Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.47K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

198

Trades

1,546

lifetime

Volume

$311.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$202

Open exposure

$2.55K

2 positions

First seen

2026-06-29

last 10-24 05:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

52% 62% -$5,343

Sports

23% 25% -$129

Politics

19% 58% +$6,489

Crypto

6% 57% +$1,406

Tech

0% 100% +$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No		+2,555	$1,404	96¢	$2.4K	+$1,037	10-11 03:00
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes		+2,555	$1,150	4¢	$114	-$1,036	10-11 02:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	6	$51.7K	30,246	30,246	+0	Yes	-$2	07-07 23:46
will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	38	$23.8K	27,723	9,532	+18,191	Yes	+$1,955	08-03 14:57
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	47	$10.8K	27,518	39,929	-12,410	No	-$128	08-05 02:31
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$10.7K	16,192	0	+16,192	Yes	+$5,505	08-30 19:55
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	121	$9.5K	0	22,720	-22,720	No	+$9,542	07-15 21:40
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$9.5K	22,720	0	+22,720	Yes	-$9,520	07-15 21:08
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?	23	$8.5K	10,578	10,578	+0	No	-$813	09-10 15:07
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	34	$8.4K	10,512	806	+9,705	Yes	+$1,674	10-01 16:11
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	37	$7.6K	8,529	8,529	+0	Yes	+$3,104	07-01 21:04
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	4	$7.5K	7,559	0	+7,559	Yes	+$14	08-02 15:00
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	40	$6.4K	7,143	7,143	+0	No	+$3,178	08-12 03:35
Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	5	$6.2K	10,319	10,319	+0	open	—	10-15 08:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	19	$6.2K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	-$3,600	09-15 02:39
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	12	$5.3K	8,000	8,000	+0	Yes	+$1,038	09-09 18:55
crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 07	10	$4.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	England	+$1,350	07-07 18:42
trump renames ai by september 30	17	$4.8K	7,434	7,434	+0	Yes	+$2,119	09-29 01:49
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	3	$4.8K	5,455	5,455	+0	open	—	10-15 03:38
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30?	4	$4.4K	2,613	2,937	-324	No	+$58	09-01 14:59
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	104	$4.2K	8,723	8,723	+0	Yes	+$308	08-12 22:11
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	5	$4.0K	8,134	8,134	+0	open	—	10-03 04:01
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	23	$3.5K	9,055	9,055	+0	Yes	+$68	08-12 05:33
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?	26	$3.3K	3,708	0	+3,708	Yes	+$435	08-16 16:16
laptop fdv above 1pt5b one day after launch	3	$3.1K	1,700	1,700	+0	No	+$221	09-10 14:24
Will "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?	3	$3.1K	27,921	4,889	+23,032	No	-$3,052	09-12 00:40
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	3	$3.1K	4,099	4,099	-0	No	+$1,025	09-19 03:22
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?	8	$3.0K	4,870	523	+4,347	No	+$1,668	08-17 18:39
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	4	$3.0K	5,534	0	+5,534	Yes	+$2,537	07-20 17:51
Will "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m?	5	$2.9K	10,892	1,293	+9,599	Yes	-$2,655	09-12 19:17
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	3	$2.8K	8,053	8,053	+0	open	—	10-23 20:11
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	2	$2.7K	1,552	1,552	+0	open	—	10-24 05:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 05:27:54	Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	125	96¢	$120	0x55d5b8…
10-24 05:27:50	Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	280	96¢	$270	0x1e327d…
10-24 05:25:27	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	1,150	87¢	$1,001	0xf62560…
10-24 05:25:26	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,552	87¢	$1,350	0xa95252…
10-23 20:11:35	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	203	9¢	$18	0xd7c3f4…
10-23 20:11:23	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7,850	10¢	$785	0x0f8ef8…
10-23 17:52:30	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,053	25¢	$2,013	0xb82ef4…
10-22 18:55:36	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,150	89¢	$1,024	0x20e2de…
10-22 18:55:27	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,552	89¢	$1,381	0x759096…
10-22 18:54:39	Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	125	96¢	$120	0xfa27e8…
10-22 18:54:29	Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	280	96¢	$270	0x3c172f…
10-22 16:24:09	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 22?	No	BUY	2,140	14¢	$297	0x65ae0a…
10-15 08:59:04	Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	No	SELL	9,675	30¢	$2,902	0x8253cc…
10-15 03:38:01	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	5,455	46¢	$2,487	0x2a0232…
10-13 01:36:51	Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	1,000	7¢	$68	0x3d0e5a…
10-12 19:37:38	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	39	4¢	$1	0xe921fe…
10-12 16:51:06	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xc69a56…
10-12 16:44:27	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x002dc3…
10-12 16:42:59	Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0xe24009…
10-12 11:33:33	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xce3f59…
10-12 11:33:27	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x42b659…
10-12 11:25:03	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	106	70¢	$74	0x6ae896…
10-12 11:08:38	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	192	70¢	$134	0xc91a85…
10-12 11:03:42	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x65d87e…
10-12 06:06:11	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	41	66¢	$27	0x68756d…
10-12 06:06:09	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xf93da4…
10-12 05:29:30	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	44	61¢	$27	0xdf0f8e…
10-12 05:29:29	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xf07c12…
10-12 04:59:12	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x1acf7d…
10-11 09:15:46	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 15m?	Yes	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0xa0aa8c…
10-11 09:15:40	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?	Yes	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0x78dcbb…
