Realized P&L
-$514
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
50.4%
Resolved
1,143
Trades
5,675
lifetime
Volume
$22.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$179
17 positions
First seen
2026-03-17
last 10-25 22:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 77 days
Categories
Crypto
77% 83% -$343
Other
19% 41% -$226
Politics
2% 70% +$47
Sports
1% 100% +$5
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$2
Tech
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +60 $39 57¢ $35 -$4 10-08 11:36
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +37 $24 72¢ $26 +$2 10-25 19:21
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 Yes +24 $20 96¢ $23 +$3 10-21 17:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +25 $21 86¢ $22 +$0 10-18 20:30
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +28 $18 72¢ $20 +$2 10-25 12:18
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +17 $14 73¢ $13 -$1 10-10 17:02
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +11 $9 99¢ $11 +$1 10-07 15:43
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$1 10-23 22:49
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$1 10-13 16:35
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $5 87¢ $5 $0 10-06 20:46
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +24 $4 16¢ $4 +$0 10-20 20:42
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 +$0 10-08 16:07
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $3 70¢ $4 +$0 10-20 22:33
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +5 $3 72¢ $4 +$0 10-09 22:17
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +22 $15 1¢ $0 -$14 10-25 14:33
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5 $4 1¢ $0 -$4 10-08 19:50
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +15 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 10-15 05:06