Spiffy-Hold — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$630

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

389

lifetime

Volume

$152.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$392

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-03-07

last 07-20 00:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

61% 100% +$506

Other

20% 100% +$125

Sports

12% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Camila Cabello perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No		+28	$28	50¢	$14	$-14	07-19 22:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	16	$9.4K	9,538	0	+9,538	open	—	07-20 00:59
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	1	$9.0K	9,040	0	+9,040	open	—	07-07 20:51
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	11	$7.7K	9,362	0	+9,362	open	—	07-04 19:34
starmer out by june 22 2026	2	$6.9K	6,875	0	+6,875	open	—	06-22 08:53
will donald trump publicly insult barack obama by july 31 2026 20260626210612717	5	$5.5K	5,498	0	+5,498	open	—	07-02 19:44
Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?	2	$5.2K	5,478	0	+5,478	open	—	07-02 12:31
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	13	$4.9K	4,935	0	+4,935	open	—	06-01 17:02
will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	1	$4.9K	4,898	0	+4,898	open	—	06-09 17:37
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$4.8K	4,872	0	+4,872	open	—	06-02 09:21
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	1	$4.7K	4,805	0	+4,805	open	—	05-25 12:36
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	2	$4.4K	4,530	0	+4,530	open	—	07-04 04:26
will iran close its airspace by june 13 20260609184136051	1	$4.3K	4,346	0	+4,346	open	—	06-13 10:19
will claudia sheinbaum attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357142	2	$4.1K	4,107	0	+4,107	open	—	07-19 20:02
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$4.0K	4,095	0	+4,095	open	—	05-17 11:54
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	5	$4.0K	4,001	0	+4,001	open	—	05-17 09:13
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	4	$3.7K	3,677	0	+3,677	Yes	+$4	05-13 05:05
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	37	$3.3K	4,277	4,343	-67	open	—	03-27 10:05
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	6	$3.2K	3,369	0	+3,369	open	—	05-17 07:14
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	5	$2.9K	2,963	0	+2,963	Yes	+$18	05-02 21:12
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	21	$2.8K	2,829	0	+2,829	open	—	06-04 21:38
iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	6	$2.7K	2,740	0	+2,740	open	—	07-19 18:55
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	1	$2.5K	2,538	0	+2,538	open	—	04-21 18:50
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	1	$2.5K	2,528	0	+2,528	open	—	04-16 18:09
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?	2	$2.5K	2,467	0	+2,467	open	—	04-09 08:39
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$2.5K	2,463	0	+2,463	open	—	04-05 04:08
will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	3	$2.3K	2,231	2,231	+0	open	—	04-05 04:08
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 11000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	1	$2.0K	2,010	0	+2,010	No	+$20	05-13 22:47
military action against iran ends by april 15 2026 937	2	$1.8K	1,860	0	+1,860	open	—	04-09 21:20
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	10	$1.7K	1,108	866	+242	open	—	03-29 22:35
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	14	$1.6K	1,713	0	+1,713	open	—	06-15 17:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 00:59:28	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x37ff09…
07-20 00:53:33	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,036	98¢	$1,021	0xe8ff81…
07-20 00:53:07	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0xed9532…
07-20 00:53:01	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,191	98¢	$1,173	0x988b0e…
07-20 00:52:57	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x8f5f4c…
07-20 00:52:18	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	426	99¢	$420	0x2004d7…
07-20 00:47:24	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2,802	99¢	$2,768	0xf4e987…
07-20 00:46:10	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	238	99¢	$235	0xaa5ddf…
07-20 00:45:34	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x453f48…
07-20 00:45:33	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,347	99¢	$1,331	0xa91ff4…
07-20 00:45:19	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,500	99¢	$1,482	0xb6e68d…
07-20 00:24:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa4ae69…
07-20 00:24:31	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0x77cbb1…
07-19 23:15:07	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xc23dd3…
07-19 23:14:57	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x4013fa…
07-19 23:14:57	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	556	98¢	$546	0x1b08fd…
07-19 22:42:58	will rupert murdoch attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357121	No	BUY	13	90¢	$11	0xc719b5…
07-19 22:42:48	will leonardo dicaprio attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357133	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x5a9c25…
07-19 22:33:07	Will J Balvin perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	550	100¢	$549	0xd26711…
07-19 22:32:12	Will Wizkid perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	764	100¢	$763	0x3ffd79…
07-19 22:31:18	Will Peso Pluma perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$179	0x9169b8…
07-19 22:31:00	Will Camila Cabello perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x82ac36…
07-19 22:29:34	Will Feid perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	582	100¢	$582	0x0a8269…
07-19 22:28:31	Will Davido perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xca926e…
07-19 22:26:57	Will Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	219	100¢	$219	0x9b55e2…
07-19 22:24:10	will ishowspeed perform at the 2026 fifa world cup final halftime show 20260718154303217	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xaeaf7c…
07-19 22:22:39	Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x823b08…
07-19 22:09:49	will mark carney attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357141	Yes	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x67fc49…
07-19 22:05:48	will king felipe vi attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357115	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xfce5df…
07-19 20:45:39	will antonela roccuzzo attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357137	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x5c9425…
07-19 20:45:09	will david beckham attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357119	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x515f09…
07-19 20:08:40	Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xcf31ee…
