Taut-Desktop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.26K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.2%

Resolved

Trades

189

lifetime

Volume

$6.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 08-29 13:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Politics

50% 54% -$311

Other

27% 50% +$98

Tech

21% 75% +$1,488

Sports

2% 33% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	10	$721	1,947	800	+1,147	Yes	+$841	08-28 23:09
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	2	$684	392	392	+0	No	+$84	05-29 15:17
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	3	$437	245	245	+0	No	+$37	06-07 19:00
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	4	$235	321	0	+321	No	+$86	06-07 19:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$212	112	112	+0	No	+$12	06-01 09:37
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?	7	$203	1,030	0	+1,030	Yes	+$827	08-29 13:41
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	7	$193	103,100	0	+103,100	Yes	-$193	06-06 14:55
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	2	$180	6,167	0	+6,167	No	-$180	08-27 08:49
iran closes its airspace by june 8	3	$179	356	0	+356	Yes	-$119	06-07 19:03
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	2	$153	171	171	+0	No	-$7	08-27 12:30
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	2	$150	101	101	+0	Yes	-$10	08-27 12:30
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	1	$110	126	0	+126	Yes	+$16	05-28 16:21
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	1	$100	120	0	+120	Yes	+$20	05-30 17:55
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	1	$100	112	0	+112	No	+$12	05-30 16:51
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	1	$100	103	0	+103	No	+$3	05-30 16:51
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	2	$97	278	278	+0	open	—	08-27 12:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$97	147	147	+0	No	-$3	08-27 12:31
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$95	129	129	+0	Yes	-$5	08-27 12:31
will trump say charlie kirk during the state of the union address 326	3	$95	175	0	+175	Yes	-$20	02-01 17:41
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$93	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	02-01 14:57
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$92	100	0	+100	No	+$8	01-30 18:11
will trump say lincoln during the state of the union address 795	3	$92	166	0	+166	No	+$10	02-01 16:19
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	2	$90	501	501	+0	open	—	08-27 12:30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$89	200	0	+200	No	+$11	06-07 15:17
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	1	$87	100	0	+100	No	+$13	06-01 13:26
iran closes its airspace by june 15	2	$85	100	0	+100	Yes	-$85	06-07 15:32
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	1	$84	89	0	+89	No	+$5	01-30 01:46
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	3	$81	100	0	+100	No	+$19	06-01 13:40
will trump say maduro during the state of the union address 456	5	$81	221	0	+221	Yes	-$31	02-03 15:44
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?	1	$80	84	0	+84	No	+$4	05-17 21:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-29 13:41:09	Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	18¢	$54	0x5f8931…
08-28 23:09:13	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xa64059…
08-28 21:22:37	will mouz make a roster change by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xc85378…
08-28 21:21:33	will team falcons make a roster change by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x903061…
08-28 21:15:00	will team spirit make a roster change by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x897399…
08-28 20:44:54	Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	20¢	$19	0x2305bf…
08-28 20:41:27	Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5549be…
08-28 20:40:39	Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	17¢	$9	0x282f77…
08-28 20:39:40	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	28¢	$140	0x2696f3…
08-28 08:25:19	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	24¢	$72	0x94150c…
08-28 08:23:31	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x4e17f5…
08-28 00:24:49	Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0x17ee5c…
08-28 00:24:34	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0x410417…
08-27 12:33:48	Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xaadf74…
08-27 12:33:15	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe01e94…
08-27 12:33:07	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,200	25¢	$300	0xf1e18f…
08-27 12:31:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	147	32¢	$47	0xffd627…
08-27 12:31:01	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	129	35¢	$45	0xa65733…
08-27 12:30:34	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	501	8¢	$40	0x8cf145…
08-27 12:30:25	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	278	17¢	$47	0xc68bc7…
08-27 12:30:10	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	69¢	$70	0x4dbe4f…
08-27 12:30:06	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	171	43¢	$73	0x4fdf01…
08-27 12:20:40	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x46e3bc…
08-27 12:20:36	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xadff47…
08-27 12:20:33	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x856903…
08-27 12:20:31	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x372ddd…
08-27 12:17:51	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x0acc03…
08-27 08:49:15	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,338	4¢	$100	0x73342e…
