Spiffy-Hold — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$19

Hit rate

93.7%

Resolved

194

Trades

649

lifetime

Volume

$403.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$621

Open exposure

$13.8K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-07

last 10-29 08:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Politics

68% 94% +$8,066

Other

21% 96% +$3,375

Sports

5% 100% +$27

Crypto

4% 100% +$53

Tech

1% 100% +$78

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes		+13,889	$13,801	100¢	$13.8K	+$19	10-29 08:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	20	$18.1K	10,019	10,019	+0	open	—	10-25 23:40
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	20	$15.0K	14,708	1,826	+12,882	Yes	-$6	09-16 12:10
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	9	$13.8K	13,889	0	+13,889	open	—	10-29 08:48
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$13.2K	13,799	0	+13,799	Yes	+$635	10-25 23:41
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	14	$12.9K	12,907	0	+12,907	No	+$13	10-01 01:09
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	9	$12.9K	12,968	0	+12,968	No	+$78	10-07 21:02
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	7	$12.9K	12,895	0	+12,895	Yes	+$13	09-30 20:35
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	35	$12.8K	12,806	0	+12,806	Yes	+$13	09-03 00:41
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	1	$12.1K	12,073	0	+12,073	Yes	+$12	09-02 15:45
us x iran ceasefire continues through august 25	3	$12.0K	11,997	0	+11,997	Yes	+$12	08-25 21:51
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	1	$12.0K	11,975	0	+11,975	No	+$24	08-12 07:41
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	1	$11.9K	12,498	0	+12,498	No	+$583	08-30 19:23
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	1	$11.3K	11,286	0	+11,286	No	+$12	08-31 22:46
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	22	$9.6K	9,607	0	+9,607	Yes	+$29	07-24 18:17
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	17	$9.5K	9,577	0	+9,577	Yes	+$127	07-21 06:03
will openais astra model be released by september 4 2026	3	$9.1K	9,159	0	+9,159	Yes	+$13	09-04 20:03
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	1	$9.0K	9,040	0	+9,040	Yes	+$9	07-07 20:51
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	5	$8.0K	4,444	4,444	+0	open	—	10-25 23:40
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	11	$7.7K	9,362	0	+9,362	No	+$1,675	07-04 19:34
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	14	$6.9K	7,256	0	+7,256	Yes	+$380	06-27 14:19
starmer out by june 22 2026	2	$6.9K	6,875	0	+6,875	Yes	+$7	06-22 08:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	23	$6.5K	6,868	0	+6,868	Yes	+$357	06-15 17:05
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14	1	$6.0K	6,031	0	+6,031	Yes	+$60	06-14 22:05
will donald trump publicly insult barack obama by july 31 2026 20260626210612717	5	$5.5K	5,498	0	+5,498	Yes	+$22	07-02 19:44
Exact Score: 1. FC Cologne 3 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian?	1	$5.2K	5,247	0	+5,247	No	+$52	08-08 03:53
Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?	2	$5.2K	5,478	0	+5,478	Yes	+$327	07-02 12:31
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	14	$5.0K	4,935	100	+4,835	Yes	+$34	06-01 17:02
total internet blackout in iran by july 31 2026	18	$4.9K	6,810	0	+6,810	Yes	+$1,912	06-12 10:21
will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	1	$4.9K	4,898	0	+4,898	Yes	+$15	06-09 17:37
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$4.8K	4,872	0	+4,872	No	+$39	06-02 09:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 08:48:59	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	2,201	99¢	$2,181	0xe77913…
10-29 00:33:05	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	398	100¢	$397	0xa9c19e…
10-29 00:22:59	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	2,219	100¢	$2,212	0x02b27a…
10-29 00:12:25	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	3,516	100¢	$3,506	0x1f4324…
10-25 23:41:30	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,845	95¢	$3,668	0xefe7a5…
10-25 23:40:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	109	95¢	$104	0xcb06f2…
10-25 23:40:44	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9,824	95¢	$9,372	0xf50d4b…
10-25 23:40:44	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x20f5a5…
10-25 23:40:08	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	10,019	91¢	$9,117	0xcc390e…
10-25 23:40:02	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	4,444	91¢	$4,044	0xc7fd0b…
10-23 18:21:20	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xc424c2…
10-15 08:24:43	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	828	90¢	$745	0xf082b4…
10-15 08:04:19	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xdd908b…
10-15 07:38:35	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,111	90¢	$1,000	0x4b1ece…
10-15 07:10:32	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0xd3333c…
10-15 06:45:44	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	170	90¢	$153	0xbc654b…
10-15 00:10:11	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$7	0x64f3af…
10-14 21:40:28	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xb34292…
10-14 20:56:27	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	24	90¢	$22	0x000c49…
10-14 20:55:58	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x9f6d9b…
10-14 19:26:39	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x5e629b…
10-14 19:23:15	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0xd5338e…
10-07 21:02:50	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x9c97a6…
10-04 03:46:59	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	3,822	99¢	$3,799	0x417aba…
10-04 01:23:13	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$994	0xab962e…
10-04 01:22:35	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	99¢	$4,970	0x50d743…
10-03 22:47:53	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xef48b6…
10-03 22:46:14	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	600	99¢	$596	0xadbdab…
10-03 21:04:16	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1,533	99¢	$1,524	0xed6bcf…
10-03 19:43:01	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0x19cfe0…
10-03 18:53:30	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	721	99¢	$717	0xc262cf…
10-01 07:35:27	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Adam Schiff by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xa25918…
10-01 07:34:57	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Letitia James by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	28	98¢	$28	0x2b9612…
