11:02
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	2	$47	25	25	+0	Yes	+$2	05-07 06:39
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	2	$46	24	24	+0	No	+$2	04-01 08:37
will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	02-20 07:41
Will Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?	1	$39	0	40	-40	No	-$1	04-21 07:55
Moonbirds FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$30	31	0	+31	Yes	+$1	01-28 06:43
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$30	16	16	+0	No	$0	05-21 05:32
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	1	$29	35	0	+35	Yes	+$6	01-05 02:14
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$28	15	15	+0	open	—	09-04 07:24
Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?	2	$27	33	0	+33	Yes	-$27	04-24 13:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	1	$26	31	0	+31	Yes	-$26	06-02 02:42
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	1	$25	26	0	+26	No	+$1	03-01 11:53
will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	2	$25	24	24	+0	Yes	-$10	04-11 07:15
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	1	$24	27	0	+27	Yes	+$3	05-07 06:40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	29	0	+29	Yes	+$6	05-25 02:42
will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by february 20	1	$23	25	0	+25	Yes	-$23	02-20 07:41
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$23	0	23	-23	Yes	$0	01-28 06:43
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	09-04 07:25
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16	1	$22	23	0	+23	No	+$0	03-14 09:21
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	1	$22	24	0	+24	Yes	+$2	04-21 08:16
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	1	$21	32	0	+32	Yes	+$11	05-21 05:33
will chainlink reach 16 in february	1	$21	22	0	+22	No	+$1	02-06 13:24
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	1	$20	27	0	+27	Yes	+$7	03-19 13:24
will opinion launch a token on march 4	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	03-01 11:53
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$18	0	19	-19	No	$0	05-21 05:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 07:25:04	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0x9de068…
09-04 07:24:54	Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0xd17e43…
06-02 02:42:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	31	85¢	$26	0xf5af09…
05-25 02:44:28	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x8a9425…
05-25 02:42:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	79¢	$23	0xd94668…
05-25 02:42:22	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	8	68¢	$6	0x89cab2…
05-21 05:35:26	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x034769…
05-21 05:35:14	Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xcd728d…
05-21 05:33:11	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	32	65¢	$21	0x9e0d3b…
05-21 05:33:03	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x112d0b…
05-21 05:32:45	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0xfe6342…
05-21 05:32:35	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	33	98¢	$33	0xfb4667…
05-21 05:32:26	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x8839b0…
05-21 05:32:19	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	26¢	$4	0xee1c98…
05-13 02:14:08	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x991bf2…
05-13 02:13:30	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0xa4a148…
05-07 06:41:06	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x46ba18…
05-07 06:40:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	33	78¢	$26	0xc3f3b8…
05-07 06:40:03	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	BUY	27	90¢	$24	0x9c2649…
05-07 06:39:32	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x0a3896…
05-07 06:39:21	Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x1fb439…
04-24 13:11:28	Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?	No	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0x15a579…
04-24 13:11:04	Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xd13ec8…
04-21 08:16:42	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0x8001f3…
04-21 07:55:18	Will Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x4ceb47…
04-11 07:16:13	will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x99d916…
04-11 07:15:41	will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	24	30¢	$7	0xe77c06…
04-01 08:38:11	will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	24	72¢	$17	0xe9916d…
04-01 08:37:17	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x8a2eae…
03-24 02:11:43	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	24	90¢	$22	0x7f501a…
03-24 02:10:57	will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	No	SELL	1,563	100¢	$1,558	0xaa37d1…
03-19 13:24:53	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x8914ec…
03-19 13:24:31	will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	No	BUY	1,563	100¢	$1,558	0x3dff06…
03-14 09:21:03	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16	No	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0x6656a9…
03-14 09:20:45	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0x0190f8…
03-10 07:02:47	will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$29	0x51b082…
03-10 07:01:55	us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	No	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0x24b5ba…
03-10 07:01:07	Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	1,524	99¢	$1,512	0x6bccab…
03-03 01:51:27	will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	30	85¢	$25	0x49ecf5…
03-03 01:49:41	Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	1,524	99¢	$1,515	0x52e343…
03-01 11:53:31	will opinion launch a token on march 4	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xc865f1…
03-01 11:53:21	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x81ecca…
02-20 07:41:58	will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by february 20	No	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x7a08ae…
02-20 07:41:40	odds us strikes iran by feb 28 over 30 on friday 815 916 383	No	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0x43e5c9…
02-20 07:41:08	will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	Yes	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xa795b1…
02-20 07:40:58	next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	Yes	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0x4a577a…
02-20 07:40:50	will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x3dfc39…
02-09 02:13:05	us x iran meeting by february 13 2026 452	No	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x855ad9…
02-09 02:12:51	next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	Yes	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0xb49762…
02-06 13:24:43	will chainlink reach 16 in february	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x51b341…
02-06 13:24:17	will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x76032f…
01-28 06:43:51	Moonbirds FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xf33363…
01-28 06:43:05	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x56f57e…
01-20 02:34:18	will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xd96988…
01-20 02:33:00	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	25	90¢	$23	0x4c3ad7…
01-16 11:02:08	will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xcaa4f3…
01-09 12:00:06	will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x0f866b…
01-05 02:14:01	over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	Yes	BUY	35	82¢	$29	0x475d11…