Total-Hug — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$72

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.0%

Resolved

Trades

687

lifetime

Volume

$30.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-19 22:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

38% 50% +$33

Politics

35% 100% +$28

Crypto

18% 100% +$11

Tech

7% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	6	$723	561	561	+0	open	—	06-03 17:25
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$680	480	480	+0	open	—	06-01 17:09
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$652	353	353	+0	open	—	04-12 19:59
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	13	$636	572	572	+0	open	—	01-31 00:24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	3	$606	341	341	+0	open	—	07-08 17:26
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	2	$533	333	333	+0	Under	+$133	05-06 20:52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	26	$528	541	541	+0	open	—	05-29 15:08
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$514	317	317	+0	open	—	02-19 23:30
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	11	$489	411	411	+0	open	—	05-27 19:04
nothing ever happens microstrategy	6	$480	666	666	+0	open	—	03-04 21:12
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	12	$456	463	463	+0	open	—	03-13 15:35
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	13	$449	414	414	+0	open	—	02-27 18:08
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	2	$445	426	426	+0	open	—	04-17 14:19
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	7	$429	392	392	+0	open	—	05-29 15:34
will andr ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	5	$403	294	294	+0	open	—	01-13 03:05
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	5	$383	448	448	+0	open	—	01-18 22:27
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	3	$350	273	273	+0	open	—	06-09 09:07
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	5	$323	305	305	+0	open	—	06-11 18:02
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$300	741	0	+741	open	—	07-18 23:07
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	4	$298	424	424	+0	open	—	03-24 07:13
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$296	641	0	+641	open	—	07-14 23:39
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	4	$280	209	209	-0	open	—	06-09 08:43
Over $500K committed to the Foresee public sale?	4	$275	201	201	+0	open	—	02-09 06:08
will russia join the board of peace	3	$265	200	200	+0	open	—	02-07 11:47
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$248	185	185	+0	open	—	04-29 21:37
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by february 28	4	$245	382	382	+0	open	—	02-02 16:19
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$243	154	154	+0	open	—	04-04 01:20
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	4	$240	192	192	+0	open	—	04-14 21:17
will epstein data set 13 be released by february 28	3	$236	172	172	+0	open	—	02-14 02:08
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	15	$234	362	362	+0	open	—	07-09 20:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 22:21:12	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	76	54¢	$41	0x222b62…
07-19 22:20:48	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	93	45¢	$42	0xf3c4a2…
07-19 22:12:15	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	186	49¢	$92	0xb5342a…
07-18 23:07:52	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	741	40¢	$300	0xcc1285…
07-18 22:23:01	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	250	24¢	$60	0xbd1412…
07-18 22:20:04	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread away 3pt5	England	SELL	205	3¢	$6	0x8f28de…
07-18 21:59:24	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread away 3pt5	England	BUY	205	49¢	$100	0x3948ce…
07-18 21:41:21	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	SELL	107	8¢	$9	0xb25a1a…
07-18 20:55:07	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	107	70¢	$75	0xa635b4…
07-18 00:05:37	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	71	71¢	$51	0xa93ed4…
07-18 00:04:40	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	149	58¢	$86	0xd1d106…
07-17 23:47:34	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	149	60¢	$90	0x09635f…
07-17 22:27:42	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	SELL	102	60¢	$61	0x399213…
07-17 18:44:33	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xe9baa9…
07-17 02:00:34	Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	133	57¢	$76	0xe9c4a5…
07-15 23:36:01	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x011a18…
07-15 23:17:07	Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	133	38¢	$50	0x55bf47…
07-14 23:39:22	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	641	46¢	$296	0xe040a7…
07-14 23:36:59	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	91	30¢	$27	0xff1213…
07-14 21:03:17	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	103	27¢	$28	0x5cd9a8…
07-14 21:02:55	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	89	56¢	$50	0x48da34…
07-14 21:02:37	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	SELL	223	52¢	$116	0xe6ba95…
07-14 19:07:35	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	350	57¢	$200	0xcf980a…
07-14 16:36:58	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	105	30¢	$31	0xb206be…
07-12 11:44:40	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	223	45¢	$100	0x2e7c47…
07-11 21:02:40	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	105	33¢	$35	0x3f980c…
07-11 00:13:37	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	87	46¢	$40	0xb75003…
07-10 00:32:41	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x0839b8…
07-10 00:06:53	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	No	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xf7297c…
07-09 20:04:34	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	27	37¢	$10	0xcd00a5…
07-09 20:03:49	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	11	37¢	$4	0xf7a448…
