Spiffy-Hold — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$630

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

287

lifetime

Volume

$82.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$286

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 06-09 17:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

67% 100% +$506

Other

20% 100% +$125

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

6% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	13	$4.9K	4,935	0	+4,935	open	—	06-01 17:02
will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	1	$4.9K	4,898	0	+4,898	open	—	06-09 17:37
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$4.8K	4,872	0	+4,872	open	—	06-02 09:21
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	1	$4.7K	4,805	0	+4,805	open	—	05-25 12:36
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$4.0K	4,095	0	+4,095	open	—	05-17 11:54
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	5	$4.0K	4,001	0	+4,001	open	—	05-17 09:13
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	4	$3.7K	3,677	0	+3,677	Yes	+$4	05-13 05:05
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	37	$3.3K	4,277	4,343	-67	open	—	03-27 10:05
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	6	$3.2K	3,369	0	+3,369	open	—	05-17 07:14
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	5	$2.9K	2,963	0	+2,963	Yes	+$18	05-02 21:12
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	21	$2.8K	2,829	0	+2,829	open	—	06-04 21:38
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	1	$2.5K	2,538	0	+2,538	open	—	04-21 18:50
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	1	$2.5K	2,528	0	+2,528	open	—	04-16 18:09
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?	2	$2.5K	2,467	0	+2,467	open	—	04-09 08:39
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$2.5K	2,463	0	+2,463	open	—	04-05 04:08
will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	3	$2.3K	2,231	2,231	+0	open	—	04-05 04:08
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 11000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	1	$2.0K	2,010	0	+2,010	No	+$20	05-13 22:47
military action against iran ends by april 15 2026 937	2	$1.8K	1,860	0	+1,860	open	—	04-09 21:20
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	10	$1.7K	1,108	866	+242	open	—	03-29 22:35
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?	2	$1.5K	1,457	0	+1,457	open	—	04-09 19:52
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	25	$1.4K	1,897	83	+1,814	Yes	+$501	05-07 17:58
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	2	$1.4K	714	714	+0	open	—	03-26 07:52
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	2	$1.4K	1,427	0	+1,427	Yes	+$70	05-13 23:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$1.3K	1,340	0	+1,340	Yes	+$1	05-09 18:39
will trump say nancy or pelosi this week march 22	4	$1.2K	639	639	+0	open	—	03-25 06:09
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 24 2026 996	1	$709	710	0	+710	open	—	03-25 10:10
Will Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" in April?	3	$674	709	0	+709	open	—	04-28 18:37
Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in April?	4	$672	687	0	+687	open	—	04-29 12:11
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 24 2026 647	2	$638	709	0	+709	open	—	03-25 06:09
will mark rutte say peace or war 3 times during his speech on april 9	4	$569	570	0	+570	open	—	04-09 15:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:37:34	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	4,898	100¢	$4,884	0x5b76ed…
06-04 21:38:27	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	884	100¢	$882	0x2b2311…
06-04 21:36:57	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x87aa1b…
06-04 21:36:34	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	473	100¢	$472	0x6ff67e…
06-04 21:31:54	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0xc222d1…
06-04 21:31:54	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xad8d9e…
06-04 21:31:51	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x795697…
06-04 21:31:51	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2392cb…
06-04 21:31:49	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfe38e8…
06-04 21:31:49	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf4c766…
06-04 21:31:49	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xda7bae…
06-04 21:31:49	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xccbc74…
06-04 21:31:49	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x70d963…
06-04 21:31:49	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7065be…
06-04 21:31:49	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x67dc88…
06-04 21:31:49	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x56b061…
06-04 21:31:49	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4b039c…
06-04 21:31:49	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x2ae597…
06-04 21:31:49	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1582c4…
06-04 21:31:49	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x12ea6d…
06-04 21:31:49	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x017e71…
06-04 21:31:46	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	571	100¢	$570	0xcd1fd8…
06-02 09:21:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,872	99¢	$4,833	0x1be785…
06-01 17:02:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x27ed57…
05-30 01:09:41	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	1,890	3¢	$61	0x03e8ec…
05-27 16:01:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	135	99¢	$134	0xb29288…
05-27 16:00:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	550	99¢	$546	0xa64b8f…
05-27 15:59:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	550	99¢	$546	0x1346c2…
05-27 15:59:18	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	550	99¢	$546	0xe1068e…
05-27 15:58:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0xacdd8b…
05-27 15:57:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	550	99¢	$546	0x7fb7ca…
05-27 15:55:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	550	99¢	$546	0x15718f…
05-27 15:55:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	550	99¢	$546	0x4cad62…
05-27 15:54:30	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	550	99¢	$546	0x6245a6…
05-27 15:54:07	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0xd11a08…
05-27 15:53:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	527	99¢	$523	0x811354…
05-27 15:52:52	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x87f206…
