Spiffy-Hold — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$630

Unrealized P&L

+$1.04K

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

326

lifetime

Volume

$100.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$309

Open exposure

$3.08K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-07

last 06-30 12:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

64% 100% +$506

Other

25% 100% +$125

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

5% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No		+3,661	$2,038	84¢	$3.1K	+$1,039	06-30 09:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
starmer out by june 22 2026	2	$6.9K	6,875	0	+6,875	open	—	06-22 08:53
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	13	$4.9K	4,935	0	+4,935	open	—	06-01 17:02
will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	1	$4.9K	4,898	0	+4,898	open	—	06-09 17:37
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$4.8K	4,872	0	+4,872	open	—	06-02 09:21
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	1	$4.7K	4,805	0	+4,805	open	—	05-25 12:36
will iran close its airspace by june 13 20260609184136051	1	$4.3K	4,346	0	+4,346	open	—	06-13 10:19
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$4.0K	4,095	0	+4,095	open	—	05-17 11:54
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	5	$4.0K	4,001	0	+4,001	open	—	05-17 09:13
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	4	$3.7K	3,677	0	+3,677	Yes	+$4	05-13 05:05
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	37	$3.3K	4,277	4,343	-67	open	—	03-27 10:05
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	6	$3.2K	3,369	0	+3,369	open	—	05-17 07:14
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	5	$2.9K	2,963	0	+2,963	Yes	+$18	05-02 21:12
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	21	$2.8K	2,829	0	+2,829	open	—	06-04 21:38
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	1	$2.5K	2,538	0	+2,538	open	—	04-21 18:50
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	1	$2.5K	2,528	0	+2,528	open	—	04-16 18:09
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?	2	$2.5K	2,467	0	+2,467	open	—	04-09 08:39
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$2.5K	2,463	0	+2,463	open	—	04-05 04:08
will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	3	$2.3K	2,231	2,231	+0	open	—	04-05 04:08
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	6	$2.1K	3,761	0	+3,761	open	—	06-30 09:47
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 11000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	1	$2.0K	2,010	0	+2,010	No	+$20	05-13 22:47
military action against iran ends by april 15 2026 937	2	$1.8K	1,860	0	+1,860	open	—	04-09 21:20
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	10	$1.7K	1,108	866	+242	open	—	03-29 22:35
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	14	$1.6K	1,713	0	+1,713	open	—	06-15 17:04
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?	2	$1.5K	1,457	0	+1,457	open	—	04-09 19:52
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	25	$1.4K	1,897	83	+1,814	Yes	+$501	05-07 17:58
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	2	$1.4K	714	714	+0	open	—	03-26 07:52
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	2	$1.4K	1,427	0	+1,427	Yes	+$70	05-13 23:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$1.3K	1,340	0	+1,340	Yes	+$1	05-09 18:39
will trump speak to elon musk in june	2	$1.3K	1,715	1,715	+0	open	—	06-15 07:30
will trump say nancy or pelosi this week march 22	4	$1.2K	639	639	+0	open	—	03-25 06:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 12:34:59	will qatar send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xaaea41…
06-30 12:34:55	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xd14e1c…
06-30 12:34:50	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	168	100¢	$167	0x9426d6…
06-30 12:34:44	will pakistan send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x8262d0…
06-30 12:34:14	will oman send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	554	100¢	$553	0x5cb74b…
06-30 12:34:04	will kuwait send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x89b61d…
06-30 12:33:59	will saudi arabia send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4007ad…
06-30 12:33:55	will germany send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xd0d48d…
06-30 12:33:50	will the united arab emirates send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xa19621…
06-30 12:33:46	will india send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x2a0165…
06-30 09:47:55	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1,190	53¢	$636	0x8c1fea…
06-30 09:45:50	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	92	55¢	$51	0xcf9e36…
06-30 09:45:34	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	908	55¢	$499	0x27012f…
06-30 09:30:56	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	221	100¢	$220	0x525314…
06-30 09:29:47	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1,431	58¢	$829	0xf90b15…
06-30 09:29:47	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0xeedcd6…
06-30 09:29:02	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	999	100¢	$998	0x12c1bc…
06-22 08:53:58	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5,014	100¢	$5,009	0x612cac…
06-22 08:53:56	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,861	100¢	$1,859	0x6bd05e…
06-15 17:04:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	35	95¢	$34	0x89322c…
06-15 17:04:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0xfcc9d1…
06-15 17:04:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	192	95¢	$182	0x30c421…
06-15 17:04:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	192	95¢	$182	0x655fde…
06-15 17:04:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	192	95¢	$182	0x76d388…
06-15 17:03:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	192	95¢	$182	0x8c3117…
06-15 17:00:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xa91478…
06-15 17:00:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x86eaf2…
06-15 16:57:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	135	95¢	$128	0x683120…
06-15 16:56:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	96	95¢	$91	0xe9fada…
06-15 16:56:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	327	95¢	$310	0x9bedb8…