10-11 09:15:03	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$86	0x73c836…
10-11 09:13:22	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x5581e2…
10-11 09:13:06	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 11m?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe4a0b3…
10-11 09:12:58	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 11m?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6e436e…
10-11 09:12:51	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 11m?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0x8bd42a…
10-11 03:00:45	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xc0416b…
10-11 02:59:23	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	2,555	55¢	$1,404	0x886bb3…
10-11 02:34:38	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0xbc3c07…
10-11 02:34:24	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	2,500	45¢	$1,125	0x582f36…
10-11 02:14:54	Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	6,000	17¢	$1,020	0x59319a…
10-10 04:42:19	Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	6,000	18¢	$1,080	0x185172…
10-09 14:53:09	Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	Yes	SELL	534	25¢	$133	0xc1dbe7…
10-09 14:49:12	Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	Yes	BUY	534	25¢	$133	0x81ac8c…
10-09 01:09:36	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,776	11¢	$412	0xb2c612…
10-09 00:43:03	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	26¢	$132	0x5a8219…
10-09 00:42:42	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	27¢	$134	0x7236bd…
10-09 00:36:20	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,782	27¢	$488	0x16c101…
10-09 00:32:00	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	994	24¢	$239	0xee3ef5…
10-08 10:33:29	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0x7f62eb…
10-08 09:52:29	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	5,407	42¢	$2,256	0x1b2ae7…
10-07 17:19:10	Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	No	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x5cf796…
10-07 07:47:29	Will Harry Gray win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	13¢	$10	0x03ab84…
10-07 07:47:11	Will Harry Gray win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	11¢	$7	0xbd2e0e…
10-07 07:46:45	Will Harry Gray win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0xa36f3d…
10-07 07:40:24	Will David Allara win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	7¢	$7	0x0b52e6…
10-07 05:27:02	Will Stephen Buchwald win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	9¢	$10	0x5cbd1c…
10-07 02:36:38	Will Stephen Buchwald win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?	Yes	BUY	245	10¢	$25	0xf0a53f…
10-06 18:40:42	Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	No	SELL	325	32¢	$104	0xfb5302…
10-06 15:35:00	Will Stephen Buchwald win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	15¢	$21	0x1de627…
10-06 15:33:33	Will Harry Gray win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?	Yes	BUY	784	16¢	$122	0xe1470c…
10-06 15:31:21	Will David Liu win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,192	13¢	$156	0xc2ded8…
10-06 15:31:12	Will David Allara win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,062	11¢	$114	0x5d9c5d…
10-06 15:19:54	Will Stephen Buchwald win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?	Yes	BUY	877	8¢	$72	0x240b74…
10-06 10:28:21	Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	No	SELL	319	32¢	$102	0xafb6d7…
10-05 18:40:08	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Up	SELL	1,557	100¢	$1,555	0xdc0521…
10-05 18:09:28	BNB Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x4835d8…
10-05 18:07:02	BNB Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	5,000	42¢	$2,100	0x6ad38e…
10-05 17:32:35	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Up	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x6b6520…
10-05 17:32:34	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Up	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0x86dbcb…
10-05 17:32:32	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Up	BUY	98	26¢	$26	0xa12725…
10-05 17:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf48a2c…
10-05 17:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x86295e…
10-05 17:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x1d8683…
10-05 17:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb30c37…
10-05 17:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	44	26¢	$11	0x37f552…
10-05 17:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x5f308d…
10-05 17:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf6724b…
10-05 17:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xeb45d7…
10-05 17:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x68c09b…
10-05 17:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x5acc14…
10-05 17:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xddc2b8…
10-05 17:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa6b490…
10-05 17:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	98	26¢	$26	0x14a4cf…
10-05 17:21:23	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Up	BUY	559	30¢	$168	0x0845fc…
10-05 17:20:47	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Up	BUY	104	30¢	$31	0xa11bfd…
10-05 17:20:43	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Up	BUY	92	30¢	$28	0x98765e…
10-05 17:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	80	30¢	$24	0x8a3547…
10-04 16:07:58	Packers vs. Buccaneers	Buccaneers	BUY	366	41¢	$150	0xfc18d7…
10-04 07:51:10	Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be at least 200m by October 31?	No	SELL	134	100¢	$133	0x9a2403…
10-03 14:45:41	West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West Indies	West Indies	SELL	243	46¢	$112	0xd02e76…
10-03 14:26:26	West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West Indies	West Indies	BUY	243	23¢	$56	0x85b771…
10-03 04:01:35	Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	8,134	24¢	$1,965	0x3941d5…
10-03 04:00:36	Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	43	25¢	$11	0x2a3ad0…
10-03 04:00:35	Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,000	25¢	$1,250	0x509502…
10-03 03:59:14	Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	54	25¢	$13	0xae1782…
10-03 03:59:12	Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	3,037	25¢	$759	0xdff28b…
10-02 17:09:15	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	457	27¢	$123	0x616d85…
10-02 17:07:59	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xdb0602…
10-02 17:07:29	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xa95f11…