05-25 12:36:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	4,805	98¢	$4,704	0x333de2…
05-17 11:54:44	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	4,095	98¢	$3,997	0xb5d345…
05-17 09:13:13	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x936b75…
05-17 09:12:38	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe1b383…
05-17 09:07:28	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3,241	100¢	$3,237	0xb35bc9…
05-17 08:31:32	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0d04c5…
05-17 08:30:33	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	618	97¢	$602	0x2868a5…
05-17 07:14:11	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	112	98¢	$110	0x140c3e…
05-17 07:13:52	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	441	99¢	$437	0xbe85fb…
05-17 07:13:15	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	1,083	97¢	$1,056	0xdfaf60…
05-17 07:08:28	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	852	90¢	$766	0x7560be…
05-17 07:08:14	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	164	90¢	$148	0xf83608…
05-17 07:07:50	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	716	90¢	$644	0x47442a…
05-13 23:36:04	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	Yes	BUY	1,222	99¢	$1,205	0x469c58…
05-13 23:26:48	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10500 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	No	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0xa72445…
05-13 23:00:03	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10500 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x127891…
05-13 22:47:32	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 11000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	No	BUY	2,010	99¢	$1,990	0x4f40b1…
05-13 21:25:59	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	Yes	BUY	205	74¢	$152	0x591473…
05-13 05:05:03	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	937	100¢	$936	0x2bb796…
05-13 04:50:35	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x0e6074…
05-13 04:46:57	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6c40bb…
05-13 04:21:34	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,729	100¢	$1,727	0x885a86…
05-09 18:39:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,340	100¢	$1,339	0xa17ff9…
05-07 17:58:32	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x79ee9b…
05-07 17:58:12	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	BUY	62	89¢	$55	0x47c46e…
05-07 17:53:50	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	SELL	23	86¢	$19	0x1438a2…
05-07 17:23:39	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x21758d…
05-07 17:23:11	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	BUY	149	88¢	$131	0x4f9de0…
05-07 16:20:56	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xa5d006…
05-07 15:26:41	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x46dc67…
05-07 14:54:54	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xd11c27…
05-07 14:54:34	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	BUY	84	86¢	$72	0x2576de…
05-07 14:35:11	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x261797…
05-07 14:31:46	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	BUY	135	89¢	$120	0xf0b9ca…
05-07 14:16:39	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	BUY	178	90¢	$161	0xaaba55…
05-07 13:25:54	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xafa661…
05-07 13:25:30	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x8a894a…
05-07 13:25:12	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	BUY	175	89¢	$156	0xbcdefb…
05-07 13:19:28	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	BUY	324	87¢	$282	0xa3380d…
05-07 01:14:42	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x18d719…
05-06 23:54:38	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	BUY	41	75¢	$31	0x47595c…
05-06 22:04:25	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xb0b922…
05-06 18:55:21	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xfadeb1…
05-06 18:54:46	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	BUY	295	41¢	$122	0x4486ca…
05-02 21:12:24	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x9b0285…
05-02 17:51:20	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x1739d2…
05-02 15:51:58	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa78186…
05-02 15:06:04	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xf21f1e…
05-02 11:53:44	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,950	99¢	$2,932	0xb364cc…
05-02 11:45:38	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4ec641…
05-02 11:43:44	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x1b40b9…
05-02 11:43:36	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xcf96d2…
05-02 11:43:12	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	BUY	618	60¢	$370	0x33a72e…
05-02 11:42:42	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x73334c…
05-02 11:40:50	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	BUY	394	51¢	$202	0x266e5e…
05-02 11:39:04	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa3eab3…
04-29 20:36:24	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$21	0x6ac708…
04-29 12:11:44	Will Trump talk to Reza Pahlavi in April?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x792361…
04-29 12:11:36	Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in April?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd05b00…
04-29 12:11:30	Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in April?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x33e66e…
04-29 12:07:36	Will Trump talk to Reza Pahlavi in April?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf15283…
04-29 12:07:30	Will Trump talk to Ahmed al-Sharaa in April?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa74b5f…
04-29 12:07:24	Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in April?	No	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x5b1c24…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	72	$23.9K	2,886	06-09 12:49
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	70	$9.93M	7,350	06-09 17:22
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	66	$153.5K	11,064	06-01 01:54
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	54	$229.0K	16,600	06-09 16:54
Profitable-Recorder 0x92a6…8b84	53	$1.26M	759	06-09 17:20
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	53	$38.3K	867	06-09 16:52
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	52	$19.1K	4,138	05-06 08:34
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	50	$6.77K	359	06-09 16:03