08-27 08:48:34	Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	464	22¢	$100	0x471844…
08-27 00:34:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0xd3734f…
08-27 00:33:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	129	39¢	$50	0x233640…
08-27 00:32:34	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0x2bebfe…
08-27 00:32:19	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	501	10¢	$50	0x5ebc33…
08-27 00:31:21	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	47¢	$80	0xf214b1…
08-27 00:31:07	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	79¢	$80	0x22dc17…
08-27 00:28:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0x0aeb41…
08-27 00:27:51	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,830	2¢	$80	0x6f701f…
06-07 19:03:24	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	60	63¢	$38	0x0ea863…
06-07 19:02:40	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xe38248…
06-07 19:01:39	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x1c487b…
06-07 19:01:07	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	121	48¢	$58	0x6d445c…
06-07 19:00:46	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	SELL	245	97¢	$237	0x6cf7be…
06-07 15:53:12	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0xe195b9…
06-07 15:45:12	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xc9813c…
06-07 15:45:12	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xb33eba…
06-07 15:45:12	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x8df8f4…
06-07 15:45:12	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x6a8e1d…
06-07 15:45:12	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x21ddab…
06-07 15:45:10	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xe4fa5d…
06-07 15:45:10	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x7ae289…
06-07 15:45:10	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x775174…
06-07 15:45:10	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x08215b…
06-07 15:45:09	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x74ce6a…
06-07 15:45:09	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x742594…
06-07 15:45:09	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x48271e…
06-07 15:45:09	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x4111f7…
06-07 15:45:09	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x148939…
06-07 15:45:07	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xc0fbcd…
06-07 15:45:07	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x903241…
06-07 15:45:07	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x812a80…
06-07 15:45:07	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x6b918e…
06-07 15:45:07	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x5d4b9c…
06-07 15:45:07	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x3d36b6…
06-07 15:45:07	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x1ddd45…
06-07 15:35:37	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x46d4cc…
06-07 15:35:36	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xfd20a0…
06-07 15:35:36	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xe81899…
06-07 15:35:36	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xcbe48e…
06-07 15:35:36	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x7b4af8…
06-07 15:35:36	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x26b05c…
06-07 15:35:34	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xd25318…
06-07 15:35:34	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x80c710…
06-07 15:35:34	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x57f808…
06-07 15:35:34	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x3db984…
06-07 15:35:34	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x0a09ef…
06-07 15:35:33	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xf6d4db…
06-07 15:35:33	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xb5a998…
06-07 15:35:33	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x4c374f…
06-07 15:35:33	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x38072f…
06-07 15:35:33	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x346e6a…
06-07 15:35:33	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x21ef96…
06-07 15:35:31	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xf55ba6…
06-07 15:35:31	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xd63c6e…
06-07 15:35:31	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x6c5cf0…
06-07 15:35:31	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x0cbb1e…
06-07 15:35:25	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xf089fb…
06-07 15:35:25	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xbf1bdb…
06-07 15:35:25	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xbeda07…
06-07 15:35:25	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xa45420…
06-07 15:35:25	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x978def…
06-07 15:35:25	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x2cba44…
06-07 15:35:24	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xf30546…
06-07 15:35:24	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x633cc5…
06-07 15:35:24	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x36e053…
06-07 15:35:24	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x12398b…
06-07 15:35:22	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x647a17…
06-07 15:33:42	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x495d26…
06-07 15:32:10	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	32	85¢	$27	0x92c0e5…
06-07 15:32:10	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	68	86¢	$58	0x5d6f84…
06-07 15:32:09	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xc0f6fc…