06-15 16:56:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	96	95¢	$91	0x6a534d…
06-15 16:56:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0xbc6be3…
06-15 16:56:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	192	95¢	$182	0x982e17…
06-15 07:31:07	will trump meet with elon musk in june 2026	Yes	SELL	150	38¢	$57	0xc3bf04…
06-15 07:30:42	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	SELL	1,715	25¢	$423	0x1a3dff…
06-13 10:19:55	will iran close its airspace by june 13 20260609184136051	No	BUY	4,346	99¢	$4,303	0x36c52d…
06-13 09:58:28	will trump meet with elon musk in june 2026	Yes	BUY	150	31¢	$47	0xfe32e5…
06-13 09:58:21	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	BUY	1,715	49¢	$837	0xa9923c…
06-09 17:37:34	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	4,898	100¢	$4,884	0x5b76ed…
06-04 21:38:27	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	884	100¢	$882	0x2b2311…
06-04 21:36:57	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x87aa1b…
06-04 21:36:34	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	473	100¢	$472	0x6ff67e…
06-04 21:31:54	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0xc222d1…
06-04 21:31:54	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xad8d9e…
06-04 21:31:51	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x795697…
06-04 21:31:51	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2392cb…
06-04 21:31:49	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfe38e8…
06-04 21:31:49	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf4c766…
06-04 21:31:49	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xda7bae…
06-04 21:31:49	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xccbc74…
06-04 21:31:49	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x70d963…
06-04 21:31:49	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7065be…
06-04 21:31:49	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x67dc88…
06-04 21:31:49	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x56b061…
06-04 21:31:49	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4b039c…
06-04 21:31:49	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x2ae597…
06-04 21:31:49	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1582c4…
06-04 21:31:49	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x12ea6d…
06-04 21:31:49	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x017e71…
06-04 21:31:46	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	571	100¢	$570	0xcd1fd8…
06-02 09:21:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,872	99¢	$4,833	0x1be785…
06-01 17:02:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x27ed57…
05-30 01:09:41	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	1,890	3¢	$61	0x03e8ec…
05-27 16:01:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	135	99¢	$134	0xb29288…
05-27 16:00:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	550	99¢	$546	0xa64b8f…
05-27 15:59:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	550	99¢	$546	0x1346c2…
05-27 15:59:18	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	550	99¢	$546	0xe1068e…
05-27 15:58:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0xacdd8b…
05-27 15:57:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	550	99¢	$546	0x7fb7ca…
05-27 15:55:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	550	99¢	$546	0x15718f…
05-27 15:55:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	550	99¢	$546	0x4cad62…
05-27 15:54:30	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	550	99¢	$546	0x6245a6…
05-27 15:54:07	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0xd11a08…
05-27 15:53:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	527	99¢	$523	0x811354…
05-27 15:52:52	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x87f206…
05-25 12:36:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	4,805	98¢	$4,704	0x333de2…
05-17 11:54:44	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	4,095	98¢	$3,997	0xb5d345…
05-17 09:13:13	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x936b75…
05-17 09:12:38	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe1b383…
05-17 09:07:28	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3,241	100¢	$3,237	0xb35bc9…
05-17 08:31:32	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0d04c5…
05-17 08:30:33	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	618	97¢	$602	0x2868a5…
05-17 07:14:11	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	112	98¢	$110	0x140c3e…
05-17 07:13:52	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	441	99¢	$437	0xbe85fb…
05-17 07:13:15	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	1,083	97¢	$1,056	0xdfaf60…
05-17 07:08:28	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	852	90¢	$766	0x7560be…
05-17 07:08:14	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	164	90¢	$148	0xf83608…
05-17 07:07:50	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	716	90¢	$644	0x47442a…
05-13 23:36:04	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	Yes	BUY	1,222	99¢	$1,205	0x469c58…
05-13 23:26:48	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10500 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	No	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0xa72445…
05-13 23:00:03	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10500 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x127891…
05-13 22:47:32	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 11000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	No	BUY	2,010	99¢	$1,990	0x4f40b1…
05-13 21:25:59	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	Yes	BUY	205	74¢	$152	0x591473…
05-13 05:05:03	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	937	100¢	$936	0x2bb796…
05-13 04:50:35	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x0e6074…
05-13 04:46:57	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6c40bb…
05-13 04:21:34	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,729	100¢	$1,727	0x885a86…
05-09 18:39:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,340	100¢	$1,339	0xa17ff9…
05-07 17:58:32	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x79ee9b…
05-07 17:58:12	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	BUY	62	89¢	$55	0x47c46e…