07-09 20:03:05	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	27	37¢	$10	0x5fef57…
07-09 20:02:32	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xe3f84f…
07-09 20:02:32	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	26	37¢	$10	0x58f4c7…
07-09 20:02:29	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x3d7895…
07-09 20:02:29	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0x3d03eb…
07-09 20:02:28	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x6e722a…
07-09 20:02:28	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	50	37¢	$19	0x5428fb…
07-09 09:24:38	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	SELL	114	52¢	$59	0x7572f4…
07-09 00:08:07	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x41870c…
07-08 23:58:10	next mythos class model released by september 30 2026	No	BUY	102	30¢	$30	0xc2def3…
07-08 23:50:31	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x8fe0d0…
07-08 23:46:59	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0xf6f02d…
07-08 17:26:16	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	226	91¢	$206	0x8fe326…
07-08 14:46:50	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	Yes	BUY	105	24¢	$25	0xf96523…
07-08 01:17:01	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	70	61¢	$43	0x4f7233…
07-07 21:09:07	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xb7441a…
07-07 20:38:16	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	14	37¢	$5	0x52b5c0…
07-07 20:37:59	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	153	37¢	$57	0x032fa8…
07-07 17:42:28	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x955201…
07-07 17:41:08	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	68	41¢	$28	0x0ba764…
07-07 17:35:34	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	120	34¢	$41	0xc88dd3…
07-07 16:31:02	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	101	69¢	$70	0x6a5c44…
07-07 02:55:43	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0xeb1bbc…
07-07 02:49:16	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	76	26¢	$20	0xca17d2…
07-07 02:43:50	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0x9ad7e3…
07-07 00:00:55	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0x2659a2…
07-06 03:20:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	38	49¢	$18	0xc8689c…
07-06 03:17:44	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x44f4d4…
07-06 01:15:29	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	56	50¢	$28	0xfa204f…
07-05 20:24:29	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xd473fc…
07-05 20:04:16	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x654661…
07-05 14:12:47	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x4daefc…
07-04 21:00:22	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x60d775…
07-04 17:23:07	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Canada	BUY	63	38¢	$24	0xc90bb0…
07-04 00:19:31	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x94fd49…
07-04 00:19:14	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x7b494e…
07-03 19:59:22	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xb14c5b…
07-03 02:12:52	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	48	67¢	$32	0x92b141…
07-03 00:20:40	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Croatia	SELL	79	53¢	$41	0x604e1b…
07-02 23:06:02	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Croatia	BUY	79	28¢	$22	0x415990…
07-02 20:55:02	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 btts	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9eb456…
07-02 01:25:01	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x80f537…
07-02 01:19:17	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	SELL	81	52¢	$42	0x56aa3e…
07-02 00:17:46	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x30b450…
07-01 22:01:34	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x67d41d…
07-01 21:25:25	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 btts	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x04c6ee…
07-01 15:47:46	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0xbab9bc…
06-30 23:19:16	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	SELL	56	71¢	$40	0x22e215…
06-30 23:19:14	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0x2f76a4…
06-30 22:44:46	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x5bcfee…
06-30 16:58:22	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	97	62¢	$60	0xb4e234…
06-30 10:42:19	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	86	82¢	$71	0x4fb7f1…
06-30 01:14:55	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xaee683…
06-30 00:18:10	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xea3e98…
06-30 00:17:52	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xba391a…
06-29 22:59:28	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x2ddcb7…
06-29 10:20:58	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	188	5¢	$10	0x3a6fa8…
06-29 00:07:26	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x96d00f…
06-29 00:06:55	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	71	50¢	$35	0xfe6e48…
06-28 19:01:41	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	115	87¢	$100	0x0859ca…
06-28 02:50:46	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	65	87¢	$57	0x71c13c…
06-28 02:46:47	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xe5e73e…
06-26 12:20:34	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	341	88¢	$300	0x6fbfc7…
06-25 22:03:04	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	103	73¢	$75	0x991b8a…
06-25 21:40:52	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 btts	Yes	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x841156…
06-25 19:16:26	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	48	85¢	$41	0xa0bb6d…
06-25 18:28:16	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	56	85¢	$48	0xc974ab…
06-24 16:15:46	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	No	SELL	45	52¢	$23	0x4ccd2b…
06-23 22:22:10	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	BUY	104	67¢	$70	0xa94b2c…