Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

54.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$108

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-08-14

last 11-06 02:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

77% 57% +$4

Politics

19% 50% -$5

Tech

4% 75% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	+2	$1	99¢	$2	+$1	11-05 09:12
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	72¢	$1	$0	11-04 23:25
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	22¢	$0	-$1	11-05 17:28
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Down	+3	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	11-06 02:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 02:46:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x505233…
11-05 17:28:45	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xcb81f4…
11-05 09:12:46	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xec2f9f…
11-04 23:25:09	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xbc8960…
11-03 07:49:37	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xbdb449…
11-02 11:49:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5d2389…
11-02 03:48:49	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb5e95c…
11-01 19:46:40	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x00854d…
10-22 12:09:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x97e38b…
10-18 00:03:32	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1d8106…
10-17 23:29:00	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x90e37d…
10-17 23:14:24	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4751d7…
10-17 14:26:06	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1931a5…
10-17 06:40:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa6f7b5…
10-16 12:30:39	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x41eed5…
10-16 04:26:43	will wti dip to 95 by october 12 2026 from october 15	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x87aa26…
10-14 23:57:54	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7fc5d9…
10-14 14:11:03	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4dde10…
10-14 06:02:04	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xce51cf…
10-14 06:00:41	will msft dip to 540 by october 12 2026 from october 13	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe1c4e1…
10-13 21:36:10	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x26c58d…
10-11 11:42:57	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5c1016…
10-11 03:06:38	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd1b558…
10-10 16:57:18	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0019ba…
10-08 19:18:45	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x50e0f6…
10-08 07:31:39	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $105 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8c67dd…
10-07 23:20:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5fa5f5…
10-07 15:18:58	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa842f5…
10-07 04:44:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3858cf…
10-06 20:44:44	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xfeb101…
10-06 12:31:09	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe9df53…
10-06 04:30:07	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc3123b…
10-05 15:44:29	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x074564…
10-05 00:45:04	will tsla reach 390 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xbf0bd8…
10-02 11:17:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x1d9566…
10-02 01:36:56	will rklb dip to 70 by september 28 2026 from october 1	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf55edb…
10-01 16:56:54	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x54f1d6…
10-01 08:42:51	will the next claude haiku 4pt6 model be released by october 7 2026	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0747bc…
09-30 23:37:02	will xagusd reach 61 by september 28 2026 from september 30	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa62974…
09-30 15:35:54	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb883fd…
09-30 07:17:51	will ewy reach 188 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3cb014…
09-29 10:53:02	spy up or down on september 29 2026	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x54149c…
09-29 02:52:24	will openais valuation hit high 975b by september 30 20260829011000014	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3ca8bd…
09-28 18:09:05	will abnb dip to 154 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x02ef36…
09-28 18:02:41	will ng dip to 2 90 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x81a47c…
09-27 21:33:56	will xagusd dip to 62 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc68a9a…
09-27 16:46:08	OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfff0e5…
09-27 06:11:09	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x794a5c…
09-27 06:07:03	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x546681…
09-26 08:00:44	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x173824…
09-26 07:04:32	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xabcafd…
09-25 22:03:27	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x006b7b…
09-25 01:33:24	will amzn reach 252 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x46a91e…
09-24 03:16:57	Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4feb8a…
09-23 19:16:47	will xagusd reach 67 by september 21 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xea22d3…
09-20 22:42:40	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $127.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x02f207…
09-20 21:24:02	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xab40b8…
09-19 23:06:58	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xc952f9…
09-19 07:42:19	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc19f22…
09-17 17:27:39	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd82b49…
09-17 07:28:43	spy closes above 760 on september 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x46ff6c…
09-16 22:57:30	will ewy dip to 173 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x640fb2…
09-16 13:28:55	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" 5+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xf35e82…
09-16 05:25:51	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xa99a56…
09-13 21:13:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc04ed9…
09-11 11:17:39	spx up or down on september 11 2026	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xa17d47…
09-11 01:57:37	will tsla dip to 360 by september 7 2026 from september 10	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x034c92…
09-10 17:54:13	will trump say radical left during rnc convention september 10	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xaade64…
09-10 08:52:58	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x9e7c06…
09-09 22:40:30	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6c5662…
09-09 13:09:09	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x10ee6b…
09-09 04:26:42	spy up or down on september 9 2026	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x141980…
09-08 14:17:18	laptop airdrop by september 9	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x6379f3…
09-08 04:27:27	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xbe9fcb…
09-07 17:43:25	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x110dd2…
09-07 07:19:51	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xe9e2f3…
09-02 19:00:48	wti up or down on september 2 2026	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x668a86…
09-02 06:39:13	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xbe634f…
09-01 11:14:33	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0x084a6e…
08-29 14:23:36	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	No	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x4d4c6a…
08-24 20:44:19	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $184 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x1308c9…
08-24 10:10:15	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x2eebe3…
08-24 02:07:30	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xb9c9a5…
08-23 23:09:55	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $268 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x4d9bae…
08-23 09:42:37	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcc35f0…
08-21 06:32:15	spy up or down on august 21 2026	Down	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0xabd7a4…
08-20 22:27:54	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x528ca7…
08-19 03:41:52	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x9c6c7d…
08-18 18:29:00	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xff2ce9…
08-18 10:05:07	will pltr dip to 168 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb8d6b5…
08-18 01:51:40	will xauusd dip to 4300 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x6de443…
08-17 17:50:54	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x12fc9d…
08-17 09:48:00	will msft dip to 487 50 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xff78e7…
08-17 01:15:21	will aapl dip to 300 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2d614e…
08-14 15:50:15	will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf995ef…
08-14 05:58:01	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x2b2f16…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	2	$2	4	+4	No	$0	10-17 23:29
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	2	$2	5	+5	No	-$1	09-26 08:00
will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	2	$2	4	+4	Yes	$0	09-27 06:11
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-19 07:42
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-09 13:09
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	08-24 02:07
will trump say radical left during rnc convention september 10	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-10 17:54
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-08 04:27
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-10 08:52
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-09 22:40
will xagusd reach 67 by september 21 2026 from september 23	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	09-23 19:16
Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-24 03:16
spx up or down on september 11 2026	1	$1	5	+5	Up	-$1	09-11 11:17
will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-16 05:25
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-20 21:24
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-17 17:27
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" 5+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-16 13:28
will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-14 15:50
spy up or down on september 9 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$2	09-09 04:26
laptop airdrop by september 9	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-08 14:17
will ewy dip to 173 by september 14 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$1	09-16 22:57
spy closes above 760 on september 17 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-17 07:28
spy up or down on august 21 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Up	-$1	08-21 06:32
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $268 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	08-23 23:09
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$1	6	+6	No	-$1	08-14 05:58
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	08-19 03:41
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $127.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-20 22:42
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	No	+$4	09-02 06:39
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-13 21:13
will aapl dip to 300 by august 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	08-17 01:15