10-01 07:31:33	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Norah O'Donnell by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xbf98f9…
10-01 07:27:59	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Stephen Colbert by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x8a3ddc…
10-01 07:20:39	Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xb6faf9…
10-01 07:18:05	Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30?	No	BUY	864	100¢	$862	0x876c56…
10-01 07:15:44	Will Trump praise Nicki Minaj in September?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x1a1b18…
10-01 07:15:26	Will Trump praise Nicki Minaj in September?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcda6c1…
10-01 07:12:03	Will Trump praise Roger Penske in September?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf1fb97…
10-01 07:08:42	Will Trump praise Doug Ford in September?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x1b2c24…
10-01 07:02:36	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x81195c…
10-01 07:00:51	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x4f8483…
10-01 06:56:47	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x0a53cc…
10-01 06:54:39	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Megyn Kelly by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$90	0x4251dc…
10-01 06:51:02	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ilhan Omar by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x927a94…
10-01 06:31:29	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mohammed bin Salman by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	186	100¢	$185	0x739e63…
10-01 06:29:41	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	112	97¢	$109	0x53f05b…
10-01 06:21:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x0c616a…
10-01 06:20:14	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	543	100¢	$542	0xfcf946…
10-01 06:17:27	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Karoline Leavitt by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	354	100¢	$354	0xc6c880…
10-01 06:15:50	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x29565a…
10-01 06:13:35	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Andy Burnham by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xe3f126…
10-01 06:10:18	Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	354	100¢	$354	0x2e6772…
10-01 06:09:24	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	364	100¢	$364	0xe32f7c…
10-01 06:07:50	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x26dcd5…
10-01 01:09:30	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	982	100¢	$981	0x9e1c49…
10-01 01:09:23	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x42edfe…
10-01 01:09:09	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x866fde…
10-01 01:09:00	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xa72f6c…
10-01 01:08:50	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x2577ec…
10-01 01:08:38	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xadfabc…
10-01 01:08:29	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x742fe5…
10-01 01:08:20	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x1d053c…
10-01 01:08:11	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x0bc5b5…
10-01 01:08:02	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xceab09…
10-01 01:07:48	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x822337…
10-01 01:07:39	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2de91b…
10-01 01:07:39	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x1667f8…
10-01 01:07:30	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	910	100¢	$909	0xb497a6…
09-30 20:35:50	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	2,293	100¢	$2,291	0xc90cb6…
09-30 20:34:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	5,047	100¢	$5,042	0x98e5ca…
09-16 12:10:49	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	882	100¢	$881	0x3c98f4…
09-09 18:21:12	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	SELL	511	54¢	$278	0x3ec536…
09-09 17:20:16	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	SELL	383	57¢	$218	0x40987f…
09-09 17:20:09	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	SELL	926	58¢	$536	0x2ec524…
09-09 16:54:00	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0xe43929…
09-09 16:14:34	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0x482bef…
09-09 16:14:15	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xe8b280…
09-09 16:13:09	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?	No	BUY	159	60¢	$95	0xe15327…
09-09 16:07:54	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	1,826	58¢	$1,054	0xf7a584…
09-04 20:03:12	will openais astra model be released by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	439	100¢	$439	0x1232df…
09-04 19:55:12	will openais astra model be released by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1,428	100¢	$1,427	0x674c7f…
09-04 19:55:07	will openais astra model be released by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	2,362	100¢	$2,360	0x5e920d…
09-04 19:55:03	will openais astra model be released by september 8 2026	Yes	BUY	1,030	100¢	$1,029	0xc28b18…
09-04 19:52:49	will openais astra model be released by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	7,292	100¢	$7,280	0x0f82b3…
09-04 19:52:10	will openais astra model be released by september 5 2026	Yes	BUY	271	100¢	$271	0x34029e…
09-03 00:41:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	374	100¢	$373	0xb4b439…
09-02 23:13:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x87f737…
09-02 22:58:04	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xf69ddb…
09-02 21:59:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	304	100¢	$304	0x9ef762…
09-02 21:25:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9501e6…
09-02 20:56:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf0a8f9…
09-02 20:15:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x55bb20…
09-02 15:45:40	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12,073	100¢	$12,061	0x803eb6…
09-02 15:45:21	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	720	100¢	$719	0x7f169f…
08-31 22:48:13	Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3d887c…
08-31 22:46:28	Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	No	BUY	11,286	100¢	$11,274	0xb382f6…
08-31 22:20:48	Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	Yes	BUY	396	89¢	$353	0x250642…
08-31 22:19:16	Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	Yes	BUY	424	90¢	$379	0x10d011…