07-19 20:02:06	will claudia sheinbaum attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357142	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x6fb165…
07-19 20:01:03	will bts perform at the 2026 fifa world cup final halftime show 20260706143941002	Yes	BUY	1,032	100¢	$1,031	0x225853…
07-19 19:59:36	Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	885	100¢	$884	0xd819c4…
07-19 18:56:16	will mark carney attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357141	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x0b9589…
07-19 18:56:04	will mark carney attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357141	Yes	BUY	240	100¢	$239	0xd2059d…
07-19 18:55:52	will claudia sheinbaum attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357142	Yes	BUY	4,070	100¢	$4,066	0xfd353d…
07-19 18:55:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xffcdaf…
07-19 18:54:09	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x261871…
07-19 18:53:42	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4f6164…
07-19 18:53:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	Yes	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0xc39d9a…
07-19 18:53:13	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	Yes	BUY	2,672	99¢	$2,642	0xe63a49…
07-07 20:51:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	9,040	100¢	$9,031	0x5dbec4…
07-07 20:44:17	will trump praise cristiano ronaldo by july 31 20260626214328042	Yes	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0xff918c…
07-07 20:43:47	will trump praise cristiano ronaldo by july 31 20260626214328042	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x07825f…
07-07 20:43:38	will trump praise cristiano ronaldo by july 31 20260626214328042	Yes	BUY	301	92¢	$277	0xcf74b1…
07-04 19:34:22	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	4,414	100¢	$4,410	0x29e1f9…
07-04 17:19:23	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xe8fe58…
07-04 05:11:13	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xc0f487…
07-04 04:26:40	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x061315…
07-04 01:07:38	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	639	100¢	$637	0x4a6346…
07-04 00:18:41	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	4,525	98¢	$4,435	0xdeb2e1…
07-04 00:17:59	will red be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260630164420240	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xcb3689…
07-04 00:17:16	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	389	100¢	$389	0xb3c5be…
07-02 19:44:08	will donald trump publicly insult barack obama by july 31 2026 20260626210612717	Yes	BUY	277	98¢	$272	0x7fb1c2…
07-02 19:40:08	will donald trump publicly insult barack obama by july 31 2026 20260626210612717	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x2e5b24…
07-02 19:34:10	will donald trump publicly insult barack obama by july 31 2026 20260626210612717	Yes	BUY	719	100¢	$717	0x12a72f…
07-02 19:01:32	will donald trump publicly insult barack obama by july 31 2026 20260626210612717	Yes	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,498	0x26107c…
07-02 18:29:40	will donald trump publicly insult barack obama by july 31 2026 20260626210612717	Yes	BUY	2,002	99¢	$1,990	0xac872c…
07-02 12:31:43	Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?	Yes	BUY	307	99¢	$304	0xcd48a1…
07-02 12:31:22	Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5,171	94¢	$4,846	0xb9d64e…
06-30 12:34:59	will qatar send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xaaea41…
06-30 12:34:55	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xd14e1c…
06-30 12:34:50	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	168	100¢	$167	0x9426d6…
06-30 12:34:44	will pakistan send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x8262d0…
06-30 12:34:14	will oman send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	554	100¢	$553	0x5cb74b…
06-30 12:34:04	will kuwait send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x89b61d…
06-30 12:33:59	will saudi arabia send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4007ad…
06-30 12:33:55	will germany send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xd0d48d…
06-30 12:33:50	will the united arab emirates send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xa19621…
06-30 12:33:46	will india send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x2a0165…
06-30 09:47:55	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1,190	53¢	$636	0x8c1fea…
06-30 09:45:50	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	92	55¢	$51	0xcf9e36…
06-30 09:45:34	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	908	55¢	$499	0x27012f…
06-30 09:30:56	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	221	100¢	$220	0x525314…
06-30 09:29:47	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1,431	58¢	$829	0xf90b15…
06-30 09:29:47	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0xeedcd6…
06-30 09:29:02	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	999	100¢	$998	0x12c1bc…
06-22 08:53:58	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5,014	100¢	$5,009	0x612cac…
06-22 08:53:56	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,861	100¢	$1,859	0x6bd05e…
06-15 17:04:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	35	95¢	$34	0x89322c…
06-15 17:04:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0xfcc9d1…
06-15 17:04:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	192	95¢	$182	0x30c421…
06-15 17:04:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	192	95¢	$182	0x655fde…
06-15 17:04:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	192	95¢	$182	0x76d388…
06-15 17:03:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	192	95¢	$182	0x8c3117…
06-15 17:00:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xa91478…
06-15 17:00:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x86eaf2…
06-15 16:57:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	135	95¢	$128	0x683120…
06-15 16:56:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	96	95¢	$91	0xe9fada…
06-15 16:56:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	327	95¢	$310	0x9bedb8…
06-15 16:56:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	96	95¢	$91	0x6a534d…
06-15 16:56:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0xbc6be3…
06-15 16:56:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	192	95¢	$182	0x982e17…
06-15 07:31:07	will trump meet with elon musk in june 2026	Yes	SELL	150	38¢	$57	0xc3bf04…
06-15 07:30:42	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	SELL	1,715	25¢	$423	0x1a3dff…
06-13 10:19:55	will iran close its airspace by june 13 20260609184136051	No	BUY	4,346	99¢	$4,303	0x36c52d…
06-13 09:58:28	will trump meet with elon musk in june 2026	Yes	BUY	150	31¢	$47	0xfe32e5…
06-13 09:58:21	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	BUY	1,715	49¢	$837	0xa9923c…